Moody Center · at Texas
Closing line
TEX -29.5✓ TEX covered by 12.5
Closing total152.5Under by 4.5
| This season | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 6-4 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LEM 67–93 TEX · ✓ TEX (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 30 | 23 | 53 |
| TEX | 41 | 54 | 95 |
1st half: LEM 30, TEX 41 (TEX by 11). The model had TEX by 15.8 and a total of 74.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| LEM | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-60 28% | Field goals | 34-68 50% |
| 2-18 11% | 3-pointers | 10-31 32% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 53 18 off |
| 5 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| LEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deng Garang G | 36 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Trent Mosquera G | 30 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4-14 | 1-6 |
| Shilo Jackson F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Eli Greenberg G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jakob Blakley G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jakai Sanders G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Nyakundi F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tennessee Rainwater F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Hincapie G | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Roe F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Josiah Lee G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Kaelin Thomas, Nate Fouts, Sam Donnelly, Ametri Moss
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Camden Heide F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Jordan Pope G | 22 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 20 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Lassina Traore F | 19 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Declan Duru Jr. F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Anthon McDermott G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cole Bott F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Taylor G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: John Clark, Lewis Obiorah
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -29.5
ModelTEX -26.4
Model edgeLEM +3.1
L TEX covered
Total
Market152.5
Model159.9
Model edgeOver 7.4
L Under
Projected score
LEM 66.7 · TEX 93.1
LEM 53 · TEX 95
Win probability
TEX 99%
1st half
Spread
TEX -15.8
TEX -11.0
Total
74.8
71 points
Projected score
LEM 29.5 · TEX 45.3
LEM 30 · TEX 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -26.5
3 → TEX
CloseTEX -29.5
3 pts toward TEX
Total
Open159.5
▼ 7
Close152.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
LEM +3500 · TEX -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -26.5 · closed TEX -29.5 · moved 3 toward TEXmodel TEX -26.5
model TEX -26.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 7 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Le Moyne
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 69-74 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 60-83 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 80-94 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 74-68 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 76-63 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 83-79 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 85-96 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-63 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
+19.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+2.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
−12.5
28
@
LAF
W 76-63
+17.5
29
vs
MONM
W 83-79
+10.5
30
vs
BALL
L 85-96
−12.5
6
@
BING
W 78-63
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
−13.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+20.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
+34.5
28
@
LAF
W 76-63
−12.5
29
vs
MONM
W 83-79
+16.5
30
vs
BALL
L 85-96
+40.5
6
@
BING
W 78-63
−3.5
over 5under 4avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
DUKE
L 60-75
−4.5
8
vs
LAF
W 97-60
+11.5
12
vs
FDU
W 93-58
+3.5
15
vs
KC
W 71-55
−15.5
18
vs
RID
W 99-65
+3.5
24
vs
ASU
L 86-87
−7.5
26
vs
NCSU
W 102-97
+6.5
3
vs
UVA
L 69-88
−22.5
8
vs
SOU
W 95-69
+3.5
12
@
CONN
L 63-71
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
DUKE
L 60-75
−18.5
8
vs
LAF
W 97-60
+3.5
12
vs
FDU
W 93-58
−7.5
15
vs
KC
W 71-55
−33.5
18
vs
RID
W 99-65
+20.5
24
vs
ASU
L 86-87
+19.5
26
vs
NCSU
W 102-97
+37.5
3
vs
UVA
L 69-88
+2.5
8
vs
SOU
W 95-69
+5.5
12
@
CONN
L 63-71
−11.5
over 6under 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Le Moyne
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Binghamton78–63
- Lvs Ball State85–96
- Wvs Monmouth83–79
- W@ Lafayette76–63
- Lvs Fairfield83–97
A week or more of rest.
Texas
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UConn63–71
- Wvs Southern95–69
- Lvs Virginia69–88
- Wvs NC State102–97
- Lvs Arizona St86–87
4 days since their last game.