1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. UNCO @ BYU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Northern Colorado Bears at BYU Cougars

Marriott Center · at BYU
#219UNCON Colorado
@
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNCOThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 91–67 · win probability BYU 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

UNCO 2, BYU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
UNCO has played the 303rd-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BYUBig
BYU offense vs UNCO defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 281st, on the model’s ratings
BYUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNCO 27.5, BYU 34.4. Allowed: UNCO 38.8, BYU 28.9
BYUBig
UNCO offense vs BYU defense
Offense 167th of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings
UNCOBig
Three-pointers
UNCO hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 41.5% and 39.8% of their shots
BYUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNCO 15.5%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: UNCO 12.4%, BYU 16.4%
BYUSmall
Home court
BYU at home. This season: BYU 0-0 at home, UNCO 0-0 away
UNCOSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNCO 55.7 and allows 50.1; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
BYUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNCO 27.2%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: UNCO 75.8%, BYU 70.3%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: UNCO plays 71.3 a game (60th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNCO 28%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: UNCO 4, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BYU -24.4—
Total—157.7—
Projected score—UNCO 66.6 · BYU 91.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -14.4—
1H total73.7—
1H projected scoreUNCO 29.6 · BYU 44—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

BYU has the better starters

Position by position: N Colorado 0, BYU 3, even 2
N ColoradoBetterBYU
G L. Reynolds TR11.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 79
BYUSmall
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
G V. Delano6.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
BYUBig
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
G C. Tramble TR3.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
BYUBig
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
F K. Rayfield TR6.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 40
Even
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
C E. Shields6.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 41
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
N ColoradoBetterBYU
UNCO offense167th of 366 · -5.1
BYUBig
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
UNCO defense281st of 366 · -7.0
BYUBig
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt-2.2 · 3 players
BYUBig
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
BYUBig
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUNCO betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
N Colorado
Guards
L. Reynolds33 min · TRV. Delano20 minC. Tramble12 min · TRA. Mawien8 minT. Braketa5 minC. BloggNew
Forwards
K. Rayfield20 min · TRA. Crawford5 min · TRM. ShareefNewD. PaineNew
Centers
E. Shields18 minH. Caldwell4 min
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNCOBYU
Scoring
80.8 #51Points per game83.5 #22
1.14 #75Points per possession1.18 #32
71.3 #60Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
55.7 #24Effective FG%54.4 #54
35.0 #1213-point %34.5 #145
41.5 #1403-point attempt rate39.8 #177
27.5 #348Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
15.5 #103Turnover rate15.2 #78
27.2 #288Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
15.8 #54Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
78.1 #270Points allowed75.4 #202
1.09 #209Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
50.1 #106Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
30.7 #28Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
12.4 #363Turnovers forced16.4 #194
75.8 #6Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
4.0 #364Steals per game7.2 #109
2.7 #273Blocks per game4.4 #40
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

N Colorado

17-12 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana89–95
  • Wvs Montana85–57
  • W@ Idaho76–67
  • L@ E Washington72–82
  • Wvs N Arizona78–77

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.