LSU @ Auburn: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Auburn · Conference game

Kickoff forecast67°F11 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

LSU

5-2 · Power #6

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Auburn

4-2 · Power #25

projected

LSU 70%

30% AUB

Spread

LSU -7

open LSU -6.5

Total

51.5

model 48

Spread edge

LSU by 2

no lean

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenLSU -6.5

CurrentLSU -7

Total50.5 → 51.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenLSU -6.5

0.5 → LSU

NowLSU -7

0.5 pts toward LSU

Total

Open50.5

▲ 1

Now51.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened LSU -6.5 · now LSU -7 · moved 0.5 toward LSUmodel LSU -9

model LSU -9

Openline modelNow

Line context

Road favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 68%, covered 54% (165 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenLSU -6.5

CurrentLSU -7

Total50.5 → 51.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:02

LSU at Auburn: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:22 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

Let’s run the numbers. LSU heads to Auburn for a Saturday kickoff at 12 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, LSU sits 6th, Auburn 25th. That’s about 11 points better than Auburn on a neutral field. Since the preseason, LSU has moved up from 21st to 6th, while Auburn has dropped from 22nd to 25th. Kickoff forecast at Jordan-Hare Stadium: 66 degrees, dry, wind 13 miles per hour, gusting to 19. On offense, LSU ranks 20th and Auburn 91st. LSU has the better defense, 8th to 52nd. Against the spread, LSU is 3 and 4 and Auburn is 2 and 4. Our model projects LSU 27, Auburn 20, with a 70 percent win chance. LSU is favored by 7, up from 6.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 50.5 and sits at 51.5. Our model makes it LSU by 9, with a total near 47.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	LSU	AUB	Over	Under	LSU	AUB
BetMGMMGM	-7-105	+7-105	51.5-105	51.5-112	+220	+220
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-7-112	+7-112	51.5-110	51.5-110	+222	+222
BetRiversBetRivers	-7.5-117	+7.5-117	51.5-109	51.5-113	+230	+230
BetUSBetUS	-7-110	+7-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+225	+225
BovadaBovada	-7+100	+7+100	51-110	51-110	+240	+240
DraftKingsDK	-7-120	+7+100	51.5-105	51.5-115	-285	+230
FanDuelFD	-6.5+102	+6.5+102	51.5-108	51.5-112	+210	+210
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-7-108	+7-108	51.5-108	51.5-108	+222	+222
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-7-110	+7-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+219	+219

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	LSU	AUB	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	-4.5-107	+4.5-113	26.5-108	26.5-112
DraftKingsDK	-4.5-108	+4.5-112	26.5-108	26.5-112
FanDuelFD	-5.5-110	+5.5-110	25.5-114	25.5-106

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

LSU -7

AUB +7

Bets37% 63%

Money37% 63%

Winner

LSU

AUB

Bets88% 12%

Money55% 45%

Money is 33 pts ahead of bets on AUB

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LSU as a 7-point road favorite at AUB, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 4 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 12.9 against an average line of 7.2; 54.9 points a game (usually 52.2). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LSU @ UK 2026 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-9.5	34–35	L	O50.5
Very close	TEX @ TA&M 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & total	-4.5	17–7	W	U50
Very close	ALA @ AUB 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	27–20	P	U48.5
Very close	MISS @ ARK 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-8	63–31	W	O54
Very close	ND @ USC 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & total	-7	49–35	W	O52.5
Very close	CLEM @ VT 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-5.5	24–14	W	U54.5
Very close	ORE @ WASH 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	26–14	W	U51.5
Very close	MIA @ SMU 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-8.5	20–26	L	U50.5
Very close	PSU @ WIS 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	28–13	W	U47
Very close	PSU @ MD 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-8.5	51–15	W	O50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LSU LWLLW	3-4	43%	0-2	3-4
AUB WLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	1-2

Venue/role: LSU away, as favorite; AUB home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LSU UUOOU	4-3	57%	5-2
AUB UOUUO	2-4	33%	4-2

In 1583 games with totals 47.5–55.5, 53% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LSU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
AUB	5-5 50%	3-6-1 33%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

LSU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs ALA	L9–20LU
Nov 14	vs TEX	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	@ TENN	No meeting since 2023

Auburn

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	@ MISS	L21–28LU
Nov 7	vs ARK	W33–24WO
Nov 14	@ MSST	W27–13WP

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

LSU 33–23 AUB (1 tied) LSU leads · 57 games since 1902 · LSU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 14 2023	Auburn 18 @ LSU 48	LSU -10.5	LSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LSU+12.7 →+22.8▲ 10.1#6

AUB+11.9 →+11.8▼ 0.1#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

LSU

Longer bar = better

AUB

#20

Offense

◀ LSU better

#91

Defense

◀ LSU better

#52

−0.3 #95

Turnovers

AUB better ▶

+0.3 #49

79 plays #3

Pace

◀ LSU faster

71 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LSU has the ball

Advantage: LSU offense

	LSU off	AUB def	Edge
Points / game	40.4 #7	21.8 #55	LSU
Yards / play	6.36 #43	5.06 #46	Even
PPA / play	+0.25 #25	+0.03 #43	Even
Success rate	52% #4	41% #64	LSU

When AUB has the ball

Advantage: LSU defense

	AUB off	LSU def	Edge
Points / game	26.8 #85	15.9 #17	LSU
Yards / play	5.58 #91	4.28 #5	LSU
PPA / play	+0.09 #92	−0.09 #8	LSU
Success rate	41% #95	32% #2	LSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LSU scoring against the AUB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LSU scored	10.3 #16	9.0 #72	19.3 #30	12.7 #1	7.4 #58	20.1 #8
AUB allowed	4.0 #46	5.2 #29	9.2 #36	5.7 #84	7.0 #89	12.7 #91

AUB scoring against the LSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AUB scored	6.2 #71	9.2 #67	15.3 #68	6.2 #69	5.3 #112	11.5 #91
LSU allowed	2.9 #23	5.4 #34	8.3 #25	2.4 #21	4.0 #18	6.4 #8

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.