University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan
Closing line
PFW -3.5✓ WMU covered by 15.5
PFW -3.5✓ WMU covered by 15.5Closing total161.5Under by 7.5
| PFW | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 80–78 WMU · ✗ PFW (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| WMU | 32 | 51 | 83 |
1st half: PFW 37, WMU 32 (PFW by 5). The model had PFW by 1.0 and a total of 74.1 (actual 69).
Team stats
| PFW | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-72 35% | Field goals | 32-73 44% |
| 9-38 24% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 53 18 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 33 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4-16 | 2-8 |
| Corey Hadnot II G | 33 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 11-22 | 4-10 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 0-5 |
| Darius Duffy F | 29 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| EJ Mosley G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ebrahim Kaba G | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chris Morgan G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quentin Morgan, Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Mason Shrout
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Griffith G | 32 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 3-15 | 0-6 |
| EJ Ryans G | 31 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 30 | 26 | 12 | 1 | 10-12 | 0-1 |
| Max Burton F | 27 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Hudson Ward F | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brady Swartz G | 22 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Trey Lewis G | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Declan Peterson C | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Carson Vis G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Justice Williams, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPFW -3.5
ModelPFW -1.4
Model edgeWMU +2.1
W WMU covered
Total
Market161.5
Model158.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
W Under
Projected score
PFW 79.8 · WMU 78.4
PFW 71 · WMU 83
Win probability
PFW 55%
1st half
Spread
PFW -1.0
PFW -5.0
Total
74.1
69 points
Projected score
PFW 37.6 · WMU 36.5
PFW 37 · WMU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPFW -1.5
2 → PFW
ClosePFW -3.5
2 pts toward PFW
Total
Open159.5
▲ 2
Close161.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PFW -170 · WMU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PFW -1.5 · closed PFW -3.5 · moved 2 toward PFWmodel PFW -1.5
model PFW -1.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 2 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFWlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
| WMUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PFW 0–1 WMUWMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PFW 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021-22 | PFW 85 vs WMU 93 | WMU +4.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@
OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
over 2under 0avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@
CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
over 2under 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State68–94
- L@ Grand Canyon71–90
5 days since their last game.
W Michigan
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Campbell82–91
- Wvs Coastal76–71
3 days since their last game.