Imperial Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
VT -4.5✓ CSU covered by 2.5
VT -4.5✓ CSU covered by 2.5Closing total153.5Under by 23.5
| VT | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VT 80–78 CSU · ✓ VT (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 33 | 33 | 66 |
| CSU | 26 | 38 | 64 |
1st half: VT 33, CSU 26 (VT by 7). The model had VT by 1.4 and a total of 74.1 (actual 59).
Team stats
| VT | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson G | 34 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 30 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 29 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 1-2 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Hammond G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Schutt G | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antonio Dorn, Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Brett Freeman, Sin'Cere Jones, Izaiah Pasha
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 33 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 27 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Carey Booth F | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 20 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jase Butler G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Darnez Slater, Nikola Djapa
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVT -4.5
ModelVT -2.1
Model edgeCSU +2.4
W CSU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model158.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
L Under
Projected score
VT 80.1 · CSU 78
VT 66 · CSU 64
Win probability
VT 57%
1st half
Spread
VT -1.4
VT -7.0
Total
74.1
59 points
Projected score
VT 37.8 · CSU 36.3
VT 33 · CSU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVT -3.5
1 → VT
CloseVT -4.5
1 pt toward VT
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -3.5 · closed VT -4.5 · moved 1 toward VTmodel VT -2
model VT -2
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VTlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
| CSUlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia Tech
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +13.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vs
PROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vs
JOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vs
CLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vs
BRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
over 3under 2avg +13.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@
LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vs
DEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
over 4under 1avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia Tech
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant78–61
- Wvs Charlotte84–76
- Wvs Saint Joseph's94–59
- Wvs Providence107–101
- Wvs Charleston So98–67
A week or more of rest.
Colorado St
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Denver81–83
- W@ Loyola Chicago80–67
- Wvs Cal Poly93–79
- Wvs Omaha97–74
- Wvs Incarnate Word98–64
5 days since their last game.