UConn Huskies at Arizona Wildcats: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 18, 9:00 PM ETMcKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona

#6CONNUConn AP #4

#5ARIZArizona AP #5

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: UConn and Arizona
CONN	This season	ARIZ
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ARIZ 76–70 · win probability ARIZ 69%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 146.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ARIZ has more of the edges

CONN 0, ARIZ 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

ARIZBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: CONN 29.9, ARIZ 43.9. Allowed: CONN 40.7, ARIZ 27.1

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: CONN plays 66.1 a game (307th fastest), ARIZ 71.6 (49th). Faster games mean more points

ARIZSmall

Home court

ARIZ at home. This season: ARIZ 0-0 at home, CONN 0-0 away

ARIZSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: CONN 35.7%, ARIZ 38.4%. Defensive: CONN 71.2%, ARIZ 73.1%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: CONN 51%, ARIZ 29%. Transfers in: CONN 7, ARIZ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Three-pointers

CONN hits 34.4% and allows 30.1%; ARIZ hits 36.6% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 40.9% and 26.4% of their shots

Even

CONN offense vs ARIZ defense

Offense 25th of 366 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: CONN 54.3 and allows 45.7; ARIZ 54.7 and allows 45.3

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: CONN 16.4%, ARIZ 15.1%. Forced: CONN 17.8%, ARIZ 16.2%

Context

Schedule so far

CONN has played the 4th-hardest schedule, ARIZ the 11th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

ARIZ offense vs CONN defense

Offense 4th of 366 against a defense 2nd, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	ARIZ -5.8	—
Total	—	146.4	—
Projected score	—	CONN 70.3 · ARIZ 76.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ARIZ -3.3	—
1H total	68.5	—
1H projected score	CONN 32.6 · ARIZ 35.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CONN WWWWW	17-23	43%	5-7	—
ARIZ WWWWL	23-16	59%	8-9	—

Venue/role: CONN away; ARIZ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
CONN UUOUU	19-21	48%	34-6
ARIZ OUOUO	20-19	51%	36-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CONN	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
ARIZ	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UConn

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 25	vs DUKE	W73–72WO
Nov 30	vs RID	No recent meeting
Dec 4	vs ILL	W71–62WU

Arizona

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 23	vs CSU	No recent meeting
Dec 1	vs NOLA	No recent meeting
Dec 5	@ SJU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

CONN 0–1 ARIZARIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CONN 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 19, 2025-26	ARIZ 71 @ CONN 67	CONN -4.5	ARIZ W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UConn

40 games played

Straight up

34-6

85% wins

Against the spread

17-23

43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-21

48% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

34-685%

W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L W W L W W W L W W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-2343%

L W L L L L W W L L L W W W L L L L L L L W W L L L L W W L L W W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-2148%

