Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -10.5✓ LBSU covered by 0.5
UCI -10.5✓ LBSU covered by 0.5Closing total142.5Under by 4.5
 LBSU | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 9-5 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 10-3 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LBSU 65–76 UCI · ✓ UCI (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| UCI | 34 | 40 | 74 |
1st half: LBSU 30, UCI 34 (UCI by 4). The model had UCI by 6.4 and a total of 66.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| LBSU | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-60 42% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 4-13 31% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 35 7 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes G | 39 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Rob Diaz III G | 35 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Petar Majstorovic F | 35 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Cole Farrell G | 26 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Leopold Levillain F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| JJ Chaikovsky F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Derrick Michael Xzavierro F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jayden Alexander, Christian Jones, Immanuel Lewis, Shaquil Bender, Grant Gondrezick II, Dallas Washington
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurian Dixon G | 31 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Derin Saran G | 29 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Tama Isaac G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Evans F | 27 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Chol F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tishan Ahir, Josh Palmer, Torian Lee, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges, Bryce Goldman, Langston Redfield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -10.5
ModelUCI -10.9
Model edgeUCI +0.4
L LBSU covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
LBSU 65.4 · UCI 76.3
LBSU 64 · UCI 74
Win probability
UCI 83%
1st half
Spread
UCI -6.4
UCI -4.0
Total
66.4
64 points
Projected score
LBSU 30 · UCI 36.4
LBSU 30 · UCI 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -9.5
1 → UCI
CloseUCI -10.5
1 pt toward UCI
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LBSU +440 · UCI -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -9.5 · closed UCI -10.5 · moved 1 toward UCImodel UCI -11
model UCI -11
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% |
| UCI | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
LBSU 3–6 UCIUCI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 2 meetings · LBSU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | LBSU 60 @ UCI 70 | UCI -16.5 | LBSU W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UCI 80 @ LBSU 75 | LBSU +14.5 | LBSU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | LBSU 83 vs UCI 79 | UCI -8.5 | LBSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | LBSU 61 @ UCI 82 | UCI -10.5 | UCI W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | UCI 72 @ LBSU 61 | LBSU +2.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Beach St
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-3
77% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | @ SJSU | L 83-89 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs PEPP | W 81-78 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 21 | @ ISU | L 60-91 | +37.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs CP | W 74-66 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+1.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
−1.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+6.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+30.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
+17.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+1.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
−22.5
over 10under 3avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
over 6under 8avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Beach St
3-10 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly74–66
- L@ Iowa State60–91
- Wvs Pepperdine81–78
- L@ San José St83–89
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
5 days since their last game.
UC Irvine
9-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fullerton86–64
- W@ Bakersfield81–77
- Wvs Norfolk St89–70
- Wvs N Dakota St74–73
- Lvs Belmont58–84
5 days since their last game.