Merkert Gymnasium · at Stonehill · Conference game
Closing line
STO -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 16.5
STO -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 16.5Closing total128.5Under by 3.5
 NHVN | This season | STO |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 1-10 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NHVN 64–65 STO · ✗ STO (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| STO | 31 | 24 | 55 |
1st half: NHVN 36, STO 31 (NHVN by 5). The model had STO by 0.2 and a total of 60.3 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NHVN | STO | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 20-57 35% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 9 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najimi George G | 36 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Andre Pasha F | 35 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-4 |
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 32 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 28 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Teshaun Steele F | 15 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Maison Adeleye G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Zoumana Traore F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Burth C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dior Kennedy, Matiss Ogle, Kyle Kearson, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Owen Hotaling, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-15 | 3-9 |
| Chas Stinson G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 29 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Ridvan Tutic F | 25 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Pearse McGuinn F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Davante Hackett G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Meuser F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cory Lovell F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Byrne, Norbu Jenpa, Anthony Holden, Eino Montin, Charlie Diamantis, Will Batchelder
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTO -1.5
ModelSTO -0.6
Model edgeNHVN +0.9
W NHVN covered
Total
Market128.5
Model128.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
NHVN 64 · STO 64.6
NHVN 70 · STO 55
Win probability
STO 52%
1st half
Spread
STO -0.2
NHVN -5.0
Total
60.3
67 points
Projected score
NHVN 30 · STO 30.3
NHVN 36 · STO 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTO -2.5
1 → NHVN
CloseSTO -1.5
1 pt toward NHVN
Total
Open127.5
▲ 1
Close128.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NHVN -102 · STO -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STO -2.5 · closed STO -1.5 · moved 1 toward NHVNmodel STO -0.5
model STO -0.5
Opened 127.5 · closed 128.5 · moved 1 upmodel 128.5 matches the line
model 128.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| STO | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Haven
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @ HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @ BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @ FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
over 3under 7avg −8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stonehill
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DEP | L 64-72 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | @ URI | L 57-80 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | @ FAIR | L 71-73 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs L-MD | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ ISU | L 57-96 | +40.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAF | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 26 | vsUML | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | @ QUIN | L 62-76 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRY | L 65-77 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ UNH | L 58-59 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 22 | @ SYR | L 48-77 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−13.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
+1.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
−5.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
+2.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−9.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
−10.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
+7.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
−21.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−15.5
over 4under 7avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Haven
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt53–96
- L@ Fordham47–65
- L@ NJIT64–70
- L@ Boston College63–67
- L@ Seton Hall45–68
4 days since their last game.
Stonehill
1-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Syracuse48–77
- L@ New Hampshire58–59
- L@ Bryant65–77
- L@ Quinnipiac62–76
- Lvs UMass Lowell64–75
A week or more of rest.