U O U O U U U U O O U U U O U O U O U O O O O O O O O U U O U O U U O U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNHVN	W 79-55	-42.5	L −18.5	145.5	U 134
Nov 7	vsUML	W 110-47	-36.5	W +26.5	151.5	O 157
Nov 10	vsCOLU	W 89-62	-32.5	L −5.5	155.5	U 151
Nov 15	vsBYU	W 86-84	-6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 170
Nov 19	vsARIZ	L 67-71	-4.5	L −8.5	156.5	U 138
Nov 23	vsBRY	W 72-49	-36.5	L −13.5	147.5	U 121
Nov 28	vsILL	W 74-61	-4.5	W +8.5	150.5	U 135
Dec 2	@KU	W 61-56	-3.5	W +1.5	141.5	U 117
Dec 5	vsETAM	W 83-59	-36.5	L −12.5	141.5	O 142
Dec 9	vsFLA	W 77-73	-4.5	L −0.5	145.5	O 150
Dec 12	vsTEX	W 71-63	-11.5	L −3.5	145.5	U 134
Dec 16	vsBTLR	W 79-60	-15.5	W +3.5	144.5	U 139
Dec 21	@DEP	W 72-54	-12.5	W +5.5	133.5	U 126
Dec 31	@XAV	W 90-67	-11.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 157
Jan 4	vsMARQ	W 73-57	-17.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 130
Jan 7	@PROV	W 103-98	-9.5	L −4.5	152.5	O 201
Jan 10	vsDEP	W 72-60	-19.5	L −7.5	137.5	U 132
Jan 13	@HALL	W 69-64	-6.5	L −1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	@GTWN	W 64-62	-11.5	L −9.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 24	vsVILL	W 75-67	-11.5	L −3.5	137.5	O 142
Jan 27	vsPROV	W 87-81	-15.5	L −9.5	152.5	O 168
Jan 31	@CREI	W 85-58	-6.5	W +20.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 3	vsXAV	W 92-60	-16.5	W +15.5	147.5	O 152
Feb 6	@SJU	L 72-81	-1.5	L −10.5	143.5	O 153
Feb 11	@BTLR	W 80-70	-11.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 150
Feb 14	vsGTWN	W 79-75	-16.5	L −12.5	138.5	O 154
Feb 18	vsCREI	L 84-91	-15.5	L −22.5	143.5	O 175
Feb 21	@VILL	W 73-63	-3.5	W +6.5	141.5	U 136
Feb 25	vsSJU	W 72-40	-5.5	W +26.5	145.5	U 112
Feb 28	vsHALL	W 71-67	-12.5	L −8.5	130.5	O 138
Mar 7	@MARQ	L 62-68	-9.5	L −15.5	143.5	U 130
Mar 12	vsXAV	W 93-68	-17.5	W +7.5	150.5	O 161
Mar 13	vsGTWN	W 67-51	-14.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 118
Mar 14	@SJU	L 52-72	-2.5	L −22.5	139.5	U 124
Mar 20	vsFUR	W 82-71	-20.5	L −9.5	133.5	O 153
Mar 22	vsUCLA	W 73-57	-5.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 130
Mar 27	vsMSU	W 67-63	-2.5	W +1.5	136.5	U 130
Mar 29	vsDUKE	W 73-72	+4.5	W +5.5	135.5	O 145
Apr 4	vsILL	W 71-62	+1.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 133
Apr 6	vsMICH	L 63-69	+6.5	W +0.5	146.5	U 132

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NHVN

W 79-55

−18.5

UML

W 110-47

+26.5

COLU

W 89-62

−5.5

BYU

W 86-84

−4.5

ARIZ

L 67-71

−8.5

BRY

W 72-49

−13.5

ILL

W 74-61

+8.5

W 61-56

+1.5

ETAM

W 83-59

−12.5

FLA

W 77-73

−0.5

TEX

W 71-63

−3.5

BTLR

W 79-60

+3.5

DEP

W 72-54

+5.5

XAV

W 90-67

+11.5

MARQ

W 73-57

−1.5

PROV

W 103-98

−4.5

DEP

W 72-60

−7.5

HALL

W 69-64

−1.5

GTWN

W 64-62

−9.5

VILL

W 75-67

−3.5

PROV

W 87-81

−9.5

CREI

W 85-58

+20.5

XAV

W 92-60

+15.5

SJU

L 72-81

−10.5

BTLR

W 80-70

−1.5

GTWN

W 79-75

−12.5

CREI

L 84-91

−22.5

VILL

W 73-63

+6.5

SJU

W 72-40

+26.5

HALL

W 71-67

−8.5

MARQ

L 62-68

−15.5

XAV

W 93-68

+7.5

GTWN

W 67-51

+1.5

SJU

L 52-72

−22.5

FUR

W 82-71

−9.5

UCLA

W 73-57

+10.5

MSU

W 67-63

+1.5

DUKE

W 73-72

+5.5

ILL

W 71-62

+10.5

MICH

L 63-69

+0.5

covered 17didn’t cover 23avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NHVN

