Tucker Center · at Florida St
Closing line
FSU -40.5✓ FSU covered by 6.5
FSU -40.5✓ FSU covered by 6.5Closing total164.5Under by 19.5
 MVSU | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-10 | Record | 5-6 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MVSU 63–96 FSU · ✓ FSU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 17 | 32 | 49 |
| FSU | 54 | 42 | 96 |
1st half: MVSU 17, FSU 54 (FSU by 37). The model had FSU by 20.1 and a total of 74.5 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MVSU | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-47 36% | Field goals | 32-69 46% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 13-40 33% |
| 12-22 55% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 14 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Sams F | 32 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mike James G | 31 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8-17 | 1-8 |
| Delkedric Holmes G | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Patrick Punch G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Mussa Mzein C | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| X'Zaevion Barnett G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Chance Sutton F | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Iroghama G | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antonio Sisk, Derrick Singleton, Daniel Mayfield, Jonathan Pace, Samuel Murray, George Ivory III
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Somerville G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Robert McCray V G | 24 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Lajae Jones G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 17 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Alex Steen F | 15 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Miles G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| AJ Swinton F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Alier Maluk F | 17 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Shah Muhammad F | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavier Osceola, Max Garcia-Plata, Jalen Crawford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFSU -40.5
ModelFSU -33.7
Model edgeMVSU +6.8
L FSU covered
Total
Market164.5
Model159.2
Model edgeUnder 5.3
W Under
Projected score
MVSU 62.8 · FSU 96.4
MVSU 49 · FSU 96
Win probability
FSU 100%
1st half
Spread
FSU -20.1
FSU -37.0
Total
74.5
71 points
Projected score
MVSU 27.2 · FSU 47.3
MVSU 17 · FSU 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -40.5
no move
CloseFSU -40.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▲ 7
Close164.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -40.5 · unchangedmodel FSU -33.5
model FSU -33.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 7 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| FSU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miss Valley St
10 games played
Straight up
0-10
0% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UAB | L 55-106 | +34.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ MUR | L 60-108 | +38.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ HAW | L 56-88 | +41.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs UTU | L 75-81 | +26.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs MAN | L 73-80 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ CSUB | L 70-86 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ TA&M | L 84-120 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ ULM | L 52-66 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 8 | @ KSU | L 49-108 | +38.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 16 | vs TAR | L 64-88 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
−16.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
−9.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
+9.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+20.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
+13.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+5.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+6.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−4.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−20.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
+15.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
+8.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
−7.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+10.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
−1.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+17.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+49.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−31.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−3.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
+9.5
over 6under 4avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vsCSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vsTA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
over 5under 6avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miss Valley St
0-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tarleton St64–88
- L@ Kansas St49–108
- L@ UL Monroe52–66
- L@ Texas A&M84–120
- L@ Bakersfield70–86
3 days since their last game.
Florida St
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Dayton69–97
- Lvs UMass95–103
- Lvs Houston67–82
- Lvs Georgia73–107
- Lvs Texas A&M59–95
3 days since their last game.