Wisdom Gym · at Tarleton St
Closing line
TAR -4.5✓ TAR covered by 9.5
TAR -4.5✓ TAR covered by 9.5Closing total142.5Under by 4.5
 MRMK | This season | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 69–74 TAR · ✓ TAR (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 31 | 31 | 62 |
| TAR | 34 | 42 | 76 |
1st half: MRMK 31, TAR 34 (TAR by 3). The model had TAR by 2.7 and a total of 67.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MRMK | TAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-58 33% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 5-28 18% | 3-pointers | 2-11 18% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Shelton G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Tye Dorset G | 36 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-10 | 0-8 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 28 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Todd Brogna F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aliou Cisse F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Malik Edmead G | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Moore, David Munro, Quinn Kwasniak, Brandon Legris
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell G | 35 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Freddy Hicks G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 30 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 10-12 | 0-0 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam McDowell G | 28 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Dior Johnson G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Kade Douglas G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, Damion Porter Jr., Daniel Dormu, AJ Dent, Roy Marom, Joseph Martinez, Matyas Vrabel, Malek Archie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTAR -4.5
ModelTAR -4.8
Model edgeTAR +0.3
W TAR covered
Total
Market142.5
Model143.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
MRMK 69.1 · TAR 73.9
MRMK 62 · TAR 76
Win probability
TAR 66%
1st half
Spread
TAR -2.7
TAR -3.0
Total
67.0
65 points
Projected score
MRMK 32.1 · TAR 34.9
MRMK 31 · TAR 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTAR -4.5
no move
CloseTAR -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +180 · TAR -215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TAR -4.5 · unchangedmodel TAR -5
model TAR -5
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMKlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
| TARlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
over 1under 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tarleton St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +18.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@
LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vs
AMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
over 3under 0avg +18.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Auburn57–95
- Lvs S Dakota St66–75
5 days since their last game.
Tarleton St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC85–77
- L@ LSU60–96
- L@ SMU76–96
3 days since their last game.