Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven · Conference game
Closing line
NHVN -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 4.5
NHVN -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 4.5Closing total129.5Over by 24.5
 WAG | This season | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | Record | 4-10 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 4-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAG 65–68 NHVN · ✓ NHVN (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 33 | 41 | 74 |
| NHVN | 44 | 36 | 80 |
1st half: WAG 33, NHVN 44 (NHVN by 11). The model had NHVN by 1.9 and a total of 62.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| WAG | NHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 26-49 53% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 15-28 54% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 33 14 off | Rebounds | 19 5 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Placer G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Jaden Baker G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 5-6 |
| Bin Basil F | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 17 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Brown G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Jones G | 33 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 9-16 | 1-5 |
| Michael Cooper G | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| John Awoke G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Makhai Anderson G | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Smith, Huascar Cuevas, Zavier Fitch, Travis Gray
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 37 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Andre Pasha F | 35 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Najimi George G | 33 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 8-11 | 3-4 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 26 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 25 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Teshaun Steele F | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Maison Adeleye G | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Kyle Kearson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Burth C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matiss Ogle, Zoumana Traore, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Owen Hotaling, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNHVN -1.5
ModelNHVN -3.4
Model edgeNHVN +1.9
W NHVN covered
Total
Market129.5
Model133.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
W Over
Projected score
WAG 64.9 · NHVN 68.3
WAG 74 · NHVN 80
Win probability
NHVN 62%
1st half
Spread
NHVN -1.9
NHVN -11.0
Total
62.5
77 points
Projected score
WAG 30.3 · NHVN 32.2
WAG 33 · NHVN 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNHVN -1.5
no move
CloseNHVN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open128.5
▲ 1
Close129.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WAG +110 · NHVN -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NHVN -1.5 · unchangedmodel NHVN -3.5
model NHVN -3.5
Opened 128.5 · closed 129.5 · moved 1 upmodel 133
model 133
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| NHVN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wagner
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @ HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vs STO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs SFPA | L 69-71 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | vs MERC | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−9.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−4.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
+6.5
over 8under 4avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Haven
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-10
29% overs · avg −8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @ BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | @STO | W 70-55 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @ CCSU | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | @ LEM | L 47-73 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vs FDU | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
+16.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
−3.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−20.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
−3.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
+2.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−17.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
−10.5
over 4under 10avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wagner
3-9 overall · 1-3 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mercyhurst69–70
- Lvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–71
- Lvs Stonehill60–69
- W@ Chicago St79–72
- Wvs MD Eastern78–64
A week or more of rest.
New Haven
4-10 overall · 2-2 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FDU65–55
- L@ Le Moyne47–73
- L@ C Connecticut61–72
- W@ Stonehill70–55
- L@ Vanderbilt53–96
A week or more of rest.