When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
282 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 61.5–69.5 · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 128 overs, 2% had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 282 games
2023–2026 · Totals 61.5–69.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 8 |
USA -1.5 | 66.5 | 3121933 | U | MRSH Q2 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 7 |
HOU -4 | 62.5 | 10174567 | Q4 | OKST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
32–35 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ARST -5.5 | 61.5 | 6232336 | U | ARST Q1 | 23–13 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
TXST -15.5 | 69.5 | 21669393 | Q3 | TXST Q1 | 27–66 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -3.5 | 61.5 | 17416283 | Q3 | ARIZ Q1 | 52–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
LSU -53.5 | 62.5 | 14356377 | Q3 | MCN Q1 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 5 |
FAU -47.5 | 62.5 | 31596976 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 10–66 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ILL -9.5 | 62.5 | 3202341 | U | PUR Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ALA -5.5 | 62.5 | 21456579 | Q3 | ALA Q1 | 56–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
2026 · Week 4 |
DUKE -43.5 | 61.5 | 21455569 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 | 7–62 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 62.5 | 14314141 | U | CARK Q1 | 7–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PITT -54.5 | 63.5 | 14354259 | U | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
0–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BOIS -28.5 | 61.5 | 14354562 | Q4 | SDAK Q1 Late over |
24–38 |
2026 · Week 3 |
FAU -5.5 | 62.5 | 10172326 | U | FAU Q3 | 10–16 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CAL -58.5 | 65.5 | 29465356 | U | WAG Q1 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TXST -3 | 62.5 | 28566384 | Q3 | TXST Q3 | 35–49 |
2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -51.5 | 61.5 | 28497683 | Q3 | HOU Q3 | 6–77 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CIN -36.5 | 61.5 | 10385972 | Q4 | CIN Q3 | 10–62 |
2026 · Week 2 |
FLA -51.5 | 66.5 | 13485555 | U | CAM Q1 | 3–52 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TXST -1.5 | 65.5 | 7244057 | U | UTSA Q4 | 31–26 |
2026 · Week 2 |
IU -57.5 | 67.5 | 20415555 | U | HOW Q1 | 0–55 |
2026 · Week 2 |
MIA -59.5 | 66.5 | 21497784 | Q3 | MIA Q3 | 7–77 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SDSU -38.5 | 61.5 | 13355673 | Q4 | PRST Q1 | 20–53 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BYU -50.5 | 61.5 | 14426370 | Q3 | BYU Q4 | 7–63 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TTU -45.5 | 61.5 | 14202943 | U | ACU Q1 | 10–33 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ARK -40.5 | 63.5 | 7142845 | U | UNA Q1 | 14–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEX -29.5 | 61.5 | 14355666 | Q4 | TEX Q3 Late over |
7–59 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
2026 · Week 1 |
UK -22.5 | 61.5 | 14354858 | U | UK Q4 | 13–45 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MIZ -55.5 | 62.5 | 14404768 | Q4 | UAPB Q1 Late over |
14–54 |
2026 · Week 1 |
USC -37.5 | 61.5 | 7283868 | Q4 | SJSU Q1 Late over |
26–42 |
2025 · Postseason |
TENN -3 | 61.5 | 14173858 | U | ILL Q1 | 28–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
UTSA -7.5 | 63.5 | 28456077 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 | 20–57 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNLV -6.5 | 64.5 | 061727 | U | OHIO Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KENN -3 | 62.5 | 071034 | U | KENN Q2 | 19–15 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MRSH -10.5 | 62.5 | 17203643 | U | GASO Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ECU -6.5 | 66.5 | 24454545 | U | ECU Q1 | 42–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNT -20.5 | 65.5 | 21425977 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 25–52 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MISS -7.5 | 62.5 | 21313757 | U | MISS Q2 | 38–19 |
2025 · Week 13 |
GT -2.5 | 61.5 | 21424970 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late over |
42–28 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ECU -2.5 | 61.5 | 14375482 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 24–58 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CONN -5.5 | 64.5 | 27446593 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 48–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USF -22.5 | 68.5 | 17274466 | U | USF Q3 | 48–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ODU -10.5 | 62.5 | 14314855 | U | ODU Q1 | 45–10 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNLV -2.5 | 64.5 | 17343448 | U | UNLV Q1 | 10–38 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 140
Q2 16% 46
Q3 16% 45
Q4 17% 49
OT 0% 1
Push 0% 1
The team leading at halftime won 88% and covered 69% of 251 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 69% of 273 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 31 | 100% 31 |
| 1–3 | 15 | 100% 15 |
| 4–7 | 15 | 93% 14 |
| 8–10 | 13 | 77% 10 |
| 11–14 | 28 | 64% 18 |
| 15–17 | 25 | 56% 14 |
| 18–21 | 29 | 41% 12 |
| 22+ | 126 | 11% 14 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.