Carver Arena · at Bradley
Closing line
BRAD -18.5✓ BRAD covered by 10.5
BRAD -18.5✓ BRAD covered by 10.5Closing total146.5Under by 7.5
 NIU | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 5-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 65–83 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| BRAD | 39 | 45 | 84 |
1st half: NIU 26, BRAD 39 (BRAD by 13). The model had BRAD by 10.3 and a total of 69.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| NIU | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-65 29% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 6-30 20% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 11-24 46% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 45 21 off | Rebounds | 37 6 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ducommun G | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Gustav Winther F | 26 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 26 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Taj Walters G | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gianni Cobb G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Hassan Washington F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jao Ituka G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Washington G | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ladji Kante F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Isaiah Stewart, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor, Jaylen Wharton
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 29 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Demarion Burch G | 28 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-5 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 27 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| AJ Smith F | 26 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Montana Wheeler G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Corey Thomas F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Zobrist G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kai Yu C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Handy Toussaint III F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gus Rugaard G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Seastrunk, Gustavo Guimares
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -18.5
ModelBRAD -17.3
Model edgeNIU +1.2
L BRAD covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
NIU 65.2 · BRAD 82.5
NIU 55 · BRAD 84
Win probability
BRAD 93%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -10.3
BRAD -13.0
Total
69.1
65 points
Projected score
NIU 29.4 · BRAD 39.7
NIU 26 · BRAD 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -17.5
1 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -18.5
1 pt toward BRAD
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +1200 · BRAD -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -17.5 · closed BRAD -18.5 · moved 1 toward BRADmodel BRAD -17.5
model BRAD -17.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIUlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
| BRADlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NIU 0–1 BRADBRAD leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NIU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | NIU 60 @ BRAD 76 | BRAD -19.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@
WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@
GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@
UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@
LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@
APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vs
LIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
over 3under 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
over 4under 5avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions64–99
- L@ Austin Peay59–77
- W@ Loyola Chicago76–59
- L@ Northern Iowa57–70
- L@ Grand Canyon59–88
4 days since their last game.
Bradley
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington St64–60
- Wvs Liberty74–64
- Lvs UC San Diego77–87
- Wvs Princeton88–64
- Wvs UMass Lowell87–77
4 days since their last game.