Reilly Center · at St Bonaventure
Closing line
SBU -9.5✓ YSU covered by 5.5
SBU -9.5✓ YSU covered by 5.5Closing total146.5Over by 17.5
 YSU | This season | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 70–78 SBU · ✓ SBU (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 33 | 47 | 80 |
| SBU | 36 | 48 | 84 |
1st half: YSU 33, SBU 36 (SBU by 3). The model had SBU by 4.2 and a total of 69.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| YSU | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 32-55 58% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 6-13 46% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 35 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Rich Rolf F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Jason Nelson G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vlad Salaridze F | 23 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Drew King G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Polak G | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Jaiden Haynes, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tyler Robinett
| SBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Charles G | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Darryl Simmons II G | 36 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Frank Mitchell F | 35 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Dasonte Bowen G | 34 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Joe Grahovac F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amar'e Marshall G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Andrew Osasuyi F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Achille Lonati G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden Jackson, Ilia Ermakov, John Ikpotokin, Xander Wedlow, Jack DeRose, Broek Ostrom, Daniel Egbuniwe
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSBU -9.5
ModelSBU -7.2
Model edgeYSU +2.3
W YSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
YSU 70.3 · SBU 77.5
YSU 80 · SBU 84
Win probability
SBU 74%
1st half
Spread
SBU -4.2
SBU -3.0
Total
69.2
69 points
Projected score
YSU 32.5 · SBU 36.7
YSU 33 · SBU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSBU -9.5
no move
CloseSBU -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
YSU +425 · SBU -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SBU -9.5 · unchangedmodel SBU -7
model SBU -7
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| SBUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +12 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@
GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +12 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
over 1under 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Bonaventure
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BRAD
BRADW 69-63
+4.5
8
vs
CAN
CANW 89-70
−2.5
12
vs
SIE
SIEW 75-66
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
−7.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
+22.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
+0.5
over 2under 1avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Grand Canyon90–81
- L@ Pitt59–74
A week or more of rest.
St Bonaventure
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Siena75–66
- Wvs Canisius89–70
- Wvs Bradley69–63
3 days since their last game.