United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NU -4.5✓ NU covered by 5.5
NU -4.5✓ NU covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Under by 1.5
 PSU | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-19 | Record | 13-18 |
| 12-19 | ATS | 15-16 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 71–77 NU · ✓ NU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| NU | 34 | 42 | 76 |
1st half: PSU 32, NU 34 (NU by 2). The model had NU by 3.3 and a total of 69.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| PSU | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 7-16 44% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 22 5 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 21 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Josh Reed F | 31 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Ivan Juric F | 29 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9-12 | 1-2 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 31 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Melih Tunca G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Justin Houser, Eli Rice, Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 38 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 10-17 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Reid G | 32 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Jake West G | 28 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Tre Singleton F | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Clayton G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Mullins G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith, K.J. Windham, Max Green, Phoenix Gill, Arrinten Page
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -7.5
3 → PSU
CloseNU -4.5
3 pts toward PSU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 6
Close143.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +195 · NU -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -7.5 · closed NU -4.5 · moved 3 toward PSUmodel NU -5.5
model NU -5.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 6 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -4.5 | NU -5.7 | NU +1.2 | W NU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 148.5 | Over 5.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PSU 71.4 · NU 77.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -3.3 | NU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 33.1 · NU 36.4 | PSU 32 · NU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| NU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PSU 5–3 NUPSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · PSU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | PSU 73 @ NU 94 | NU -7.5 | NU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | NU 80 @ PSU 84 | PSU -4.5 | NU W |
| Feb 11, 2023-24 | PSU 63 @ NU 68 | NU -7.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | NU 76 @ PSU 72 | PSU +1.5 | NU W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | PSU 67 vs NU 65 | NU -1.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
12-19
39% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vs WIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @ OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vs MINN | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @MICH | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vs USC | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ WASH | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | @ ORE | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 18 | vs RUTG | L 72-85 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @ NEB | L 64-87 | +17.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vs IOWA | W 71-69 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 4 | vsOSU | L 62-94 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 8 | @RUTG | L 62-74 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+4.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
−14.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
+1.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
+15.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
−4.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
−17.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 64-87
−5.5
28
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-69
+11.5
4
vsOSU
OSUL 62-94
−24.5
8
@RUTG
RUTGL 62-74
−7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+9.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
+17.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
−5.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
−30.5
14
@ORE
OREL 72-83
+9.5
18
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-85
+8.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 64-87
+3.5
28
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-69
−3.5
4
vsOSU
OSUL 62-94
+3.5
8
@RUTG
RUTGL 62-74
−13.5
over 18under 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
31 games played
Straight up
13-18
42% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vsBU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsOSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsMINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vsILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsPSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsWASH | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ILL | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @IOWA | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vsMICH | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @NEB | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 18 | vsMD | W 78-74 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @IU | W 72-68 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 28 | vsORE | W 63-62 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 4 | vsPUR | L 66-70 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | @MINN | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−15.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−23.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+4.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+3.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−5.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
−3.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
+13.5
28
vsORE
OREW 63-62
−2.5
4
vsPUR
PURL 66-70
+8.5
7
@MINN
MINNL 66-67
+3.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−8.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−21.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+8.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−29.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
+9.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
−5.5
28
vsORE
OREW 63-62
−16.5
4
vsPUR
PURL 66-70
−9.5
7
@MINN
MINNL 66-67
−0.5
over 14under 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
12-19 overall · 3-17 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rutgers62–74
- Lvs Ohio State62–94
- Wvs Iowa71–69
- L@ Nebraska64–87
- Lvs Rutgers72–85
2 days since their last game.
Northwestern
13-18 overall · 5-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Minnesota66–67
- Lvs Purdue66–70
- Wvs Oregon63–62
- W@ Indiana72–68
- Wvs Maryland78–74
3 days since their last game.