Charles Koch Arena · at Wichita St
Closing line
WICH -10.5✓ WICH covered by 6.5
WICH -10.5✓ WICH covered by 6.5Closing total158.5Under by 25.5
 MILW | This season | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 4-0 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 73–85 WICH · ✓ WICH (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| WICH | 28 | 47 | 75 |
1st half: MILW 30, WICH 28 (MILW by 2). The model had WICH by 6.8 and a total of 74.2 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MILW | WICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-59 36% | Field goals | 25-60 42% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 45 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Hubbard G | 35 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 31 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Faizon Fields F | 25 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Amar Augillard G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stevie Elam G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dixon G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, John Lovelace Jr., Ned Renfree, Chandler Jackson, Tate Mackenzie
| WICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karon Boyd F | 37 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Kenyon Giles G | 37 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| TJ Williams G | 30 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Michael Gray Jr. G | 29 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| William Berg C | 21 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmanuel Okorafor F | 19 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Dre Kindell G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jaret Valencia F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dillon Battie F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brian Amuneke G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Joy Ighovodja, Tyrus Rathan-Mayes, Henry Thengvall, Pierre Couisnard, Noah Hill
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWICH -10.5
ModelWICH -11.6
Model edgeWICH +1.1
W WICH covered
Total
Market158.5
Model158.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
MILW 73.4 · WICH 85
MILW 58 · WICH 75
Win probability
WICH 84%
1st half
Spread
WICH -6.8
MILW -2.0
Total
74.2
58 points
Projected score
MILW 33.7 · WICH 40.5
MILW 30 · WICH 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWICH -10.5
no move
CloseWICH -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 3
Close158.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +450 · WICH -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WICH -10.5 · unchangedmodel WICH -11.5
model WICH -11.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 downmodel 158.5 matches the line
model 158.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILWlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% |
| WICHlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@
WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vs
LR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@
IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@
TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
over 4under 1avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wichita St
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +13.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCA
UNCAW 75-58
+10.5
8
vs
PV
PVW 105-62
+22.5
13
vs
LUC
LUCW 95-74
+15.5
18
@
BOIS
BOISL 59-62
+6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-58
−24.5
8
vsPV
PVW 105-62
+10.5
13
vsLUC
LUCW 95-74
+15.5
18
@BOIS
BOISL 59-62
−29.5
over 2under 2avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech63–80
- L@ Indiana70–101
- Wvs Little Rock92–72
- L@ Wofford76–86
- Wvs Hampton90–86
A week or more of rest.
Wichita St
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St59–62
- Wvs Loyola Chicago95–74
- Wvs Prairie View105–62
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–58
4 days since their last game.