Charlotte @ Ole Miss: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Ole Miss

Weather at kickoff79°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Charlotte

0-1 · Power #135

final

Final

Ole Miss

1-0 · Power #12

▲ winner

Closing spread

MISS -44.5

✓ CLT W

Total

59.5

▼ Under · 50 pts

Model before kickoff

CLT 8–52 MISS

✓ MISS (100%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMISS -46.5

CloseMISS -44.5

Total61.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMISS -46.5

2 → CLT

CloseMISS -44.5

2 pts toward Charlotte

Total

Open61.5

▼ 2

Close59.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MISS -46.5 · closed MISS -44.5 · moved 2 toward CLTmodel MISS -41.5

model MISS -41.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 42.5–46.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 54% (56 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 50% (230 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMISS -46.5

CloseMISS -44.5

Total61.5 → 59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 5 games most like MISS as a 44.5-point home favorite against CLT, the favorite won 5, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: MISS won 41–9; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 5 similar games. 50 points stayed under 59.5, as in 4 of 5.

Favorite won

5 of 5100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

1 of 520%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

1 of 520%

Normal range · usually 40%

Only 5 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 37 against an average line of 40.5; 50.2 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 5 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	UGA vs MASS 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-42.5	59–21	L	O55.5
Loose	UGA vs CLT 2025 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & spread	-42.5	35–3	L	U53.5
Loose	OU vs TEM 2024 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & total	-43	51–3	W	U57.5
Loose	TA&M vs NMSU 2024 · Week 12 · loose	-38.5	38–3	L	U54.5
Loose	MISS vs ULM 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & total	-36	35–3	L	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLT L	0-1	0%	—	—
MISS L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: CLT away, as underdog; MISS home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLT O	1-0	100%	0-1
MISS O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 47% of games with totals 55.5–63.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLT	0-10 0%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
MISS	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLT−18.1 →−17.9▲ 0.2#133

MISS+18.8 →+16.9▼ 1.9#13

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

CLT

Longer bar = better

MISS

#58

Offense

Even

#63

#118

Defense

Even

#114

−2.0 #125

Turnovers

Even

−2.0 #122

74 plays #39

Pace

MISS faster ▶

78 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: CLT offense

	CLT off	MISS def	Edge
Points / game	41.0 #48	38.0 #116	CLT
Yards / play	7.27 #41	6.90 #120	CLT
PPA / play	+0.21 #71	+0.28 #114	CLT
Success rate	46% #72	44% #104	CLT

When MISS has the ball

Advantage: MISS offense

	MISS off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	41.0 #47	43.0 #123	MISS
Yards / play	6.26 #67	6.35 #110	MISS
PPA / play	+0.23 #70	+0.38 #123	MISS
Success rate	47% #69	48% #117	MISS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.