Hamilton Gymnasium · at Denver · Conference game
Closing line
DEN -9.5✓ DEN covered by 3.5
DEN -9.5✓ DEN covered by 3.5Closing total156.5Over by 4.5
 KC | This season | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-11 | Record | 4-8 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 12-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KC 75–81 DEN · ✓ DEN (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 28 | 46 | 74 |
| DEN | 41 | 46 | 87 |
1st half: KC 28, DEN 41 (DEN by 13). The model had DEN by 3.8 and a total of 72.9 (actual 69).
Team stats
| KC | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| KC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Evans G | 37 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 6-15 | 0-5 |
| Jerome Palm F | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Karmello Branch G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| Kasheem Grady II G | 25 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Jayson Petty G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Dockery F | 20 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Addarin Scott F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Baba Mbengue C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamaria Clark G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Trey Booker-Lowery G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Hilliard, Cory Curtis Jr., Kernan Bundy, Max Sims, D'Andre Harrison
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 37 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-5 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 35 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Zane Nelson G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julius Rollins G | 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Didier Maleng, Ian Motta, Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Loch Cunningham, Josh Lee, Devin Carney
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDEN -9.5
ModelDEN -6.6
Model edgeKC +2.9
L DEN covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
KC 74.5 · DEN 81.1
KC 74 · DEN 87
Win probability
DEN 72%
1st half
Spread
DEN -3.8
DEN -13.0
Total
72.9
69 points
Projected score
KC 34.5 · DEN 38.4
KC 28 · DEN 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDEN -9.5
no move
CloseDEN -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
KC +410 · DEN -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DEN -9.5 · unchangedmodel DEN -6.5
model DEN -6.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0-10 0% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| DEN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 10-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
KC 5–4 DENKC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · KC 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | DEN 56 @ KC 64 | KC -7.5 | KC W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | KC 68 @ DEN 69 | DEN +3.5 | DEN W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | DEN 61 vs KC 60 | KC -5.5 | DEN W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | KC 84 @ DEN 69 | DEN -4.5 | KC W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | DEN 71 @ KC 85 | KC -2.5 | KC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas City
11 games played
Straight up
0-11
0% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SIU | L 78-101 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 11 | vs IONA | L 91-105 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEX | L 55-71 | +31.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 19 | @ TCU | L 45-81 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | @ LIN | L 67-80 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | @ WEB | L 61-82 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs IDST | L 59-68 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | @ EWU | L 66-90 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsWEB | L 60-64 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ OU | L 67-89 | +30.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 18 | @ OKST | L 79-91 | +27.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
−10.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
−9.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
+15.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−12.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−8.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−10.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−3.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
−14.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
+3.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+8.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
+37.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
+39.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
−33.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−24.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−5.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−12.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−10.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
+4.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
−26.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+2.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+8.5
over 5under 6avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Denver
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-0
100% overs · avg +15.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vsEWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
over 12under 0avg +15.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas City
0-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St79–91
- L@ Oklahoma67–89
- Lvs Weber St60–64
- L@ E Washington66–90
- Lvs Idaho St59–68
A week or more of rest.
Denver
4-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tulsa85–90
- W@ N Colorado86–79
- Lvs Fullerton86–105
- L@ Idaho St79–93
- Wvs E Washington93–89
A week or more of rest.