1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. LIB vs SIU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Liberty Flames vs Southern Illinois Salukis

Curry Arena · Neutral site
#160LIBLiberty
vs
#195SIUS Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LIBThis seasonSIU
0-1Record0-0
0-1ATS0-0
0-1O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LIB 71–71 · win probability LIB 52%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LIB has more of the edges

LIB 4, SIU 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LIB 19.3%, SIU 30.9%. Defensive: LIB 66.9%, SIU 72.7%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: LIB plays 65.1 a game (343rd fastest), SIU 70.6 (91st). Faster games mean more points
LIBSmall
SIU offense vs LIB defense
Offense 227th of 366 against a defense 138th, on the model’s ratings
LIBSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LIB 13.4%, SIU 17.1%. Forced: LIB 17.0%, SIU 18.5%
LIBSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: LIB 59.1 and allows 52.7; SIU 49.1 and allows 49.0
LIBSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LIB 47%, SIU 22%. Transfers in: LIB 2, SIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: LIB 31.4, SIU 31.3. Allowed: LIB 27.0, SIU 31.4
Even
LIB offense vs SIU defense
Offense 202nd of 366 against a defense 181st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
LIB hits 38.6% and allows 37.7%; SIU hits 27.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 47.7% and 29.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
LIB has played the 148th-hardest schedule, SIU the 139th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LIB -0.5—
Total—142.1—
Projected score—LIB 71.3 · SIU 70.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLIB -0.4—
1H total66.5—
1H projected scoreLIB 33.5 · SIU 33—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Liberty 0, S Illinois 0, even 5
LibertyBetterS Illinois
G C. Campbell TR12.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.1 ast Score 67
Even
G J. Haynes7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 71
G E. Sancomb10 pts · 6 reb · 4 ast Score 55
No call
G C. Hawkins1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G C. Campbell TR9 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.5 ast Score 31
Even
F M. Pikaar1.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Score 19
G Z. Carter2.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
No call
F D. Hill NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F D. Claussen2 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast Score 50
No call
C J. Webber1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
LibertyBetterS Illinois
LIB offense202nd of 366 · -6.3
Even
SIU defense181st of 366 · -4.1
LIB defense138th of 366 · -2.9
LIBSmall
SIU offense227th of 366 · -7.0
Backcourt-2.8 · 4 players
SIUSmall
Backcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestLIB betterSIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Liberty
Guards
C. Campbell35 min · TRE. Sancomb34 minC. Campbell29 min · TRZ. Carter12 minM. SheltonNewE. HerbertNew
Forwards
D. Claussen33 minR. Jones5 minB. Kester3 minD. Grimes3 minT. Drain2 minT. Sorensen2 min
S Illinois
Guards
J. Haynes21 minC. Hawkins5 minB. McClureNewJ. FugateNewL. WalshNewJ. JacksonNew
Forwards
M. Pikaar11 minD. HillNewD. PauliukonisNewP. RanieriNewT. LaurNew
Centers
J. Webber7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LIBSIU
Scoring
75.8 #146Points per game72.7 #229
1.17 #41Points per possession1.03 #285
65.1 #343Pace (possessions)70.6 #91
Shooting
59.1 #4Effective FG%49.1 #286
38.6 #83-point %27.8 #363
47.7 #283-point attempt rate29.2 #355
31.4 #273Free throw rate31.3 #275
Possessions
13.4 #13Turnover rate17.1 #207
19.3 #365Offensive rebound rate30.9 #167
16.5 #36Assists per game13.3 #188
Defense
72.2 #110Points allowed70.5 #62
1.11 #234Points allowed per possession1.00 #25
52.7 #251Opponent effective FG%49.0 #70
37.7 #353Opponent 3-point %30.4 #17
17.0 #149Turnovers forced18.5 #74
66.9 #302Defensive rebound rate72.7 #44
6.2 #218Steals per game8.0 #38
3.3 #178Blocks per game3.4 #157
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Liberty

23-8 in 2025-26 overall · 17-4 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Nevada63–73
  • W@ George Mason77–71
  • Lvs Missouri St69–77
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–72
  • Lvs Louisiana Tech71–76

A week or more of rest.

S Illinois

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake63–67
  • W@ Evansville81–67
  • Wvs Indiana St66–55
  • W@ Northern Iowa59–57
  • W@ Drake66–61

A week or more of rest.