David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · at Hofstra · Conference game
Closing line
HOF -4.5✓ HOF covered by 17.5
HOF -4.5✓ HOF covered by 17.5Closing total137.5Under by 17.5
 TOW | This season | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 13-9 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 14-8 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 65–69 HOF · ✓ HOF (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| HOF | 46 | 25 | 71 |
1st half: TOW 20, HOF 46 (HOF by 26). The model had HOF by 1.8 and a total of 62.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| TOW | HOF | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-54 30% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 30 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 29 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Mor Seck C | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Tejada F | 26 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-2 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 25 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Conway G | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Ryan Skerry G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaiden Cole, Jon Barton, Abdou Samb, Brandon Holmes
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Edmead G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Cruz Davis G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Silas Sunday F | 24 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| German Plotnikov G | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Biggie Patterson G | 27 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Joshua Aaron Reaves G | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alex Tsynkevich C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amir Williams, Carlos Lopez, Brandon Morgan, Trey Boyd III, A.J. Wills
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOF -4.5
ModelHOF -3.2
Model edgeTOW +1.3
L HOF covered
Total
Market137.5
Model134.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
TOW 65.4 · HOF 68.6
TOW 49 · HOF 71
Win probability
HOF 61%
1st half
Spread
HOF -1.8
HOF -26.0
Total
62.8
66 points
Projected score
TOW 30.5 · HOF 32.3
TOW 20 · HOF 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOF -3.5
1 → HOF
CloseHOF -4.5
1 pt toward HOF
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOW +170 · HOF -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOF -3.5 · closed HOF -4.5 · moved 1 toward HOFmodel HOF -3
model HOF -3
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| HOF | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TOW 4–3 HOFTOW leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TOW 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | HOF 78 @ TOW 67 | TOW -1.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | HOF 60 @ TOW 65 | TOW -4.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | TOW 56 @ HOF 59 | HOF -3.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | TOW 72 @ HOF 76 | HOF -2.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 16, 2022-23 | HOF 47 @ TOW 68 | TOW -2.5 | TOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ HOU | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs NORF | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ JMU | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs URI | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs LIB | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCSD | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs COR | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ UCF | L 61-86 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 16 | @ KU | L 49-73 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs SHU | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 29 | @ W&M | L 70-84 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ HAMP | L 62-63 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | vs MONM | L 48-62 | -8.5 | L −22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 8 | vsHOF | L 67-78 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs COFC | W 61-52 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vs DREX | W 59-58 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 124.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 22 | @ ELON | W 72-59 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ NCAT | L 73-80 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 29 | vs UNCW | L 73-82 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsHAMP | W 82-50 | -8.5 | W +23.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
−12.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+6.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−15.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−9.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
+11.5
29
@W&M
W&ML 70-84
−12.5
31
@HAMP
HAMPL 62-63
−7.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 48-62
−22.5
8
vsHOF
HOFL 67-78
−12.5
10
@NE
NEW 87-78
+6.5
15
vsCOFC
COFCW 61-52
+5.5
19
vsDREX
DREXW 59-58
−6.5
22
@ELON
ELONW 72-59
+14.5
24
@NCAT
NCATL 73-80
−14.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-82
−10.5
31
vsHAMP
HAMPW 82-50
+23.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
+21.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+18.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−1.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−15.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
−26.5
29
@W&M
W&ML 70-84
−3.5
31
@HAMP
HAMPL 62-63
−11.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 48-62
−26.5
8
vsHOF
HOFL 67-78
+10.5
10
@NE
NEW 87-78
+21.5
15
vsCOFC
COFCW 61-52
−30.5
19
vsDREX
DREXW 59-58
−7.5
22
@ELON
ELONW 72-59
−14.5
24
@NCAT
NCATL 73-80
+13.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-82
+19.5
31
vsHAMP
HAMPW 82-50
+0.5
over 9under 13avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hofstra
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 7 | @ PITT | W 80-73 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ SYR | W 70-69 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs QUIN | W 74-66 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs CAM | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @DREX | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 8 | @TOW | W 78-67 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsMONM | W 67-64 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 15 | @ STBK | L 71-76 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsELON | L 85-89 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 22 | @NCAT | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @W&M | L 82-89 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | vsCOFC | L 64-66 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | @MONM | W 73-57 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 5 | vsNE | W 80-63 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+15.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
+10.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+7.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
−1.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+12.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−4.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
−11.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
−9.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
−10.5
24
@W&M
W&ML 82-89
−3.5
29
vsCOFC
COFCL 64-66
−4.5
31
@MONM
MONMW 73-57
+14.5
5
vsNE
NEW 80-63
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+18.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
−0.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
−7.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+8.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
+5.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+10.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−8.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
+10.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
+24.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
+10.5
24
@W&M
W&ML 82-89
+13.5
29
vsCOFC
COFCL 64-66
−18.5
31
@MONM
MONMW 73-57
−10.5
5
vsNE
NEW 80-63
−10.5
over 13under 9avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
11-11 overall · 5-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hampton82–50
- Lvs UNC Wilmington73–82
- L@ NC A&T73–80
- W@ Elon72–59
- Wvs Drexel59–58
A week or more of rest.
Hofstra
13-9 overall · 6-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northeastern80–63
- W@ Monmouth73–57
- Lvs Charleston64–66
- L@ William & Mary82–89
- L@ NC A&T78–79
2 days since their last game.