When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
559 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 58–66 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 261 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 28% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 559 games
2023–2026 · Totals 58–66 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
HOU -4 | 62.5 | 10174567 | Q4 | OKST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
32–35 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ARST -5.5 | 61.5 | 6232336 | U | ARST Q1 | 23–13 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 6 |
UNT -27.5 | 58.5 | 13505760 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 10–50 |
2026 · Week 6 |
FLA -10.5 | 59.5 | 14274457 | U | SC Q1 | 38–19 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -3.5 | 61.5 | 17416283 | Q3 | ARIZ Q1 | 52–31 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LOU -4 | 60.5 | 14284264 | Q4 | LOU Q3 | 20–44 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ARST -3 | 60.5 | 216284105 | Q2 | USA Q1 | 56–49 |
 MCN @  LSU2026 · Week 5 |
LSU -53.5 | 62.5 | 14356377 | Q3 | MCN Q1 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 5 |
USC -7.5 | 58.5 | 10244346 | U | WASH Q1 | 21–25 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ORST -7 | 60.5 | 21496282 | Q3 | ORST Q2 | 56–26 |
 TXSO @  FAU2026 · Week 5 |
FAU -47.5 | 62.5 | 31596976 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 10–66 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ILL -9.5 | 62.5 | 3202341 | U | PUR Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ALA -5.5 | 62.5 | 21456579 | Q3 | ALA Q1 | 56–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SMU -30.5 | 60.5 | 10243158 | U | MOST Q1 | 24–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FAU -11.5 | 58.5 | 14525962 | Q3 | FAU Q2 | 45–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MSST -3.5 | 58.5 | 14244155 | U | MSST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ORE -3.5 | 60.5 | 3234768 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 41–27 |
 HCU @  UNT2026 · Week 4 |
UNT -38.5 | 60.5 | 21496377 | Q3 | UNT Q4 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 4 |
WVU -1.5 | 60.5 | 10275265 | Q4 | OKST Q2 | 41–24 |
 MERC @  WKU2026 · Week 4 |
WKU -39.5 | 58.5 | 10315259 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 7–52 |
 NCCU @  ECU2026 · Week 4 |
ECU -37.5 | 58.5 | 10454551 | U | NCCU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FLA -4 | 58.5 | 10235280 | Q4 | FLA Q1 | 28–52 |
 W&M @  DUKE2026 · Week 4 |
DUKE -43.5 | 61.5 | 21455569 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 | 7–62 |
 CARK @  FSU2026 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 62.5 | 14314141 | U | CARK Q1 | 7–34 |
 BUCK @  PITT2026 · Week 4 |
PITT -54.5 | 63.5 | 14354259 | U | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
0–59 |
 SDAK @  BOIS2026 · Week 3 |
BOIS -28.5 | 61.5 | 14354562 | Q4 | SDAK Q1 Late over |
24–38 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TEX -29.5 | 58.5 | 13232936 | U | UTSA Q1 | 6–30 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TENN -35.5 | 60.5 | 18243851 | U | KENN Q1 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2026 · Week 3 |
LSU -3 | 58.5 | 10314556 | U | MISS Q1 | 24–32 |
 EWU @  WASH2026 · Week 3 |
WASH -42.5 | 58.5 | 17415164 | Q4 | EWU Q1 Late over |
16–48 |
 UTM @  MEM2026 · Week 3 |
MEM -33.5 | 58.5 | 10313866 | Q4 | UTM Q1 | 21–45 |
 DSU @  USF2026 · Week 3 |
USF -37.5 | 59.5 | 21455976 | Q4 | USF Q4 | 17–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
FAU -5.5 | 62.5 | 10172326 | U | FAU Q3 | 10–16 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SC -3 | 59.5 | 13375475 | Q4 | MSST Q3 | 41–34 |
2026 · Week 3 |
IU -44.5 | 59.5 | 0143138 | U | WKU Q1 | 0–38 |
2026 · Week 3 |
USC -21 | 59.5 | 17346377 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 | 42–35 |
 WAG @  CAL2026 · Week 3 |
CAL -58.5 | 65.5 | 29465356 | U | WAG Q1 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
OSU -52.5 | 58.5 | 21354262 | Q4 | OSU Q4 | 3–59 |
 MER @  GT2026 · Week 3 |
GT -38.5 | 58.5 | 7274855 | U | MER Q1 | 11–44 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TXST -3 | 62.5 | 28566384 | Q3 | TXST Q3 | 35–49 |
2026 · Week 2 |
USC -30.5 | 58.5 | 10385279 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 30–49 |
 CP @  SJSU2026 · Week 2 |
SJSU -21.5 | 58.5 | 0193350 | U | CP Q1 | 20–30 |
2026 · Week 2 |
MISS -44.5 | 59.5 | 7273350 | U | CLT Q1 | 9–41 |
2026 · Week 2 |
NAVY -4.5 | 59.5 | 21385268 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
 SOU @  HOU2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -51.5 | 61.5 | 28497683 | Q3 | HOU Q3 | 6–77 |
 WCU @  CIN2026 · Week 2 |
CIN -36.5 | 61.5 | 10385972 | Q4 | CIN Q3 | 10–62 |
 UCD @  SMU2026 · Week 2 |
SMU -32.5 | 59.5 | 14424966 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 10–56 |
2026 · Week 2 |
UNLV -3 | 58.5 | 13234050 | U | UNT Q1 | 6–44 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TXST -1.5 | 65.5 | 7244057 | U | UTSA Q4 | 31–26 |
OKST
ARST
USM
WVU
CLT
SC
FLA
ARIZ
LOU
USA
USC
ORST
CSU
PUR
ILL
ALA
MSST
MOST
ULM
MIZ
ORE
MISS
UTSA
TEX
KENN
TENN
FIU
IU
RUTG
KENT
OSU
TXST
UL
NAVY
UNLVWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 285
Q2 16% 91
Q3 13% 74
Q4 18% 101
OT 0% 1
Push 1% 7
The team leading at halftime won 87% and covered 68% of 511 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 68% of 541 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 72 | 100% 72 |
| 1–3 | 28 | 100% 28 |
| 4–7 | 37 | 95% 35 |
| 8–10 | 31 | 77% 24 |
| 11–14 | 63 | 63% 40 |
| 15–17 | 48 | 56% 27 |
| 18–21 | 52 | 27% 14 |
| 22+ | 228 | 9% 21 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.