UVI Sports & Fitness Center · Neutral site
Closing line
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 26.5
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 26.5Closing total156.5Under by 0.5
| AKR | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 4-0 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 84–73 EVAN · ✓ AKR (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 44 | 53 | 97 |
| EVAN | 36 | 23 | 59 |
1st half: AKR 44, EVAN 36 (AKR by 8). The model had AKR by 7.1 and a total of 73.5 (actual 80).
Team stats
| AKR | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-57 56% | Field goals | 20-46 43% |
| 13-30 43% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 22 7 off |
| 19 | Assists | 9 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 30 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 29 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-15 | 2-8 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Amani Lyles F | 22 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bowen Hardman G | 18 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sharron Young G | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Halligan F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chabi Barre F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Conner Groce G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keishon Porter G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Leif Moeller G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Casey F | 29 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 22 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Trent Hundley F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Weston Aigner G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Leo Amari IV G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marlon Barnes Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dakota Candler, Aaron Gutman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -11.5
ModelAKR -11.6
Model edgeAKR +0.1
W AKR covered
Total
Market156.5
Model157.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
AKR 84.3 · EVAN 72.7
AKR 97 · EVAN 59
Win probability
AKR 84%
1st half
Spread
AKR -7.1
AKR -8.0
Total
73.5
80 points
Projected score
AKR 40.3 · EVAN 33.2
AKR 44 · EVAN 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -13.5
2 → EVAN
CloseAKR -11.5
2 pts toward EVAN
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AKR -900 · EVAN +550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -13.5 · closed AKR -11.5 · moved 2 toward EVANmodel AKR -11.5 matches the line
model AKR -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKRlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% |
| EVANlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
AKR 1–0 EVANAKR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · AKR 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021-22 | AKR 69 vs EVAN 60 | EVAN +5.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +9.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vs
PRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@
PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vs
IONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
over 3under 1avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vs
MTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vs
UTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vs
ORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
over 3under 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iona96–75
- L@ Purdue79–97
- Wvs Princeton104–69
- Wvs James Madison85–71
2 days since their last game.
Evansville
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon St73–69
- Lvs UT Arlington76–84
- Lvs MTSU72–77
- L@ Purdue51–82
2 days since their last game.