1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. DETM @ EMU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Detroit Mercy Titans at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Gervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan
#277DETMDetroit Mercy
@
#188EMUE Michigan
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DETMThis seasonEMU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects EMU 78–71 · win probability EMU 74%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: EMU has more of the edges

DETM 2, EMU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
EMUSmall
EMU offense vs DETM defense
Offense 206th of 366 against a defense 310th, on the model’s ratings
DETMSmall
Three-pointers
DETM hits 35.1% and allows 33.3%; EMU hits 32.4% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 30.7% and 31.8% of their shots
EMUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DETM 49.5 and allows 52.2; EMU 49.6 and allows 50.3
DETMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DETM 33.3%, EMU 27.8%. Defensive: DETM 69.2%, EMU 70.9%
EMUSmall
Home court
EMU at home. This season: EMU 0-0 at home, DETM 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
DETM has played the 208th-hardest schedule, EMU the 157th. A record against a soft schedule means less
EMUSmall
DETM offense vs EMU defense
Offense 236th of 366 against a defense 188th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: DETM plays 69.7 a game (132nd fastest), EMU 68.9 (190th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DETM 49%, EMU 37%. Transfers in: DETM 0, EMU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DETM 16.0%, EMU 17.5%. Forced: DETM 14.4%, EMU 15.5%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DETM 32.6, EMU 29.3. Allowed: DETM 37.6, EMU 35.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—EMU -7.3—
Total—148.3—
Projected score—DETM 70.5 · EMU 77.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadEMU -4.2—
1H total69.4—
1H projected scoreDETM 32.6 · EMU 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

E Michigan has the better starters

Position by position: Detroit Mercy 0, E Michigan 2, even 3
Detroit MercyBetterE Michigan
G T. Spratt10.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 54
EMUSmall
G J. Fitzpatrick TR15.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 75
G A. Carter11.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G E. Richards TR9.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 32
G L. Stone6.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.9 ast Score 9
Even
G B. Green4.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 9
F L. Maiden6.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28
EMUBig
F M. Habhab14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 64
C X. Istomin-Monroe1.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Brockhoff TR10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast Score 44
Detroit MercyBetterE Michigan
DETM offense236th of 366 · -7.2
Even
EMU defense188th of 366 · -4.4
DETM defense310th of 366 · -8.1
EMUSmall
EMU offense206th of 366 · -6.3
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
DETMSmall
Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 2 players
EMUSmall
Frontcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestDETM betterEMU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Detroit Mercy
Guards
T. Spratt25 minA. Carter21 minL. Stone21 minJ. Cotton7 minJ. BriggsNewE. PalssonNew
Forwards
L. Maiden16 minD. FavorNewV. SemerychNewC. HouserNewT. OwensNew
Centers
X. Istomin-Monroe8 min
E Michigan
Guards
J. Fitzpatrick36 min · TRE. Richards27 min · TRB. Green20 minG. Lawson18 minS. Harris17 min · TRD. PorterNew
Forwards
M. Habhab36 minK. Brockhoff22 min · TRK. JohnsonNewJ. WrightNewO. SuleimanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DETMEMU
Scoring
76.3 #135Points per game70.2 #282
1.09 #153Points per possession1.02 #298
69.7 #132Pace (possessions)68.9 #190
Shooting
49.5 #267Effective FG%49.6 #264
35.1 #1083-point %32.4 #259
30.7 #3433-point attempt rate31.8 #332
32.6 #247Free throw rate29.3 #325
Possessions
16.0 #138Turnover rate17.5 #235
33.3 #81Offensive rebound rate27.8 #273
13.1 #208Assists per game12.4 #261
Defense
78.7 #285Points allowed74.4 #169
1.13 #290Points allowed per possession1.07 #142
52.2 #223Opponent effective FG%50.3 #115
33.3 #140Opponent 3-point %32.9 #111
14.4 #324Turnovers forced15.5 #249
69.2 #193Defensive rebound rate70.9 #109
5.8 #264Steals per game5.7 #269
3.3 #182Blocks per game4.1 #61
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Detroit Mercy

15-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-9 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wright St63–66
  • Wvs Robert Morris70–64
  • Wvs Milwaukee84–63
  • W@ Oakland95–89
  • L@ Robert Morris62–73

A week or more of rest.

E Michigan

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Bowling Green69–77
  • L@ Buffalo67–72
  • Lvs Miami OH64–74
  • L@ Toledo75–94
  • Wvs C Michigan66–54

A week or more of rest.