1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. SELA vs UNCO
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

SE Louisiana Lions vs Northern Colorado Bears

Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya · Neutral site
#253SELASE Louisiana
vs
#219UNCON Colorado
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SELAThis seasonUNCO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UNCO 74–71 · win probability UNCO 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UNCO has more of the edges

SELA 2, UNCO 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UNCOBig
Three-pointers
SELA hits 28.4% and allows 36.0%; UNCO hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%. Threes are 39.5% and 41.5% of their shots
UNCOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SELA 46.7 and allows 52.4; UNCO 55.7 and allows 50.1
SELABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: SELA 40.3, UNCO 27.5. Allowed: SELA 41.2, UNCO 38.8
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: SELA plays 65.9 a game (318th fastest), UNCO 71.3 (60th). Faster games mean more points
UNCOSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SELA 28.6%, UNCO 27.2%. Defensive: SELA 68.6%, UNCO 75.8%
SELASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SELA 18.4%, UNCO 15.5%. Forced: SELA 19.1%, UNCO 12.4%
UNCOSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SELA 4%, UNCO 28%. Transfers in: SELA 10, UNCO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SELA offense vs UNCO defense
Offense 315th of 366 against a defense 281st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SELA has played the 276th-hardest schedule, UNCO the 303rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
UNCO offense vs SELA defense
Offense 167th of 366 against a defense 177th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UNCO -3.2—
Total—145.7—
Projected score—SELA 71.2 · UNCO 74.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUNCO -1.8—
1H total68.1—
1H projected scoreSELA 33.2 · UNCO 35—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: SE Louisiana 1, N Colorado 1, even 3
SE LouisianaBetterN Colorado
G Q. Allen TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 62
UNCOSmall
G L. Reynolds TR11.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 79
G J. Furman TR8.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
Even
G V. Delano6.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
G T. Bailey TR6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 12
Even
G C. Tramble TR3.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
G T. Rolison TR5.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.6 ast Score 58
SELASmall
F K. Rayfield TR6.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 40
F A. Sims TR7.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 28
Even
C E. Shields6.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 41
SE LouisianaBetterN Colorado
SELA offense315th of 366 · -10.2
Even
UNCO defense281st of 366 · -7.0
SELA defense177th of 366 · -4.0
Even
UNCO offense167th of 366 · -5.1
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
UNCOBig
Backcourt-2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
Bench-3.3 · 5 players
UNCOSmall
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestSELA betterUNCO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SE Louisiana
Guards
Q. Allen25 min · TRJ. Furman24 min · TRT. Bailey23 min · TRT. Rolison17 min · TRG. Sanford12 min · TRJ. Nyam1 min · TR
Forwards
A. Sims32 min · TRJ. Massaquoi17 min · TRY. Ndjonga10 min · TRG. Shoemaker7 min
Centers
D. Akoue12 min · TR
N Colorado
Guards
L. Reynolds33 min · TRV. Delano20 minC. Tramble12 min · TRA. Mawien8 minT. Braketa5 minC. BloggNew
Forwards
K. Rayfield20 min · TRA. Crawford5 min · TRM. ShareefNewD. PaineNew
Centers
E. Shields18 minH. Caldwell4 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SELAUNCO
Scoring
64.8 #350Points per game80.8 #51
0.98 #339Points per possession1.14 #75
65.9 #318Pace (possessions)71.3 #60
Shooting
46.7 #343Effective FG%55.7 #24
28.4 #3623-point %35.0 #121
39.5 #1833-point attempt rate41.5 #140
40.3 #56Free throw rate27.5 #348
Possessions
18.4 #291Turnover rate15.5 #103
28.6 #245Offensive rebound rate27.2 #288
11.4 #319Assists per game15.8 #54
Defense
71.3 #86Points allowed78.1 #270
1.08 #172Points allowed per possession1.09 #209
52.4 #233Opponent effective FG%50.1 #106
36.0 #301Opponent 3-point %30.7 #28
19.1 #47Turnovers forced12.4 #363
68.6 #225Defensive rebound rate75.8 #6
6.8 #145Steals per game4.0 #364
2.7 #272Blocks per game2.7 #273
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SE Louisiana

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-16 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ LSU N Orleans82–78
  • L@ Nicholls60–68
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC68–73
  • Lvs UT Rio Grande75–96
  • L@ East Texas A&M53–70

A week or more of rest.

N Colorado

17-12 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana89–95
  • Wvs Montana85–57
  • W@ Idaho76–67
  • L@ E Washington72–82
  • Wvs N Arizona78–77

A week or more of rest.