W 79-55

−11.5

UML

W 110-47

+5.5

COLU

W 89-62

−4.5

BYU

W 86-84

+13.5

ARIZ

L 67-71

−18.5

BRY

W 72-49

−26.5

ILL

W 74-61

−15.5

W 61-56

−24.5

ETAM

W 83-59

+0.5

FLA

W 77-73

+4.5

TEX

W 71-63

−11.5

BTLR

W 79-60

−5.5

DEP

W 72-54

−7.5

XAV

W 90-67

+12.5

MARQ

W 73-57

−14.5

PROV

W 103-98

+48.5

DEP

W 72-60

−5.5

HALL

W 69-64

+0.5

GTWN

W 64-62

−15.5

VILL

W 75-67

+4.5

PROV

W 87-81

+15.5

CREI

W 85-58

+0.5

XAV

W 92-60

+4.5

SJU

L 72-81

+9.5

BTLR

W 80-70

+6.5

GTWN

W 79-75

+15.5

CREI

L 84-91

+31.5

VILL

W 73-63

−5.5

SJU

W 72-40

−33.5

HALL

W 71-67

+7.5

MARQ

L 62-68

−13.5

XAV

W 93-68

+10.5

GTWN

W 67-51

−20.5

SJU

L 52-72

−15.5

FUR

W 82-71

+19.5

UCLA

W 73-57

−5.5

MSU

W 67-63

−6.5

DUKE

W 73-72

+9.5

ILL

W 71-62

−6.5

MICH

L 63-69

−14.5

over 19under 21avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Arizona

39 games played

Straight up

36-3

92% wins

Against the spread

23-16

59% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-19

51% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

36-392%

W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L L W W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

23-1659%

W L L W W L W W W L W L L W W W L L W W W L W L L L W L W W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

20-1951%

O U U U U O O O U O U O O O O O O U U U O U U O U U U O U U O U O O O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsFLA	W 93-87	+3.5	W +9.5	164.5	O 180
Nov 7	vsUTU	W 93-67	-33.5	L −7.5	162.5	U 160
Nov 11	vsNAU	W 84-49	-35.5	L −0.5	163.5	U 133
Nov 14	vsUCLA	W 69-65	-1.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 134
Nov 19	@CONN	W 71-67	+4.5	W +8.5	156.5	U 138
Nov 24	vsDEN	W 103-73	-32.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 176
Nov 29	vsNORF	W 98-61	-35.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 159
Dec 6	vsAUB	W 97-68	-11.5	W +17.5	162.5	O 165
Dec 13	vsALA	W 96-75	-2.5	W +18.5	178.5	U 171
Dec 16	vsACU	W 96-62	-34.5	L −0.5	145.5	O 158
Dec 20	vsSDSU	W 68-45	-13.5	W +9.5	153.5	U 113
Dec 22	vsBCU	W 107-71	-39.5	L −3.5	154.5	O 178
Dec 29	vsSDST	W 99-71	-31.5	L −3.5	159.5	O 170
Jan 3	@UTAH	W 97-78	-17.5	W +1.5	162.5	O 175
Jan 7	vsKSU	W 101-76	-17.5	W +7.5	171.5	O 177
Jan 10	@TCU	W 86-73	-7.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 159
Jan 14	vsASU	W 89-82	-21.5	L −14.5	167.5	O 171
Jan 17	@UCF	W 84-77	-9.5	L −2.5	165.5	U 161
Jan 21	vsCIN	W 77-51	-13.5	W +12.5	152.5	U 128
Jan 24	vsWVU	W 88-53	-17.5	W +17.5	143.5	U 141
Jan 26	@BYU	W 86-83	-1.5	W +1.5	166.5	O 169
Jan 31	@ASU	W 87-74	-14.5	L −1.5	163.5	U 161
Feb 7	vsOKST	W 84-47	-20.5	W +16.5	168.5	U 131
Feb 9	@KU	L 78-82	-5.5	L −9.5	152.5	O 160
Feb 14	vsTTU	L 75-78	-8.5	L −11.5	156.5	U 153
Feb 18	vsBYU	W 75-68	-11.5	L −4.5	165.5	U 143
Feb 21	@HOU	W 73-66	+6.5	W +13.5	142.5	U 139
Feb 24	@BAY	W 87-80	-7.5	L −0.5	155.5	O 167
Feb 28	vsKU	W 84-61	-9.5	W +13.5	151.5	U 145
Mar 2	vsISU	W 73-57	-7.5	W +8.5	149.5	U 130
Mar 7	@COLO	W 89-79	-13.5	L −3.5	156.5	O 168
Mar 12	vsUCF	W 81-59	-15.5	W +6.5	159.5	U 140
Mar 13	vsISU	W 82-80	-3.5	L −1.5	144.5	O 162
Mar 14	vsHOU	W 79-74	-1.5	W +3.5	138.5	O 153
Mar 20	vsLIU	W 92-58	-30.5	W +3.5	147.5	O 150
Mar 22	vsUSU	W 78-66	-11.5	W +0.5	153.5	U 144
Mar 26	vsARK	W 109-88	-8.5	W +12.5	166.5	O 197
Mar 28	vsPUR	W 79-64	-5.5	W +9.5	152.5	U 143
Apr 4	vsMICH	L 73-91	-1.5	L −19.5	157.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FLA

