Ford Center · at Evansville
Closing line
EVAN -2.5✓ MTSU covered by 7.5
EVAN -2.5✓ MTSU covered by 7.5Closing total140.5Over by 8.5
 MTSU | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 73–72 EVAN · ✓ MTSU (51%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| EVAN | 28 | 44 | 72 |
1st half: MTSU 36, EVAN 28 (MTSU by 8). The model had MTSU by 0.4 and a total of 67.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MTSU | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 38 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Chris Loofe F | 25 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Sean Smith G | 24 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Tre Green G | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Torey Alston F | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahvin Carter G | 27 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-7 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jarred Hall F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luka Jovanovic, Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle, Marcus Whitlock Jr.
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Casey F | 37 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Leif Moeller G | 34 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 22 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Quinet G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Keishon Porter G | 25 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Trent Hundley F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Leo Amari IV, Dakota Candler, Weston Aigner, Kaia Berridge, James Dyson-Merwe, Marlon Barnes Jr., Aaron Gutman
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEVAN -2.5
ModelMTSU -0.4
Model edgeMTSU +2.9
W MTSU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
MTSU 72.6 · EVAN 72.2
MTSU 77 · EVAN 72
Win probability
MTSU 51%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -0.4
MTSU -8.0
Total
67.8
64 points
Projected score
MTSU 34.1 · EVAN 33.7
MTSU 36 · EVAN 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEVAN -1.5
1 → EVAN
CloseEVAN -2.5
1 pt toward EVAN
Total
Open142.5
▼ 2
Close140.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU +120 · EVAN -140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EVAN -1.5 · closed EVAN -2.5 · moved 1 toward EVANmodel MTSU -0.5
model MTSU -0.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| EVAN | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MTSU 1–0 EVANMTSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MTSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024-25 | EVAN 63 @ MTSU 80 | MTSU -10.5 | MTSU W |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ ACU | W 79-56 | +3.5 | W +26.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vsEVAN | W 80-63 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 16 | vs MUR | L 67-88 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 21 | vs OHIO | W 83-81 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs USF | W 95-88 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 1 | @ UAB | W 76-69 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ BEL | L 79-82 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs CBU | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 19 | vs LIP | W 67-65 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | @ TENN | L 64-82 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | W 73-69 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | @ LIB | L 63-73 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs KENN | W 84-79 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs JXST | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 18 | vs WKU | W 71-57 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 23 | @ SHSU | W 77-75 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 25 | @ LT | L 69-75 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 30 | vs NMSU | L 57-61 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 1 | vs UTEP | W 71-68 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 6 | @JXST | L 63-77 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 8 | @KENN | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 15 | @WKU | W 87-77 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 20 | vsLT | L 74-85 | -6.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 22 | vsSHSU | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @NMSU | W 71-66 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 1 | @UTEP | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 6 | vsLIB | L 81-86 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 8 | vsFIU | W 78-56 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 13 | vsLT | W 77-75 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 14 | vsJXST | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 18 | vs UTC | L 103-109 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 212 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@ACU
ACUW 79-56
+26.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-63
+6.5
16
vsMUR
MURL 67-88
−23.5
21
vsOHIO
OHIOW 83-81
+3.5
22
vsUSF
USFW 95-88
+8.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 69-80
−5.5
1
@UAB
UABW 76-69
+15.5
7
@BEL
BELL 79-82
+0.5
16
vsCBU
CBUW 75-64
+6.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 67-65
+0.5
23
@TENN
TENNL 64-82
+8.5
2
@FIU
FIUW 73-69
+0.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 63-73
−2.5
9
vsKENN
KENNW 84-79
−4.5
11
vsJXST
JXSTW 81-64
+11.5
18
vsWKU
WKUW 71-57
+8.5
23
@SHSU
SHSUW 77-75
+0.5
25
@LT
LTL 69-75
−3.5
30
vsNMSU
NMSUL 57-61
−11.5
1
vsUTEP
UTEPW 71-68
−0.5
6
@JXST
JXSTL 63-77
−12.5
8
@KENN
KENNW 76-75
+3.5
15
@WKU
WKUW 87-77
+12.5
20
vsLT
LTL 74-85
−17.5
22
vsSHSU
SHSUW 74-70
−0.5
27
@NMSU
NMSUW 71-66
+6.5
1
@UTEP
UTEPW 76-75
+3.5
6
vsLIB
LIBL 81-86
−6.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 78-56
