Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -8.5✓ LT covered by 13.5
Closing total136.5Over by 10.5
| This season | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 21-5 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LT 64–72 LIB · ✗ LIB (76%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 45 | 31 | 76 |
| LIB | 40 | 31 | 71 |
1st half: LT 45, LIB 40 (LT by 5). The model had LIB by 4.8 and a total of 63.4 (actual 85).
Team stats
| LT | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-61 52% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 16-39 41% |
| 5-5 100% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 26 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Thomas II F | 40 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-3 |
| AJ Bates G | 40 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 13-23 | 6-11 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 34 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Melian Martinez C | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| DJ Dudley G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Cooper F | 29 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Will Allen F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Keegan Rowell, Kylan Howze, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, A'Meir Williams, Lachlan Thompson, Scooter Williams, Sir Issac Herron, Will Jeffress
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 38 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 10-16 | 8-13 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 37 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 5-14 | 5-13 |
| Colin Porter G | 31 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| JJ Harper G | 26 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Zander Carter G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Ihnen, Brady Kester, Torr Sorensen, Drew Grimes, TJ Drain, Ryan Jones Jr., JC Shirer Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -8.5
no move
CloseLIB -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
▼ 2
Close136.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LT +340 · LIB -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -8.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -8
model LIB -8
Opened 138.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 downmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -8.5 | LIB -8.2 | LT +0.3 | W LT covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 135.2 | Under 1.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LT 63.5 · LIB 71.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -4.8 | LT -5.0 |
| 1H total | 63.4 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | LT 29.3 · LIB 34.1 | LT 45 · LIB 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | |
| 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LT 2–3 LIBLIB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · LT 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | LIB 72 @ LT 56 | LT +4.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | LT 53 @ LIB 77 | LIB -7.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | LIB 74 @ LT 79 | LT +1.5 | LT W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | LT 62 @ LIB 65 | LIB -2.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | LIB 76 @ LT 80 | LT -2.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana Tech
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 87-78 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 79-78 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 64-77 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 77-71 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 55-58 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 72-70 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
NEV
L 50-77
−17.5
15
vs
JKST
W 68-51
+8.5
19
@
INST
L 51-60
−5.5
26
vs
INST
W 75-73
−0.5
29
vs
ALCN
W 83-58
+8.5
3
@
GASO
L 69-77
−6.5
13
vs
UL
W 65-44
+11.5
17
@
TULN
L 53-61
−3.5
29
vs
UTEP
W 75-63
+9.5
2
@
MTSU
L 51-88
−30.5
4
@
WKU
L 61-66
+4.5
8
vs
LIB
L 56-72
−11.5
10
vs
DEL
W 70-68
−4.5
14
vs
MTSU
W 59-58
+4.5
17
@
JXST
L 60-64
+0.5
23
vs
KENN
W 82-76
+7.5
28
@
UTEP
W 69-59
+12.5
31
@
SHSU
L 67-83
−8.5
4
vs
NMSU
L 63-72
−10.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 87-78
+12.5
12
@
MOST
W 79-78
+4.5
14
@
FIU
L 64-77
−9.5
18
vs
JXST
W 77-71
+3.5
21
@
KENN
L 55-58
+2.5
26
vs
MOST
W 72-70
−0.5
28
vs
FIU
L 76-84
−10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
NEV
L 50-77
−9.5
15
vs
JKST
W 68-51
−27.5
19
@
INST
L 51-60
−36.5
26
vs
INST
W 75-73
+6.5
29
vs
ALCN
W 83-58
+3.5
3
@
GASO
L 69-77
+0.5
13
vs
UL
W 65-44
−17.5
17
@
TULN
L 53-61
−26.5
29
vs
UTEP
W 75-63
+7.5
2
@
MTSU
L 51-88
+4.5
4
@
WKU
L 61-66
−18.5
8
vs
LIB
L 56-72
−7.5
10
vs
DEL
W 70-68
+14.5
14
vs
MTSU
W 59-58
−14.5
17
@
JXST
L 60-64
−3.5
23
vs
KENN
W 82-76
+13.5
28
@
UTEP
W 69-59
−2.5
31
@
SHSU
L 67-83
+8.5
4
vs
NMSU
L 63-72
−0.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 87-78
+21.5
12
@
MOST
W 79-78
+20.5
14
@
FIU
L 64-77
−5.5
18
vs
JXST
W 77-71
+15.5
21
@
KENN
L 55-58
−34.5
26
vs
MOST
W 72-70
+3.5
28
vs
FIU
L 76-84
+14.5
over 13under 13avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
26 games played
Straight up
21-5
81% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vs | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 73-94 | -7.5 | L −28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | @ | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 81-78 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
COFC
W 90-75
+5.5
9
vs
FAU
W 88-68
+12.5
24
vs
UVM
W 79-73
−2.5
25
vs
TOW
L 69-72
−9.5
26
vs
BRAD
L 64-74
−14.5
6
vs
COPP
W 92-50
+11.5
10
@
NCSU
L 45-85
−27.5
20
@
DAY
W 64-61
+12.5
28
@
FIU
W 97-94
−1.5
2
vs
KENN
W 81-73
+0.5
4
vs
JXST
W 78-69
−0.5
8
@
LT
W 72-56
+11.5
10
@
SHSU
W 82-74
+6.5
15
vs
NMSU
W 73-71
−6.5
17
vs
UTEP
W 80-69
−2.5
21
@
WKU
W 76-69
+5.5
24
vs
DEL
W 67-51
+0.5
29
@
MTSU
W 81-65
+14.5
4
@
DEL
W 75-69
−4.5
7
vs
MOST
W 79-76
−6.5
11
@
NMSU
W 77-75
−1.5
14
@
UTEP
W 73-64
+2.5
19
vs
FIU
W 90-89
−8.5
21
vs
WKU
L 73-94
−28.5
26
@
KENN
L 65-74
−10.5
28
@
JXST
W 81-78
−0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
COFC
W 90-75
+19.5
9
vs
FAU
W 88-68
+3.5
24
vs
UVM
W 79-73
+10.5
25
vs
TOW
L 69-72
+3.5
26
vs
BRAD
L 64-74
−6.5
6
vs
COPP
W 92-50
−1.5
10
@
NCSU
L 45-85
−19.5
20
@
DAY
W 64-61
−17.5
28
@
FIU
W 97-94
+38.5
2
vs
KENN
W 81-73
−4.5
4
vs
JXST
W 78-69
+12.5
8
@
LT
W 72-56
−7.5
10
@
SHSU
W 82-74
+1.5
15
vs
NMSU
W 73-71
−1.5
17
vs
UTEP
W 80-69
+11.5
21
@
WKU
W 76-69
−3.5
24
vs
DEL
W 67-51
−16.5
29
@
MTSU
W 81-65
+9.5
4
@
DEL
W 75-69
+11.5
7
vs
MOST
W 79-76
+14.5
11
@
NMSU
W 77-75
+7.5
14
@
UTEP
W 73-64
−2.5
19
vs
FIU
W 90-89
+26.5
21
vs
WKU
L 73-94
+19.5
26
@
KENN
L 65-74
−13.5
28
@
JXST
W 81-78
+19.5
over 15under 11avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana Tech
13-13 overall · 9-9 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs FIU76–84
- Wvs Missouri St72–70
- L@ Kennesaw St55–58
- Wvs Jax State77–71
- L@ FIU64–77
5 days since their last game.
Liberty
21-5 overall · 16-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Jax State81–78
- L@ Kennesaw St65–74
- Lvs Western KY73–94
- Wvs FIU90–89
- W@ UTEP73–64
5 days since their last game.