W 93-87

+9.5

UTU

W 93-67

−7.5

NAU

W 84-49

−0.5

UCLA

W 69-65

+2.5

CONN

W 71-67

+8.5

DEN

W 103-73

−2.5

NORF

W 98-61

+1.5

AUB

W 97-68

+17.5

ALA

W 96-75

+18.5

ACU

W 96-62

−0.5

SDSU

W 68-45

+9.5

BCU

W 107-71

−3.5

SDST

W 99-71

−3.5

UTAH

W 97-78

+1.5

KSU

W 101-76

+7.5

TCU

W 86-73

+5.5

ASU

W 89-82

−14.5

UCF

W 84-77

−2.5

CIN

W 77-51

+12.5

WVU

W 88-53

+17.5

BYU

W 86-83

+1.5

ASU

W 87-74

−1.5

OKST

W 84-47

+16.5

L 78-82

−9.5

TTU

L 75-78

−11.5

BYU

W 75-68

−4.5

HOU

W 73-66

+13.5

BAY

W 87-80

−0.5

W 84-61

+13.5

ISU

W 73-57

+8.5

COLO

W 89-79

−3.5

UCF

W 81-59

+6.5

ISU

W 82-80

−1.5

HOU

W 79-74

+3.5

LIU

W 92-58

+3.5

USU

W 78-66

+0.5

ARK

W 109-88

+12.5

PUR

W 79-64

+9.5

MICH

L 73-91

−19.5

covered 23didn’t cover 16avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FLA

W 93-87

+15.5

UTU

W 93-67

−2.5

NAU

W 84-49

−30.5

UCLA

W 69-65

−19.5

CONN

W 71-67

−18.5

DEN

W 103-73

+21.5

NORF

W 98-61

+12.5

AUB

W 97-68

+2.5

ALA

W 96-75

−7.5

ACU

W 96-62

+12.5

SDSU

W 68-45

−40.5

BCU

W 107-71

+23.5

SDST

W 99-71

+10.5

UTAH

W 97-78

+12.5

KSU

W 101-76

+5.5

TCU

W 86-73

+1.5

ASU

W 89-82

+3.5

UCF

W 84-77

−4.5

CIN

W 77-51

−24.5

WVU

W 88-53

−2.5

BYU

W 86-83

+2.5

ASU

W 87-74

−2.5

OKST

W 84-47

−37.5

L 78-82

+7.5

TTU

L 75-78

−3.5

BYU

W 75-68

−22.5

HOU

W 73-66

−3.5

BAY

W 87-80

+11.5

W 84-61

−6.5

ISU

W 73-57

−19.5

COLO

W 89-79

+11.5

UCF

W 81-59

−19.5

ISU

W 82-80

+17.5

HOU

W 79-74

+14.5

LIU

W 92-58

+2.5

USU

W 78-66

−9.5

ARK

W 109-88

+30.5

PUR

W 79-64

−9.5

MICH

L 73-91

+6.5

over 20under 19avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UConn has the better starters

Position by position: UConn 2, Arizona 1, even 2

UConnBetterArizona

G N. Machowski TR17.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.6 ast Score 80

CONNSmall

G D. Dixon TR6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 55

G S. Demary10.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.9 ast Score 98

CONNBig

G J. Mandaquit TR5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 62

G S. Ball12.8 pts · 3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 87

Even

F I. Kharchenkov10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 83

G B. Mullins12 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 88

Even

F R. Godfrey TR12 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast Score 96

G J. Nash TR5.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.1 ast Score 26

