Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya · Neutral site
Closing line
UVU -1.5✓ UVU covered by 21.5
UVU -1.5✓ UVU covered by 21.5Closing total151.5Under by 24.5
| UVU | This season | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 4-0 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVU 77–79 SDST · ✗ SDST (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 29 | 46 | 75 |
| SDST | 24 | 28 | 52 |
1st half: UVU 29, SDST 24 (UVU by 5). The model had SDST by 1.1 and a total of 73.0 (actual 53).
Team stats
| UVU | SDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-62 47% | Field goals | 18-54 33% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 4-26 15% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 33 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 7 |
| 15 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hendricks G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Trevan Leonhardt G | 31 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Braden Housley G | 29 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Holcombe G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Davis F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Hawkins F | 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Welling F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Noah Taitz G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Medaris F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joul Karram C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Weaver F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| AJ Riggs G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Dixon, Jaxson Roberts
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mors F | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Joe Sayler G | 31 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-8 |
| Kalen Garry G | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Alec Squires C | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damon Wilkinson F | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Luke Haertle G | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Trey Buchanan G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bubz Alvarez G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Andrell Burton Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Rogers G | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Davis Kern
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVU -1.5
ModelSDST -2.1
Model edgeSDST +3.6
L UVU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model155.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
L Under
Projected score
UVU 76.9 · SDST 79
UVU 75 · SDST 52
Win probability
SDST 57%
1st half
Spread
SDST -1.1
UVU -5.0
Total
73.0
53 points
Projected score
UVU 36 · SDST 37.1
UVU 29 · SDST 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVU -1.5
no move
CloseUVU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVU -118 · SDST +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVU -1.5 · unchangedmodel SDST -2
model SDST -2
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| SDSTlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Valley
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BOIS
BOISL 77-101
−11.5
15
@
FRES
FRESL 74-75
−5.5
19
vs
UCI
UCIW 79-72
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
+26.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−7.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+1.5
over 2under 1avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Dakota St
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +10.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@
UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@
ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vs
GAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
over 2under 2avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Valley
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Irvine79–72
- L@ Fresno St74–75
- L@ Boise St77–101
6 days since their last game.
S Dakota St
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St105–58
- L@ Oregon69–83
- L@ Northern Iowa58–65
- Wvs Merrimack75–66
4 days since their last game.