Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova
Closing line
VILL -22.5✓ ODU covered by 8.5
VILL -22.5✓ ODU covered by 8.5Closing total147.5Over by 16.5
 ODU | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-1 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ODU 62–84 VILL · ✓ VILL (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| VILL | 40 | 49 | 89 |
1st half: ODU 36, VILL 40 (VILL by 4). The model had VILL by 13.1 and a total of 68.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| ODU | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| ODU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Thomas G | 34 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Battle G | 34 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Robert Davis Jr. G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Scottie Hubbard G | 23 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jared Turner F | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Drew McKenna F | 21 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Zacch Wiggins G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Ben Nacey F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Raymond F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stephaun Walker, Cooper Jones, CJ Parker, KC Shaw, Rieco Hellams, Elijah Flowers
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 29 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-4 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 29 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-4 |
| Matt Hodge F | 23 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Braden Pierce C | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tafara Gapare F | 30 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Devin Askew G | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Zion Stanford G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malcolm Flaggs, Wade Chiddick, Duke Brennan, Nico Onyekwere
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -22.5
ModelVILL -21.9
Model edgeODU +0.6
W ODU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model145.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
ODU 61.9 · VILL 83.8
ODU 75 · VILL 89
Win probability
VILL 97%
1st half
Spread
VILL -13.1
VILL -4.0
Total
68.3
76 points
Projected score
ODU 27.6 · VILL 40.7
ODU 36 · VILL 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -20.5
2 → VILL
CloseVILL -22.5
2 pts toward VILL
Total
Open144.5
▲ 3
Close147.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ODU +2500 · VILL -9000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -20.5 · closed VILL -22.5 · moved 2 toward VILLmodel VILL -22
model VILL -22
Opened 144.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ODUlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% |
| VILLlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Old Dominion
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
M-OH
M-OHL 72-87
+1.5
11
vs
NORF
NORFW 60-57
−5.5
15
@
GW
GWL 73-96
−7.5
18
@
XAV
XAVL 69-99
−19.5
21
vs
MORG
MORGW 88-56
+20.5
23
@
DREX
DREXL 71-75
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 72-87
+5.5
11
vsNORF
NORFW 60-57
−32.5
15
@GW
GWL 73-96
+13.5
18
@XAV
XAVL 69-99
+17.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 88-56
−12.5
23
@DREX
DREXL 71-75
+3.5
over 4under 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vs
QUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vs
SHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vs
DUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@
LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
over 2under 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Old Dominion
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Drexel71–75
- Wvs Morgan St88–56
- L@ Xavier69–99
- L@ G Washington73–96
- Wvs Norfolk St60–57
2 days since their last game.
Villanova
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ La Salle70–55
- Wvs Duquesne87–77
- Wvs Sacred Heart94–60
- Wvs Queens University Royals94–74
- Lvs BYU66–71
6 days since their last game.