Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven · Conference game
Closing line
MERC -1.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5
MERC -1.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5Closing total122.5Under by 4.5
| MERC | This season | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 6-10 |
| 11-5 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 62–62 NHVN · ✗ NHVN (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| NHVN | 28 | 29 | 57 |
1st half: MERC 27, NHVN 28 (NHVN by 1). The model had NHVN by 0.3 and a total of 58.0 (actual 55).
Team stats
| MERC | NHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-49 49% | Field goals | 21-43 49% |
| 6-14 43% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 7-7 100% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 22 3 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Blunt III G | 35 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Qadir Martin F | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Christian Gamble G | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 25 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Sean Lang G | 15 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| James Thomas F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Leman, Brady Conner, Or Faran, Vladimir Pavlovic, Emilis Butkus
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najimi George G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Andre Pasha F | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Teshaun Steele F | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Maison Adeleye G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Kearson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Burth C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matiss Ogle, Zoumana Traore, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Owen Hotaling, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMERC -1.5
ModelNHVN -0.7
Model edgeNHVN +2.2
L MERC covered
Total
Market122.5
Model123.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
MERC 61.5 · NHVN 62.2
MERC 61 · NHVN 57
Win probability
NHVN 52%
1st half
Spread
NHVN -0.3
NHVN -1.0
Total
58.0
55 points
Projected score
MERC 28.9 · NHVN 29.2
MERC 27 · NHVN 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMERC -1.5
no move
CloseMERC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open122.5
no move
Close122.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MERC -122 · NHVN +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MERC -1.5 · unchangedmodel NHVN -0.5
model NHVN -0.5
Opened 122.5 · unchangedmodel 124
model 124
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 4-6 40% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% |
| NHVN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
11-5
69% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vs FDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs LEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @ LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @ WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs STO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vs CCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
covered 11didn’t cover 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
over 7under 9avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Haven
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @ HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @ BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @ FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | @STO | W 70-55 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @CCSU | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | @LEM | L 47-73 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vsFDU | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsWAG | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ CHST | W 62-56 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
+16.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
−3.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−20.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
+8.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+4.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
−3.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
+2.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−17.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
−10.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+24.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
−11.5
over 5under 11avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
6-11 overall · 3-3 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Connecticut79–61
- Lvs Stonehill57–62
- W@ Wagner70–69
- L@ Long Island58–60
- Wvs Le Moyne74–60
4 days since their last game.
New Haven
6-10 overall · 4-2 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Chicago St62–56
- Wvs Wagner80–74
- Wvs FDU65–55
- L@ Le Moyne47–73
- L@ C Connecticut61–72
4 days since their last game.