Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont
Closing line
BEL -6.5✓ RICH covered by 14.5
BEL -6.5✓ RICH covered by 14.5Closing total156.5Over by 3.5
 RICH | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 7-0 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 76–79 BEL · ✗ BEL (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 41 | 43 | 84 |
| BEL | 43 | 33 | 76 |
1st half: RICH 41, BEL 43 (BEL by 2). The model had BEL by 1.8 and a total of 72.7 (actual 84).
Team stats
| RICH | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 14-25 56% | 3-pointers | 11-34 32% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 7-15 47% |
| 32 3 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| David Thomas G | 30 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 6-7 |
| AJ Lopez G | 23 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Collin Tanner G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Mike Walz C | 19 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kirby Mooney, Mikkel Tyne, Bryson McGlothin, Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Sam Orme F | 30 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 29 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nic McClain G | 29 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Drew Scharnowski F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jack Smiley G | 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Isaiah West G | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jake Dykstra, Graydon Lemke, Keith Robbins, Cooper Haynes, Aidan Noyes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -6.5
ModelBEL -3.2
Model edgeRICH +3.3
W RICH covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
L Over
Projected score
RICH 76.1 · BEL 79.3
RICH 84 · BEL 76
Win probability
BEL 61%
1st half
Spread
BEL -1.8
BEL -2.0
Total
72.7
84 points
Projected score
RICH 35.5 · BEL 37.2
RICH 41 · BEL 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -4.5
2 → BEL
CloseBEL -6.5
2 pts toward BEL
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RICH +245 · BEL -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -4.5 · closed BEL -6.5 · moved 2 toward BELmodel BEL -3
model BEL -3
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICHlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| BELlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RICH 0–1 BELBEL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · RICH 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | BEL 93 @ RICH 86 | RICH +1.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vs
W&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vs
VMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vs
FUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vs
CLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
over 3under 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +7.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
over 2under 5avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charlotte71–66
- Lvs Furman72–73
- Wvs Gardner-Webb102–67
- Wvs VMI87–54
- Wvs William & Mary90–86
5 days since their last game.
Belmont
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Charleston96–73
- Wvs Toledo87–72
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves94–57
- Wvs Lipscomb75–68
- W@ Oral Roberts83–60
3 days since their last game.