Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada · NIT
Closing line
NEV -7.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5
NEV -7.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5Closing total146.5Under by 10.5
 LIB | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 23-7 | Record | 23-12 |
| 13-17 | ATS | 20-15 |
| 18-12 | O/U | 20-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 69–76 NEV · ✓ NEV (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| NEV | 35 | 38 | 73 |
1st half: LIB 31, NEV 35 (NEV by 4). The model had NEV by 4.4 and a total of 67.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| LIB | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 19-20 95% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 42 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 38 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| JJ Harper G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Colin Porter G | 34 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 32 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-5 |
| Josh Smith F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Metheny G | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Zander Carter G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| TJ Drain F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Grimes, Torr Sorensen, JC Shirer Jr., Brady Kester, Isaiah Ihnen
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 37 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 4-14 | 0-5 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Price F | 25 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joel Armotrading C | 21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peyton White G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Myles Walker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeriah Coleman, Christopher Baudreau, Ethan Croley
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -7.5
no move
CloseNEV -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIB +260 · NEV -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -7.5 · unchangedmodel NEV -7.5 matches the line
model NEV -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEV -7.5 | NEV -7.5 | — | NEV covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 145.1 | Under 1.4 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | LIB 68.8 · NEV 76.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEV -4.4 | NEV -4.0 |
| 1H total | 67.9 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 31.8 · NEV 36.1 | LIB 31 · NEV 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| NEV | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
30 games played
Straight up
23-7
77% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs DEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs MOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vsFIU | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vsWKU | L 73-94 | -7.5 | L −28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | @KENN | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | @JXST | W 81-78 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | vsLT | L 71-76 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Mar 7 | vsSHSU | W 79-72 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 11 | vsMOST | L 69-77 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 17 | @ GMU | W 77-71 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
−8.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
−28.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−10.5
28
@JXST
JXSTW 81-78
−0.5
5
vsLT
LTL 71-76
−13.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 79-72
+2.5
11
vsMOST
MOSTL 69-77
−12.5
17
@GMU
GMUW 77-71
+8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
+26.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
+19.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−13.5
28
@JXST
JXSTW 81-78
+19.5
5
vsLT
LTL 71-76
+10.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 79-72
−1.5
11
vsMOST
MOSTL 69-77
+3.5
17
@GMU
GMUW 77-71
+6.5
over 18under 12avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
35 games played
Straight up
23-12
66% wins
Against the spread
20-15
57% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-15
57% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsLT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vs SDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs WYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vs SJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs GCU | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vs UNLV | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @BOIS | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | vsFRES | W 69-59 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 14 | @SDSU | L 57-71 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | @SJSU | L 71-87 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsUSU | W 80-77 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsUNM | W 67-60 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | @UNLV | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @WYO | L 73-83 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vsAF | W 74-59 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 11 | vsAF | W 80-45 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 12 | vsGCU | W 84-80 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 13 | vsUSU | L 66-79 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 18 | vs MUR | W 89-75 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
+2.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+5.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+2.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−1.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−6.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
−26.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+8.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
+5.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
−3.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
−11.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−9.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
+15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+7.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 66-79
−6.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 89-75
+5.5
covered 20didn’t cover 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
−17.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+17.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+36.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−21.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−11.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
+16.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+10.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
−21.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
+17.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
+12.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−11.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
−15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+26.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 66-79
−0.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 89-75
+4.5
over 20under 15avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
23-7 overall · 17-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ George Mason77–71
- Lvs Missouri St69–77
- Wvs Sam Houston79–72
- Lvs Louisiana Tech71–76
- W@ Jax State81–78
4 days since their last game.
Nevada
23-12 overall · 14-9 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Murray St89–75
- Lvs Utah State66–79
- Wvs Grand Canyon84–80
- Wvs Air Force80–45
- Wvs Air Force74–59
3 days since their last game.