United Center · Neutral site
Closing line
ILL -2.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5
ILL -2.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5Closing total180.5Under by 4.5
 ALA | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 90–88 ILL · ✓ ALA (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 41 | 49 | 90 |
| ILL | 42 | 44 | 86 |
1st half: ALA 41, ILL 42 (ILL by 1). The model had ALA by 1.5 and a total of 83.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| ALA | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-66 45% | Field goals | 31-73 42% |
| 13-36 36% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aden Holloway G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 25 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 9-18 | 3-6 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Allen G | 29 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Houston Mallette G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Noah Williamson C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Davion Hannah G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| London Jemison F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Klark James, Preston Murphy Jr., Jack Fagan, Collins Onyejiaka, Jalil Bethea
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 8-18 | 0-4 |
| David Mirkovic F | 30 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 30 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 11-16 | 2-3 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 26 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jake Davis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketILL -2.5
ModelALA -2.2
Model edgeALA +4.7
W ALA covered
Total
Market180.5
Model177.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
W Under
Projected score
ALA 89.8 · ILL 87.7
ALA 90 · ILL 86
Win probability
ALA 58%
1st half
Spread
ALA -1.5
ILL -1.0
Total
83.1
83 points
Projected score
ALA 42.3 · ILL 40.8
ALA 41 · ILL 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -3.5
1 → ALA
CloseILL -2.5
1 pt toward ALA
Total
Open176.5
▲ 4
Close180.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ALA +120 · ILL -140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -3.5 · closed ILL -2.5 · moved 1 toward ALAmodel ALA -2
model ALA -2
Opened 176.5 · closed 180.5 · moved 4 upmodel 177.5
model 177.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALAlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| ILLlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALA 1–0 ILLALA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024-25 | ILL 87 vs ALA 100 | ALA -8.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@
SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vs
PUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
over 1under 2avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vs
FGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vs
TTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vs
COLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
over 2under 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue80–87
- W@ St John's103–96
- Wvs North Dakota91–62
6 days since their last game.
Illinois
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colgate84–65
- Wvs Texas Tech81–77
- Wvs FGCU113–70
- Wvs Jackson St113–55
5 days since their last game.