Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso
Closing line
VAL -6.5✓ VAL covered by 11.5
VAL -6.5✓ VAL covered by 11.5Closing total143.5Under by 25.5
 BRY | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRY 74–77 VAL · ✓ VAL (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY | 30 | 20 | 50 |
| VAL | 22 | 46 | 68 |
1st half: BRY 30, VAL 22 (BRY by 8). The model had VAL by 1.4 and a total of 70.5 (actual 52).
Team stats
| BRY | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-65 28% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 6-29 21% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 46 19 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| BRY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timofei Rudovskii F | 34 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-14 | 3-11 |
| Ashley Sims II F | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Ty Tabales G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-10 | 1-6 |
| Quincy Allen G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Keegan Harvey F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lennart Weber F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Davis III G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Khalil Williams G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jakai Robinson G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethane Bourgade F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Langston Bailey G | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Michael DeOrsey PG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaheim Nyam G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jason Sepe G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Vassalluzzo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reed Woerner, Daniel Akoue, Gio Sanford, Joe Green
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney G | 33 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 26 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0-9 | 0-6 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 19 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Owen Dease F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 22 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Justus McNair G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Lombardi G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Camden Webster G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joe Vick G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Sader Servilus, Jayden Watson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAL -6.5
ModelVAL -2.6
Model edgeBRY +3.9
L VAL covered
Total
Market143.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 7.0
L Under
Projected score
BRY 73.9 · VAL 76.6
BRY 50 · VAL 68
Win probability
VAL 59%
1st half
Spread
VAL -1.4
BRY -8.0
Total
70.5
52 points
Projected score
BRY 34.5 · VAL 36
BRY 30 · VAL 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -3.5
3 → VAL
CloseVAL -6.5
3 pts toward VAL
Total
Open147.5
▼ 4
Close143.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
BRY +250 · VAL -300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -3.5 · closed VAL -6.5 · moved 3 toward VALmodel VAL -2.5
model VAL -2.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRYlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| VALlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bryant
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SIE
SIEL 66-82
−2.5
7
@
GT
GTL 45-74
−13.5
12
vs
DART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−0.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−19.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
over 1under 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@
UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vs
NICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
over 1under 2avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bryant
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dartmouth82–75
- L@ Georgia Tech45–74
- L@ Siena66–82
4 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls68–63
- L@ Kentucky59–107
- Wvs E Illinois66–63
4 days since their last game.