ExtraMile Arena · at Boise St
Closing line
BOIS -16.5✓ MTST covered by 12.5
BOIS -16.5✓ MTST covered by 12.5Closing total147.5Under by 27.5
 MTST | This season | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 66–84 BOIS · ✓ BOIS (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| BOIS | 35 | 27 | 62 |
1st half: MTST 30, BOIS 35 (BOIS by 5). The model had BOIS by 11.0 and a total of 70.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MTST | BOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 17-51 33% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 20-22 91% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 6 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 35 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-13 | 1-8 |
| Chris Hodges F | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-2 |
| Christian King F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cavin Holden G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Brown G | 25 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Waka Mbatch F | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grayson Gaddis, Howie Keene, CJ Purdie, Calum Rutherfurd, Seth Amunrud, James Steward
| BOIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javan Buchanan F | 32 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Drew Fielder F | 32 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Andrews G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| R.J. Keene II G | 27 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Andrew Meadow F | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pearson Carmichael F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Aginaldo Neto G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Spencer Ahrens F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dominic Parolin F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Julian Bowie G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennan Ramirez, Rayzhon Bergersen, Ethan Lathan, Bhan Buom, Noah Bendinger
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBOIS -16.5
ModelBOIS -18.4
Model edgeBOIS +1.9
L MTST covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
L Under
Projected score
MTST 65.6 · BOIS 84
MTST 58 · BOIS 62
Win probability
BOIS 95%
1st half
Spread
BOIS -11.0
BOIS -5.0
Total
70.1
65 points
Projected score
MTST 29.6 · BOIS 40.5
MTST 30 · BOIS 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBOIS -17.5
1 → MTST
CloseBOIS -16.5
1 pt toward MTST
Total
Open150.5
▼ 3
Close147.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MTST +1300 · BOIS -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BOIS -17.5 · closed BOIS -16.5 · moved 1 toward MTSTmodel BOIS -18.5
model BOIS -18.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSTlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| BOISlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vs
DEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@
STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boise St
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
UVU
UVUW 101-77
+11.5
11
vs
RGV
RGVW 85-65
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsUVU
UVUW 101-77
+26.5
11
vsRGV
RGVW 85-65
−11.5
over 1under 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stanford68–77
- Lvs Denver73–75
- L@ Colorado78–84
3 days since their last game.
Boise St
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Rio Grande85–65
- Wvs Utah Valley101–77
4 days since their last game.