Fiserv Forum · at Milwaukee
Closing line
SDST -1.5✓ MILW covered by 2.5
SDST -1.5✓ MILW covered by 2.5Closing total151.5Over by 23.5
| SDST | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 3-6 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 2-7 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 77–78 MILW · ✓ MILW (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 38 | 49 | 87 |
| MILW | 39 | 49 | 88 |
1st half: SDST 38, MILW 39 (MILW by 1). The model had MILW by 0.6 and a total of 72.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SDST | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-66 50% | Field goals | 32-69 46% |
| 13-33 39% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 43 19 off |
| 22 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 27 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalen Garry G | 39 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 7-13 | 4-9 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 37 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 9-18 | 4-8 |
| Joe Sayler G | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Matthew Mors F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Alec Squires C | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Rogers G | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 16 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Bubz Alvarez G | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Haertle G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Davis Kern, Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Andrell Burton Jr., Trey Buchanan
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 37 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Josh Dixon G | 30 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 8-18 | 3-7 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 27 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Faizon Fields F | 23 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 22 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amar Augillard G | 20 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 7-16 | 5-10 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ned Renfree, Stevie Elam, Austin Villarreal, Sekou Konneh, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDST -1.5
ModelMILW -1.3
Model edgeMILW +2.8
W MILW covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
SDST 76.8 · MILW 78
SDST 87 · MILW 88
Win probability
MILW 54%
1st half
Spread
MILW -0.6
MILW -1.0
Total
72.5
77 points
Projected score
SDST 35.9 · MILW 36.5
SDST 38 · MILW 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -1.5
3 → SDST
CloseSDST -1.5
3 pts toward SDST
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SDST -130 · MILW +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -1.5 · closed SDST -1.5 · moved 3 toward SDSTmodel MILW -1.5
model MILW -1.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MILWlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 2-7 22% | 5-4 56% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vs WYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
over 4under 6avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
over 5under 4avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wyoming72–87
- W@ Ball State68–64
- Lvs Idaho81–84
- W@ N Arizona75–62
- Lvs UC Irvine52–64
4 days since their last game.
Milwaukee
3-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Indiana St68–70
- Wvs Robert Morris74–72
- L@ Akron81–105
- L@ Wichita St58–75
- L@ Texas Tech63–80
5 days since their last game.