Corbett Sports Center · at NC A&T · Conference game
Closing line
TOW -7.5✓ NCAT covered by 14.5
Closing total139.5Over by 13.5
| This season | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 6-10 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 6-13 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 72–67 NCAT · ✗ TOW (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| NCAT | 35 | 45 | 80 |
1st half: TOW 36, NCAT 35 (TOW by 1). The model had TOW by 3.6 and a total of 65.1 (actual 71).
Team stats
| TOW | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 25-47 53% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 20-29 69% | Free throws | 23-33 70% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada F | 33 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 7-17 | 2-7 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 32 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 30 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 24 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mor Seck C | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Embeya F | 27 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 26 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Brandon Holmes, Jaiden Cole, Ryan Conway, Jon Barton, Abdou Samb, Ryan Skerry
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 38 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 37 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Lewis Walker F | 36 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 9-15 | 5-7 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Felton C | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| KJ Debrick F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yancarlos Cueto, Brooklyn Vick, Mujahiid Burton, Lo Walker, Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes, Jalal McKie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOW -7.5
ModelTOW -5.8
Model edgeNCAT +1.7
W NCAT covered
Total
Market139.5
Model139.0
Model edgeUnder 0.5
L Over
Projected score
TOW 72.4 · NCAT 66.6
TOW 73 · NCAT 80
Win probability
TOW 69%
1st half
Spread
TOW -3.6
TOW -1.0
Total
65.1
71 points
Projected score
TOW 34.4 · NCAT 30.8
TOW 36 · NCAT 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOW -7.5
no move
CloseTOW -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOW -340 · NCAT +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOW -7.5 · unchangedmodel TOW -6
model TOW -6
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | |
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TOW 4–0 NCATTOW leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · TOW has won the last 4 meetings · TOW 4-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | NCAT 67 @ TOW 83 | TOW -12.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | TOW 84 @ NCAT 58 | NCAT +12.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | NCAT 75 @ TOW 87 | TOW -11.5 | TOW W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | TOW 79 @ NCAT 67 | NCAT +6.5 | TOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 61-86 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 49-73 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 70-84 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 62-63 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 48-62 | -8.5 | L −22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 67-78 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 87-78 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 61-52 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 59-58 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 124.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 72-59 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
L-MD
W 67-56
+2.5
8
@
HOU
L 48-65
+9.5
14
vs
NORF
W 51-41
−3.5
18
@
JMU
L 75-81
−9.5
24
vs
URI
W 62-55
+9.5
25
vs
LIB
W 72-69
+9.5
26
vs
UCSD
L 73-87
−12.5
3
vs
COR
W 93-80
+6.5
7
@
UCF
L 61-86
−15.5
16
@
KU
L 49-73
−9.5
22
vs
SHU
W 72-47
+11.5
29
@
W&M
L 70-84
−12.5
31
@
HAMP
L 62-63
−7.5
3
vs
MONM
L 48-62
−22.5
8
vs
HOF
L 67-78
−12.5
10
@
NE
W 87-78
+6.5
15
vs
COFC
W 61-52
+5.5
19
vs
DREX
W 59-58
−6.5
22
@
ELON
W 72-59
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
L-MD
W 67-56
−18.5
8
@
HOU
L 48-65
−17.5
14
vs
NORF
W 51-41
−46.5
18
@
JMU
L 75-81
+15.5
24
vs
URI
W 62-55
−23.5
25
vs
LIB
W 72-69
+3.5
26
vs
UCSD
L 73-87
+21.5
3
vs
COR
W 93-80
+18.5
7
@
UCF
L 61-86
−1.5
16
@
KU
L 49-73
−15.5
22
vs
SHU
W 72-47
−26.5
29
@
W&M
L 70-84
−3.5
31
@
HAMP
L 62-63
−11.5
3
vs
MONM
L 48-62
−26.5
8
vs
HOF
L 67-78
+10.5
10
@
NE
W 87-78
+21.5
15
vs
COFC
W 61-52
−30.5
19
vs
DREX
W 59-58
−7.5
22
@
ELON
W 72-59
−14.5
over 6under 13avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC A&T
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 72-91 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 85-62 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 74-90 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 57-74 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 69-54 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 69-73 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 82-79 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | @ | W 71-65 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs | L 78-87 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 74-85 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 80-81 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 89-97 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 61-82 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 79-78 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
SC
L 72-91
+3.5
10
vs
SCST
W 85-62
+20.5
18
@
MORG
W 79-73
+3.5
28
@
DAV
L 74-90
−2.5
2
@
CLT
L 57-74
−9.5
6
@
NCCU
W 69-54
+12.5
9
vs
HOW
L 69-73
−6.5
12
vs
UMES
W 82-79
−4.5
16
@
UNCG
W 71-65
+12.5
29
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
+1.5
31
vs
NE
L 74-85
−7.5
3
@
STBK
L 80-81
+3.5
8
vs
ELON
L 64-69
+1.5
15
@
W&M
L 89-97
+5.5
19
@
HAMP
L 61-82
−14.5
22
vs
HOF
W 79-78
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
SC
L 72-91
+19.5
10
vs
SCST
W 85-62
−12.5
18
@
MORG
W 79-73
−9.5
28
@
DAV
L 74-90
+18.5
2
@
CLT
L 57-74
−13.5
6
@
NCCU
W 69-54
−19.5
9
vs
HOW
L 69-73
−7.5
12
vs
UMES
W 82-79
+30.5
16
@
UNCG
W 71-65
−11.5
29
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
+18.5
31
vs
NE
L 74-85
+7.5
3
@
STBK
L 80-81
+19.5
8
vs
ELON
L 64-69
−25.5
15
@
W&M
L 89-97
+23.5
19
@
HAMP
L 61-82
−0.5
22
vs
HOF
W 79-78
+10.5
over 8under 8avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
10-9 overall · 4-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Elon72–59
- Wvs Drexel59–58
- Wvs Charleston61–52
- W@ Northeastern87–78
- Lvs Hofstra67–78
2 days since their last game.
NC A&T
6-10 overall · 1-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hofstra79–78
- L@ Hampton61–82
- L@ William & Mary89–97
- Lvs Elon64–69
- L@ Stony Brook80–81
2 days since their last game.