When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

77 games · 2024 · Week 2 · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 35 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.

All 77 games

2024 · Week 2 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2024 · Week 2
USC -30.5 62.5 10273448 U USC Q3 0–48
2024 · Week 2
ASU -6.5 57.5 10304053 U ASU Q1 23–30
2024 · Week 2
ORST -5.5 54.5 77721 U ORST Q1 21–0
2024 · Week 2
LIB -22.5 54.5 13262654 U NMSU Q1
Lead lost
30–24
2024 · Week 2
ORE -17.5 60.5 10344771 Q4 BOIS Q1 34–37
NAU @ ARIZ
2024 · Week 2
ARIZ -36.5 63.5 3162332 U NAU Q1 10–22
2024 · Week 2
TTU -2.5 64.5 10374453 U WSU Q1 16–37
2024 · Week 2
FRES -18.5 55.5 21355676 Q3 SAC Q4 30–46
SUU @ UTEP
2024 · Week 2
UTEP -6.5 54.5 2023314851 U SUU Q3 27–24
2024 · Week 2
CLEM -13.5 53.5 35698686 Q2 CLEM Q1 20–66
LIU @ TCU
2024 · Week 2
TCU -45.5 56.5 10313845 U LIU Q1 0–45
2024 · Week 2
OU -27.5 48.5 10202628 U HOU Q1 12–16
2024 · Week 2
OSU -37.5 54.5 21354956 Q4 OSU Q3 0–56
2024 · Week 2
TENN -13.5 59.5 7234761 Q4 TENN Q2 51–10
NICH @ LSU
2024 · Week 2
LSU -46.5 57.5 16376565 Q3 NICH Q1 21–44
ALCN @ VAN
2024 · Week 2
VAN -32.5 47.5 10273455 Q4 VAN Q3 0–55
SFA @ UNT
2024 · Week 2
UNT -21.5 72.5 24384855 U SFA Q1 20–35
2024 · Week 2
UCF -21.5 53.5 14314559 Q4 UCF Q3
Late over
14–45
2024 · Week 2
ALA -33.5 65.5 10202758 U USF Q1 16–42
2024 · Week 2
MIZ -34.5 53.5 3243138 U MIZ Q4
Late cover flip
0–38
2024 · Week 2
KU -4.5 58.5 3233040 U ILL Q1 17–23
SAM @ FLA
2024 · Week 2
FLA -38.5 55.5 7143552 U SAM Q1 7–45
W&M @ CCU
2024 · Week 2
CCU -17.5 54.5 14345161 Q4 CCU Q2
Late over
21–40
EKU @ WKU
2024 · Week 2
WKU -18.5 59.5 10171731 U WKU Q4 0–31
UTC @ GAST
2024 · Week 2
GAST -9.5 51.5 10173145 U UTC Q1 21–24
CP @ STAN
2024 · Week 2
STAN -33.5 59.5 7213848 U STAN Q4
Late cover flip
7–41
2024 · Week 2
UVA -1.5 55.5 13374761 Q4 WAKE Q1
Late over Lead lost
31–30
2024 · Week 2
UL -14.5 45.5 7274144 U UL Q3 34–10
2024 · Week 2
AFA -1.5 43.5 21212124 U SJSU Q1 17–7
UNCO @ CSU
2024 · Week 2
CSU -31.5 52.5 17314555 Q4 UNCO Q1
Late over
17–38
2024 · Week 2
NEV -1.5 56.5 21313737 U GASO Q2 20–17
2024 · Week 2
ARST -9.5 65.5 10245252 U TLSA Q1 24–28
2024 · Week 2
UAB -10.5 55.5 6192838 U ULM Q1 6–32
SELA @ USM
2024 · Week 2
USM -16.5 53.5 10243145 U USM Q4 10–35
TXSO @ RICE
2024 · Week 2
RICE -29.5 52.5 14385576 Q3 RICE Q2 7–69
FAMU @ MIA
2024 · Week 2
MIA -46.5 55.5 18315565 Q4 MIA Q4
Late cover flip
9–56
ALB @ WVU
2024 · Week 2
WVU -37.5 52.5 14425663 Q3 ALB Q1 14–49
2024 · Week 2
CMU -3.5 51.5 7365268 Q3 FIU Q1 16–52
GWEB @ JMU
2024 · Week 2
JMU -35.5 50.5 031619 U GWEB Q1 6–13
2024 · Week 2
ODU -1.5 53.5 6133134 U ECU Q1 20–14
2024 · Week 2
USA -1.5 55.5 3274147 U OHIO Q1 20–27
2024 · Week 2
VT -20.5 52.5 7173845 U MRSH Q1 14–31
2024 · Week 2
MISS -42.5 60.5 17344855 U MISS Q4 3–52
2024 · Week 2
TXST -2.5 58.5 17385259 Q4 TXST Q1 10–49
2024 · Week 2
ND -28.5 46.5 17202730 U NIU Q1
Lead lost
16–14
2024 · Week 2
UTAH -14.5 52.5 17263535 U BAY Q3 12–23
2024 · Week 2
IOWA -2.5 36.5 7133339 Q4 ISU Q4
Late over Lead lost
20–19
2024 · Week 2
LOU -27.5 56.5 14424963 Q4 LOU Q4
Late over
14–49
2024 · Week 2
AUB -11.5 52.5 14212135 U CAL Q1 21–14
2024 · Week 2
UK -9.5 41.5 7163037 U SC Q1 31–6

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 48
Q2 8% 6
Q3 16% 12
Q4 14% 11
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 70% of 76 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 89% and covered 63% of 73 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over10100% 10
1–33100% 3
4–7989% 8
8–105100% 5
11–141242% 5
15–17425% 1
18–211010% 1
22+248% 2
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.