When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
77 games · 2024 · Week 2 · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 35 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.
All 77 games
2024 · Week 2 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 2 |
USC -30.5 | 62.5 | 10273448 | U | USC Q3 | 0–48 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ASU -6.5 | 57.5 | 10304053 | U | ASU Q1 | 23–30 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ORST -5.5 | 54.5 | 77721 | U | ORST Q1 | 21–0 |
2024 · Week 2 |
LIB -22.5 | 54.5 | 13262654 | U | NMSU Q1 Lead lost |
30–24 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ORE -17.5 | 60.5 | 10344771 | Q4 | BOIS Q1 | 34–37 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ARIZ -36.5 | 63.5 | 3162332 | U | NAU Q1 | 10–22 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TTU -2.5 | 64.5 | 10374453 | U | WSU Q1 | 16–37 |
2024 · Week 2 |
FRES -18.5 | 55.5 | 21355676 | Q3 | SAC Q4 | 30–46 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UTEP -6.5 | 54.5 | 2023314851 | U | SUU Q3 | 27–24 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CLEM -13.5 | 53.5 | 35698686 | Q2 | CLEM Q1 | 20–66 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TCU -45.5 | 56.5 | 10313845 | U | LIU Q1 | 0–45 |
2024 · Week 2 |
OU -27.5 | 48.5 | 10202628 | U | HOU Q1 | 12–16 |
2024 · Week 2 |
OSU -37.5 | 54.5 | 21354956 | Q4 | OSU Q3 | 0–56 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TENN -13.5 | 59.5 | 7234761 | Q4 | TENN Q2 | 51–10 |
2024 · Week 2 |
LSU -46.5 | 57.5 | 16376565 | Q3 | NICH Q1 | 21–44 |
2024 · Week 2 |
VAN -32.5 | 47.5 | 10273455 | Q4 | VAN Q3 | 0–55 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UNT -21.5 | 72.5 | 24384855 | U | SFA Q1 | 20–35 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UCF -21.5 | 53.5 | 14314559 | Q4 | UCF Q3 Late over |
14–45 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ALA -33.5 | 65.5 | 10202758 | U | USF Q1 | 16–42 |
2024 · Week 2 |
MIZ -34.5 | 53.5 | 3243138 | U | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
0–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
KU -4.5 | 58.5 | 3233040 | U | ILL Q1 | 17–23 |
2024 · Week 2 |
FLA -38.5 | 55.5 | 7143552 | U | SAM Q1 | 7–45 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CCU -17.5 | 54.5 | 14345161 | Q4 | CCU Q2 Late over |
21–40 |
2024 · Week 2 |
WKU -18.5 | 59.5 | 10171731 | U | WKU Q4 | 0–31 |
2024 · Week 2 |
GAST -9.5 | 51.5 | 10173145 | U | UTC Q1 | 21–24 |
2024 · Week 2 |
STAN -33.5 | 59.5 | 7213848 | U | STAN Q4 Late cover flip |
7–41 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UVA -1.5 | 55.5 | 13374761 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
31–30 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UL -14.5 | 45.5 | 7274144 | U | UL Q3 | 34–10 |
2024 · Week 2 |
AFA -1.5 | 43.5 | 21212124 | U | SJSU Q1 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CSU -31.5 | 52.5 | 17314555 | Q4 | UNCO Q1 Late over |
17–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
NEV -1.5 | 56.5 | 21313737 | U | GASO Q2 | 20–17 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ARST -9.5 | 65.5 | 10245252 | U | TLSA Q1 | 24–28 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UAB -10.5 | 55.5 | 6192838 | U | ULM Q1 | 6–32 |
2024 · Week 2 |
USM -16.5 | 53.5 | 10243145 | U | USM Q4 | 10–35 |
2024 · Week 2 |
RICE -29.5 | 52.5 | 14385576 | Q3 | RICE Q2 | 7–69 |
2024 · Week 2 |
MIA -46.5 | 55.5 | 18315565 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
9–56 |
2024 · Week 2 |
WVU -37.5 | 52.5 | 14425663 | Q3 | ALB Q1 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CMU -3.5 | 51.5 | 7365268 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 16–52 |
2024 · Week 2 |
JMU -35.5 | 50.5 | 031619 | U | GWEB Q1 | 6–13 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ODU -1.5 | 53.5 | 6133134 | U | ECU Q1 | 20–14 |
2024 · Week 2 |
USA -1.5 | 55.5 | 3274147 | U | OHIO Q1 | 20–27 |
2024 · Week 2 |
VT -20.5 | 52.5 | 7173845 | U | MRSH Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 2 |
MISS -42.5 | 60.5 | 17344855 | U | MISS Q4 | 3–52 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TXST -2.5 | 58.5 | 17385259 | Q4 | TXST Q1 | 10–49 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ND -28.5 | 46.5 | 17202730 | U | NIU Q1 Lead lost |
16–14 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UTAH -14.5 | 52.5 | 17263535 | U | BAY Q3 | 12–23 |
2024 · Week 2 |
IOWA -2.5 | 36.5 | 7133339 | Q4 | ISU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
20–19 |
2024 · Week 2 |
LOU -27.5 | 56.5 | 14424963 | Q4 | LOU Q4 Late over |
14–49 |
2024 · Week 2 |
AUB -11.5 | 52.5 | 14212135 | U | CAL Q1 | 21–14 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UK -9.5 | 41.5 | 7163037 | U | SC Q1 | 31–6 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 48
Q2 8% 6
Q3 16% 12
Q4 14% 11
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 70% of 76 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 89% and covered 63% of 73 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 10 | 100% 10 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 9 | 89% 8 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 11–14 | 12 | 42% 5 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 18–21 | 10 | 10% 1 |
| 22+ | 24 | 8% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.