+10.5
13
vsLT
LTW 77-75
+0.5
14
vsJXST
JXSTL 68-70
−0.5
18
vsUTC
UTCL 103-109
−7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@ACU
ACUW 79-56
−11.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-63
−1.5
16
vsMUR
MURL 67-88
+9.5
21
vsOHIO
OHIOW 83-81
+17.5
22
vsUSF
USFW 95-88
+37.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 69-80
+3.5
1
@UAB
UABW 76-69
−10.5
7
@BEL
BELL 79-82
+5.5
16
vsCBU
CBUW 75-64
−9.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 67-65
−16.5
23
@TENN
TENNL 64-82
+0.5
2
@FIU
FIUW 73-69
−8.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 63-73
−3.5
9
vsKENN
KENNW 84-79
+5.5
11
vsJXST
JXSTW 81-64
−0.5
18
vsWKU
WKUW 71-57
−29.5
23
@SHSU
SHSUW 77-75
+2.5
25
@LT
LTL 69-75
+3.5
30
vsNMSU
NMSUL 57-61
−25.5
1
vsUTEP
UTEPW 71-68
−4.5
6
@JXST
JXSTL 63-77
−1.5
8
@KENN
KENNW 76-75
−1.5
15
@WKU
WKUW 87-77
+12.5
20
vsLT
LTL 74-85
+17.5
22
vsSHSU
SHSUW 74-70
−5.5
27
@NMSU
NMSUW 71-66
−1.5
1
@UTEP
UTEPW 76-75
+4.5
6
vsLIB
LIBL 81-86
+26.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 78-56
−11.5
13
vsLT
LTW 77-75
+10.5
14
vsJXST
JXSTL 68-70
+0.5
18
vsUTC
UTCL 103-109
+58.5
over 16under 16avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
31 games played
Straight up
10-21
32% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ UNT | L 63-80 | +13.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 13 | @MTSU | L 63-80 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | L 81-92 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ OSU | L 30-80 | +24.5 | L −25.5 | 148.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | W 98-81 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs CAM | W 66-53 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 3 | @MUR | L 61-63 | +13.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 7 | vsWKU | L 65-79 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 12 | vsUTC | L 67-75 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ UTA | L 54-80 | +9.5 | L −16.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | @ BALL | L 43-80 | +4.5 | L −32.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 29 | vs MOST | W 57-40 | +4.5 | W +21.5 | 133.5 | U 97 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | W 68-53 | +7.5 | W +22.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | L 62-66 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 8 | vs ILST | W 69-51 | +5.5 | W +23.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 11 | @ DRKE | L 40-63 | +15.5 | L −7.5 | 120.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 14 | @ UNI | L 56-73 | +13.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 18 | vsBEL | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | vs UIC | L 67-78 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 25 | @ VAL | W 78-68 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 29 | vsMUR | W 78-74 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 2 | @BEL | W 80-75 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | vsSIU | L 59-68 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 8 | vsBRAD | L 74-80 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 12 | @MOST | L 54-71 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 16 | vsVAL | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | @INST | W 79-74 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 22 | @UIC | L 77-82 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 26 | vsDRKE | L 61-65 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 125.5 | O 126 |
| Mar 2 | @ILST | L 53-62 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 115 |
| Mar 6 | vsMUR | L 53-74 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@UNT
UNTL 63-80
−3.5
13
@MTSU
MTSUL 63-80
−6.5
16
vsRAD
RADL 81-92
−14.5
19
@OSU
OSUL 30-80
−25.5
22
vsGB
GBW 98-81
+18.5
24
vsCAM
CAMW 66-53
+9.5
3
@MUR
MURL 61-63
+11.5
7
vsWKU
WKUL 65-79
−7.5
12
vsUTC
UTCL 67-75
−6.5
18
@UTA
UTAL 54-80
−16.5
21
@BALL
BALLL 43-80
−32.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTW 57-40
+21.5
1
@SIU
SIUW 68-53
+22.5
4
vsINST
INSTL 62-66
−0.5
8
vsILST
ILSTW 69-51
+23.5
11
@DRKE
DRKEL 40-63
−7.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 56-73
−3.5
18
vsBEL
BELL 82-85
+2.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 67-78
−5.5
25
@VAL
VALW 78-68
+17.5
29
vsMUR
MURW 78-74
+9.5
2
@BEL
BELW 80-75
+15.5
5
vsSIU
SIUL 59-68
−10.5
8
vsBRAD
BRADL 74-80
−0.5
12
@MOST
MOSTL 54-71
−13.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 79-69
+11.5
19
@INST
INSTW 79-74
+12.5
22
@UIC
UICL 77-82
+2.5
26
vsDRKE
DRKEL 61-65
+4.5
2
@ILST
ILSTL 53-62
+2.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 53-74
−15.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@UNT
UNTL 63-80
+9.5
13
@MTSU
MTSUL 63-80
−1.5
16
vsRAD
RADL 81-92
+29.5
19
@OSU
OSUL 30-80
−38.5
22
vsGB
GBW 98-81
+27.5
24
vsCAM
CAMW 66-53
−25.5
3
@MUR
MURL 61-63
−21.5
7
vsWKU
WKUL 65-79
−8.5
12
vsUTC
UTCL 67-75
−6.5
18
@UTA
UTAL 54-80
−17.5
21
@BALL
BALLL 43-80
−16.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTW 57-40
−36.5
1
@SIU
SIUW 68-53
−17.5
4
vsINST
INSTL 62-66
−22.5
8
vsILST
ILSTW 69-51
−11.5
11
@DRKE
DRKEL 40-63
−17.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 56-73
−3.5
18
vsBEL
BELL 82-85
+19.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 67-78
+2.5
25
@VAL
VALW 78-68
+4.5
29
vsMUR
MURW 78-74
+17.5
2
@BEL
BELW 80-75
+2.5
5
vsSIU
SIUL 59-68
−14.5
8
vsBRAD
BRADL 74-80
+15.5
12
@MOST
MOSTL 54-71
−7.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 79-69
+5.5
19
@INST
INSTW 79-74
+3.5
22
@UIC
UICL 77-82
+13.5
26
vsDRKE
DRKEL 61-65
+0.5
2
@ILST
ILSTL 53-62
−26.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 53-74
−2.5
over 13under 18avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Evansville
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue51–82
A week or more of rest.