Gill Coliseum · at Oregon St
Closing line
ORST -3.5✓ ORST covered by 18.5
ORST -3.5✓ ORST covered by 18.5Closing total143.5Under by 5.5
 UVM | This season | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 1-7 |
| 7-0 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 74–77 ORST · ✓ ORST (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 24 | 34 | 58 |
| ORST | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: UVM 24, ORST 42 (ORST by 18). The model had ORST by 1.7 and a total of 70.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UVM | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-60 35% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 14-28 50% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 12-13 92% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley G | 27 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Sean Blake G | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Gus Yalden F | 24 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7-16 | 1-4 |
| TJ Long G | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Noah Barnett F | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Simon F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Johnson G | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ben Wesson G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Lucas Mari, Sincere Clemons, Drew Bessette, Chris Kuzemka, Trey Woodyard
| ORST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II G | 37 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-5 |
| Dez White G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Olavi Suutela F | 27 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Johan Munch F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sy G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malcolm Christie G | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Noah Amenhauser C | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Daisean Williford F | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Matija Samar, Keziah Ekissi, Kaan Yarkut, Yaak Yaak, Stephen Olowoniyi, Gavin Marrs
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORST -3.5
ModelORST -3.0
Model edgeUVM +0.5
L ORST covered
Total
Market143.5
Model150.8
Model edgeOver 7.3
L Under
Projected score
UVM 73.9 · ORST 76.9
UVM 58 · ORST 80
Win probability
ORST 60%
1st half
Spread
ORST -1.7
ORST -18.0
Total
70.6
66 points
Projected score
UVM 34.5 · ORST 36.1
UVM 24 · ORST 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORST -1.5
2 → ORST
CloseORST -3.5
2 pts toward ORST
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVM +145 · ORST -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORST -1.5 · closed ORST -3.5 · moved 2 toward ORSTmodel ORST -3
model ORST -3
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVMlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 7-0 100% |
| ORSTlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 1-7 13% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-0
100% overs · avg +19.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@
BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@
NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@
BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vs
LIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vs
URI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vs
PRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vs
YALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
over 7under 0avg +19.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon St
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
1-7
13% covers · avg −6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NDSU | W 67-65 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 7 | vs UIC | W 76-73 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNT | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 17 | @ ORE | L 75-87 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs EVAN | L 69-73 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs IONA | L 84-91 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs MASS | L 65-73 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 29 | vs CBU | L 69-75 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−7.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
−3.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−1.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+1.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
−10.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
−10.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 7avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−12.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
+2.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−4.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+20.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
+5.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
+17.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
+6.5
over 5under 3avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Yale74–77
- Wvs Princeton79–74
- Lvs Rhode Island65–80
- Lvs Liberty73–79
- L@ Buffalo90–94
3 days since their last game.
Oregon St
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs CA Baptist69–75
- Lvs UMass65–73
- Lvs Iona84–91
- Lvs Evansville69–73
- L@ Oregon75–87
4 days since their last game.