Foster Pavilion · at Baylor
Closing line
BAY -26.5✓ BAY covered by 3.5
BAY -26.5✓ BAY covered by 3.5Closing total148.5Over by 15.5
 NORF | This season | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 6-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NORF 65–87 BAY · ✓ BAY (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| BAY | 47 | 50 | 97 |
1st half: NORF 31, BAY 47 (BAY by 16). The model had BAY by 13.6 and a total of 71.2 (actual 78).
Team stats
| NORF | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 36-68 53% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 18-26 69% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 10 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| NORF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Jamison G | 38 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-2 |
| Anthony McComb III G | 37 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 4-13 | 0-3 |
| Devon Ellis F | 36 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Leaks G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Keyontae Lewis F | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrean Newton G | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaquel Morris F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dian Wright-Forde G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Yel Deeng F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: My'kel Jenkins, Ryan Williams, Ahmad Torrence, Melo Baines, Dramane Camara, Mekhi Reid
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 32 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Michael Rataj G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Carr G | 29 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 9-11 | 0-2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 28 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7-16 | 1-3 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 24 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Powell C | 26 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 26 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Will Kuykendall G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Drew Perry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Maikcol Perez, Mayo Soyoye, James Goodis, Andre Iguodala II, JJ White, Juslin Bodo Bodo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBAY -26.5
ModelBAY -22.7
Model edgeNORF +3.8
L BAY covered
Total
Market148.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 3.6
W Over
Projected score
NORF 64.7 · BAY 87.4
NORF 67 · BAY 97
Win probability
BAY 98%
1st half
Spread
BAY -13.6
BAY -16.0
Total
71.2
78 points
Projected score
NORF 28.8 · BAY 42.4
NORF 31 · BAY 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBAY -26.5
no move
CloseBAY -26.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NORF +3000 · BAY -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BAY -26.5 · unchangedmodel BAY -22.5
model BAY -22.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORFlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
| BAYlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NORF 0–3 BAYBAY leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BAY has won the last 3 meetings · NORF 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024-25 | NORF 69 @ BAY 94 | BAY -25.5 | NORF W |
| Nov 11, 2022-23 | NORF 70 @ BAY 87 | BAY -27.5 | NORF W |
| Mar 17, 2021-22 | NORF 49 vs BAY 85 | BAY -20.5 | BAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Norfolk St
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
W&M
W&ML 78-81
−0.5
11
@
ODU
ODUL 57-60
+5.5
14
@
TOW
TOWL 41-51
+3.5
21
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−0.5
23
@
WYO
WYOL 67-75
+7.5
29
@
ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
−1.5
6
@
JMU
JMUL 67-68
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
+0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
−32.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
−46.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−11.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+0.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
+12.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
−3.5
over 3under 4avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +13.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
over 6under 2avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Norfolk St
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ James Madison67–68
- L@ Arizona61–98
- L@ Wyoming67–75
- Wvs Hampton62–60
- L@ Towson41–51
4 days since their last game.
Baylor
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Memphis71–78
- Wvs Sacramento St110–88
- Wvs San Diego St91–81
- Lvs St John's81–96
- Wvs Creighton81–74
4 days since their last game.