Bogota Savings Bank Center · at FDU · Conference game
Closing line
FDU -1.5✓ CCSU covered by 7.5
FDU -1.5✓ CCSU covered by 7.5Closing total133.5Under by 13.5
 CCSU | This season | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-10 | Record | 7-16 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 14-8 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 71–71 FDU · ✗ FDU (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| FDU | 25 | 32 | 57 |
1st half: CCSU 30, FDU 25 (CCSU by 5). The model had CCSU by 0.0 and a total of 66.1 (actual 55).
Team stats
| CCSU | FDU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-52 40% | Field goals | 17-54 31% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 4-24 17% |
| 16-17 94% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 38 17 off |
| 5 | Assists | 6 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Frazier F | 35 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Daniel James F | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 27 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Jones G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Roddy Jones G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Parker G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Mott F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabe Spinelli, Nico Ashley, Rashawn Tibby, Ashton Reynolds, Ja'Kobe Williams, Corsley Edwards Jr., Adam Fox
| FDU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taeshaud Jackson F | 35 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Joey Niesman G | 30 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Cyril Martynov C | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Eric Parnell G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| David Jevtic G | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Raysean Johnson G | 27 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Arthur Cox F | 22 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Noah Melson G | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Ras Elijah Godbolt G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Haubro C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cole Alexander, Tyler McQuaid, Kody Frey, Andrew Canda, Josiah Francis, Chid Ekwommadu
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFDU -1.5
ModelFDU -0.2
Model edgeCCSU +1.3
W CCSU covered
Total
Market133.5
Model141.2
Model edgeOver 7.7
L Under
Projected score
CCSU 70.5 · FDU 70.7
CCSU 63 · FDU 57
Win probability
FDU 51%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -0.0
CCSU -5.0
Total
66.1
55 points
Projected score
CCSU 33.1 · FDU 33.1
CCSU 30 · FDU 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -1.5
3 → FDU
CloseFDU -1.5
3 pts toward FDU
Total
Open138.5
▼ 5
Close133.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU -108 · FDU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -1.5 · closed FDU -1.5 · moved 3 toward FDUmodel FDU -0
model FDU -0
Opened 138.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 5 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| FDU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
CCSU 8–3 FDUCCSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · CCSU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | FDU 76 @ CCSU 66 | CCSU -7.5 | FDU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | FDU 72 @ CCSU 76 | CCSU -9.5 | FDU W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | FDU 66 @ CCSU 87 | CCSU -9.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CCSU 71 @ FDU 60 | FDU +5.5 | CCSU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FDU 62 @ CCSU 71 | — | — |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-8
64% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs NHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vsFDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @STO | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | @ WAG | W 62-55 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsLIU | L 59-80 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vs CHST | W 78-67 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWAG | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | @NHVN | W 81-76 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 128.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−3.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
+4.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−18.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+2.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+11.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−15.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
−19.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−3.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+6.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+14.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+28.5
over 14under 8avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
FDU
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ISU | L 50-88 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 8 | @ SPU | L 83-93 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ TEX | L 58-93 | +31.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | @ NJIT | L 81-93 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs ETAM | L 65-70 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 26 | vs ARMY | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PROV | L 64-94 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 10 | @ FOR | L 54-75 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | @BC | L 61-72 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ MINN | L 43-60 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 2 | @MERC | W 74-67 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @SFPA | L 82-85 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | vsCHST | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @NHVN | L 55-65 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsLIU | L 59-66 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 19 | vsWAG | W 68-61 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @CCSU | W 76-66 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | vsLEM | L 74-87 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | @STO | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | @WAG | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vsSTO | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Feb 7 | vsMERC | W 55-52 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | vsSFPA | W 66-59 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−0.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
−3.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−3.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
−9.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−1.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
−12.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−3.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−9.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
+5.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
+8.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+12.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
−5.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
+2.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−8.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
+0.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
+4.5
23
@CCSU
CCSUW 76-66
+17.5
26
vsLEM
LEML 74-87
−14.5
29
@STO
STOL 57-58
+1.5
31
@WAG
WAGL 72-75
−1.5
5
vsSTO
STOW 74-58
+14.5
7
vsMERC
MERCW 55-52
+0.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 66-59
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−9.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
+38.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−7.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
+27.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−14.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
+1.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−4.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−12.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
−8.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
−36.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+7.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
+23.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
−10.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−10.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
−18.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
−8.5
23
@CCSU
CCSUW 76-66
+1.5
26
vsLEM
LEML 74-87
+21.5
29
@STO
STOL 57-58
−16.5
31
@WAG
WAGL 72-75
+13.5
5
vsSTO
STOW 74-58
+1.5
7
vsMERC
MERCW 55-52
−24.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 66-59
−16.5
over 9under 14avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
12-10 overall · 8-5 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Haven81–76
- Wvs Wagner84–67
- Wvs Chicago St78–67
- Lvs Long Island59–80
- W@ Wagner62–55
2 days since their last game.
FDU
7-16 overall · 7-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves66–59
- Wvs Mercyhurst55–52
- Wvs Stonehill74–58
- L@ Wagner72–75
- L@ Stonehill57–58
2 days since their last game.