Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State
Closing line
OSU -23.5✓ APP covered by 1.5
OSU -23.5✓ APP covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Under by 19.5
 APP | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 66–88 OSU · ✓ OSU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| OSU | 30 | 45 | 75 |
1st half: APP 25, OSU 30 (OSU by 5). The model had OSU by 13.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 55).
Team stats
| APP | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 22-54 41% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 24-32 75% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 0 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-17 | 2-6 |
| Luke Wilson C | 28 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Eren Banks G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Chad Moodie F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrin Njock F | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Tot G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Jacari Brim G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brewer Carruth, Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Dalyn Brandon, Luke Ledford, Cameron O'Kelley
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 30 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-6 |
| Brandon Noel F | 27 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 8-10 | 1-3 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Colin White F | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Cupps G | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Amare Bynum F | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Taison Chatman G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mathieu Grujicic G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Josh Ojianwuna, Devin Royal
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -23.5
ModelOSU -21.9
Model edgeAPP +1.6
W APP covered
Total
Market147.5
Model154.5
Model edgeOver 7.0
L Under
Projected score
APP 66.3 · OSU 88.2
APP 53 · OSU 75
Win probability
OSU 97%
1st half
Spread
OSU -13.2
OSU -5.0
Total
72.3
55 points
Projected score
APP 29.6 · OSU 42.7
APP 25 · OSU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -25.5
2 → APP
CloseOSU -23.5
2 pts toward APP
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
APP +2500 · OSU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -25.5 · closed OSU -23.5 · moved 2 toward APPmodel OSU -22
model OSU -22
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APPlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| OSUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
over 1under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +25 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
IUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vs
PFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
over 2under 0avg +25 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central76–54
- L@ C Michigan66–82
2 days since their last game.
Ohio State
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW94–68
- Wvs IU Indy118–102
4 days since their last game.