ARIZBig

C M. Krivas10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 95

UConnBetterArizona

CONN offense25th of 366 · +7.1

Even

ARIZ defense7th of 366 · +8.8

CONN defense2nd of 366 · +11.5

Even

ARIZ offense4th of 366 · +11.0

Backcourt+8.5 · 5 players

CONNBig

Backcourt-0.3 · 2 players

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

No call

Frontcourt+10.8 · 3 players

Bench+3.4 · 5 players

CONNBig

Bench-0.1 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestCONN betterARIZ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

UConn

Guards

N. Machowski35 min · TRS. Demary28 minS. Ball28 minB. Mullins28 minJ. Nash26 min · TRJ. CountyNew

Forwards

N. Khamenia20 min · TRI. Shaw18 min · TRJ. Ross18 minJ. RossNewC. LandrewNewE. AmosovNew

Centers

N. Hines18 min · TRO. Giltay15 min · TRE. Dzafic2 min · TR

Arizona

Guards

D. Dixon22 min · TRJ. Mandaquit20 min · TRA. Arnold2 minJ. Cook1 minB. JamesNewC. HolmesNew

Forwards

I. Kharchenkov28 minR. Godfrey25 min · TRE. Otten15 min · TRU. Jarusevicius11 min · TRM. MawutNewE. AiyamenkhueNew

Centers

M. Krivas25 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

CONN76.6 #129

ARIZ86.2 #11

Points per possession

CONN1.16 #52

ARIZ1.21 #11

Pace (possessions)

CONN66.1 #307

ARIZ71.6 #49

Shooting

Effective FG%

CONN54.3 #59

ARIZ54.7 #45

3-point %

CONN34.4 #150

ARIZ36.6 #37

3-point attempt rate

CONN40.9 #149

ARIZ26.4 #363

Free throw rate

CONN29.9 #313

ARIZ43.9 #11

Possessions

Turnover rate

CONN16.4 #163

ARIZ15.1 #76

Offensive rebound rate

CONN35.7 #30

ARIZ38.4 #5

Assists per game

CONN18.1 #9

ARIZ16.4 #38

Defense

Points allowed

CONN65.2 #6

ARIZ69.4 #53

Points allowed per possession

CONN0.99 #17

ARIZ0.97 #6

Opponent effective FG%

CONN45.7 #7

ARIZ45.3 #4

Opponent 3-point %

CONN30.1 #8

ARIZ31.4 #42

Turnovers forced

CONN17.8 #107

ARIZ16.2 #209

Defensive rebound rate

CONN71.2 #99

ARIZ73.1 #34

Steals per game

CONN6.8 #143

ARIZ7.4 #95

Blocks per game

CONN5.0 #15

ARIZ4.2 #55

CONN		ARIZ
Scoring
76.6 #129	Points per game	86.2 #11
1.16 #52	Points per possession	1.21 #11
66.1 #307	Pace (possessions)	71.6 #49
Shooting
54.3 #59	Effective FG%	54.7 #45
34.4 #150	3-point %	36.6 #37
40.9 #149	3-point attempt rate	26.4 #363
29.9 #313	Free throw rate	43.9 #11
Possessions
16.4 #163	Turnover rate	15.1 #76
35.7 #30	Offensive rebound rate	38.4 #5
18.1 #9	Assists per game	16.4 #38
Defense
65.2 #6	Points allowed	69.4 #53
0.99 #17	Points allowed per possession	0.97 #6
45.7 #7	Opponent effective FG%	45.3 #4
30.1 #8	Opponent 3-point %	31.4 #42
17.8 #107	Turnovers forced	16.2 #209
71.2 #99	Defensive rebound rate	73.1 #34
6.8 #143	Steals per game	7.4 #95
5.0 #15	Blocks per game	4.2 #55

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UConn

34-6 in 2025-26 overall · 19-4 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Michigan63–69
Wvs Illinois71–62
Wvs Duke73–72
Wvs Michigan St67–63
Wvs UCLA73–57

A week or more of rest.

Arizona

36-3 in 2025-26 overall · 19-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Michigan73–91
Wvs Purdue79–64
Wvs Arkansas109–88
Wvs Utah State78–66
Wvs Long Island92–58

A week or more of rest.

UConn Huskies at Arizona Wildcats

What could decide it: ARIZ has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UConn

Arizona

UConn has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

UConn

Arizona