Qubein Center · at High Point
Closing line
HPU -17.5✓ HPU covered by 3.5
HPU -17.5✓ HPU covered by 3.5Closing total156.5Under by 7.5
 JAX | This season | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 69–85 HPU · ✓ HPU (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 37 | 27 | 64 |
| HPU | 44 | 41 | 85 |
1st half: JAX 37, HPU 44 (HPU by 7). The model had HPU by 9.5 and a total of 72.1 (actual 81).
Team stats
| JAX | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 9-34 26% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Sterck G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Chris Arias G | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 23 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Wood G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-12 | 1-8 |
| Enrico Borio F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Harper Jr. G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Anakin Brown G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Lamont Jackson, Simon Wheeler, Tito Deng, Roman Loux, Charles Caporaso
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 24 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Owen Aquino F | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Chase Johnston G | 18 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Scotty Washington G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terry Anderson F | 25 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Braden Hausen F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Babacar Diallo G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Caden Miller F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| David Fonville G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Birgir Irving F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mavrick Miller, Dorian Grosber, Kasen Krueger, Liam Carney, Josh Ibukunoluwa, Vincent Brady II
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -17.5
ModelHPU -15.9
Model edgeJAX +1.6
L HPU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model154.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
W Under
Projected score
JAX 69 · HPU 84.9
JAX 64 · HPU 85
Win probability
HPU 92%
1st half
Spread
HPU -9.5
HPU -7.0
Total
72.1
81 points
Projected score
JAX 31.3 · HPU 40.8
JAX 37 · HPU 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -15.5
2 → HPU
CloseHPU -17.5
2 pts toward HPU
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JAX +1300 · HPU -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -15.5 · closed HPU -17.5 · moved 2 toward HPUmodel HPU -16
model HPU -16
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAXlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| HPUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
over 1under 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
High Point
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +22.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +22.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
over 1under 0avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami69–86
A week or more of rest.
High Point
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Furman97–71
A week or more of rest.