1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. EMU @ XAV
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Xavier Musketeers

Cintas Center · at Xavier
#188EMUE Michigan
@
#49XAVXavier
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
EMUThis seasonXAV
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects XAV 86–68 · win probability XAV 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: XAV has more of the edges

EMU 0, XAV 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
XAVBig
XAV offense vs EMU defense
Offense 31st of 366 against a defense 188th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
EMU has played the 157th-hardest schedule, XAV the 33rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
XAVBig
EMU offense vs XAV defense
Offense 206th of 366 against a defense 89th, on the model’s ratings
XAVSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EMU 17.5%, XAV 14.0%. Forced: EMU 15.5%, XAV 15.5%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: EMU plays 68.9 a game (190th fastest), XAV 71.8 (44th). Faster games mean more points
XAVSmall
Home court
XAV at home. This season: XAV 0-0 at home, EMU 0-0 away
XAVSmall
Three-pointers
EMU hits 32.4% and allows 32.9%; XAV hits 36.5% and allows 34.8%. Threes are 31.8% and 40.6% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EMU 37%, XAV 14%. Transfers in: EMU 4, XAV 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: EMU 49.6 and allows 50.3; XAV 51.8 and allows 54.1
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EMU 27.8%, XAV 26.5%. Defensive: EMU 70.9%, XAV 70.5%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: EMU 29.3, XAV 28.1. Allowed: EMU 35.5, XAV 32.6
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—XAV -18.7—
Total—153.9—
Projected score—EMU 67.6 · XAV 86.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadXAV -11.0—
1H total71.9—
1H projected scoreEMU 30.5 · XAV 41.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Xavier has the better starters

Position by position: E Michigan 0, Xavier 4, even 1
E MichiganBetterXavier
G J. Fitzpatrick TR15.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 75
XAVSmall
G C. Westry TR15.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 5.6 ast Score 97
G E. Richards TR9.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 32
XAVBig
G T. Washington TR11.9 pts · 4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 82
G B. Green4.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 9
XAVBig
F N. Chitikoudis TR11.1 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 66
F M. Habhab14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 64
Even
F J. Milicevic12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.4 ast Score 75
F K. Brockhoff TR10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast Score 44
XAVSmall
F R. Aligbe TR9.4 pts · 7.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 74
E MichiganBetterXavier
EMU offense206th of 366 · -6.3
XAVSmall
XAV defense89th of 366 · -0.2
EMU defense188th of 366 · -4.4
XAVBig
XAV offense31st of 366 · +6.0
Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players
XAVBig
Backcourt+6.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.1 · 2 players
XAVBig
Frontcourt+3.1 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
XAVBig
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestEMU betterXAV betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Michigan
Guards
J. Fitzpatrick36 min · TRE. Richards27 min · TRB. Green20 minG. Lawson18 minS. Harris17 min · TRD. PorterNew
Forwards
M. Habhab36 minK. Brockhoff22 min · TRK. JohnsonNewJ. WrightNewO. SuleimanNew
Xavier
Guards
C. Westry31 min · TRT. Washington28 min · TRR. Dominguez23 min · TRB. Appelhans13 min · TRM. Wolf2 minK. HouseNew
Forwards
N. Chitikoudis27 min · TRJ. Milicevic26 minR. Aligbe25 min · TRM. Nwoko22 min · TRH. Thole1 minG. PozzatoNew
Centers
K. WestphalNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EMUXAV
Scoring
70.2 #282Points per game78.4 #91
1.02 #298Points per possession1.09 #149
68.9 #190Pace (possessions)71.8 #44
Shooting
49.6 #264Effective FG%51.8 #155
32.4 #2593-point %36.5 #39
31.8 #3323-point attempt rate40.6 #156
29.3 #325Free throw rate28.1 #341
Possessions
17.5 #235Turnover rate14.0 #21
27.8 #273Offensive rebound rate26.5 #311
12.4 #261Assists per game17.4 #15
Defense
74.4 #169Points allowed80.6 #329
1.07 #142Points allowed per possession1.12 #276
50.3 #115Opponent effective FG%54.1 #302
32.9 #111Opponent 3-point %34.8 #237
15.5 #249Turnovers forced15.5 #253
70.9 #109Defensive rebound rate70.5 #136
5.7 #269Steals per game6.5 #181
4.1 #61Blocks per game4.0 #77
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

E Michigan

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Bowling Green69–77
  • L@ Buffalo67–72
  • Lvs Miami OH64–74
  • L@ Toledo75–94
  • Wvs C Michigan66–54

A week or more of rest.

Xavier

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn68–93
  • Wvs Marquette89–87
  • L@ Villanova78–91
  • Lvs Seton Hall68–77
  • Wvs Georgetown91–84

A week or more of rest.