Breslin Center · at Michigan St · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -20.5✓ RUTG covered by 16.5
MSU -20.5✓ RUTG covered by 16.5Closing total141.5Over by 36.5
 RUTG | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-17 | Record | 24-5 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 17-12 | O/U | 12-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 62–81 MSU · ✓ MSU (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 30 | 57 | 87 |
| MSU | 31 | 60 | 91 |
1st half: RUTG 30, MSU 31 (MSU by 1). The model had MSU by 11.1 and a total of 67.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| RUTG | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-65 48% | Field goals | 31-53 58% |
| 10-18 56% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 25-30 83% |
| 21 8 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 35 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Tariq Francis G | 31 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 8-17 | 4-5 |
| Lino Mark G | 26 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-1 |
| Dylan Grant F | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 20 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamichael Davis G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kaden Powers G | 15 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Harun Zrno G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Denis Badalau, Bryce Ruglass Dortch, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Baye Fall
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coen Carr F | 32 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Carson Cooper C | 29 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 28 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Ward F | 20 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kur Teng G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanders G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennan Walton, Colin Walton, Jesse McCulloch, Divine Ugochukwu, Kaleb Glenn
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -19.5
1 → MSU
CloseMSU -20.5
1 pt toward MSU
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +2000 · MSU -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -19.5 · closed MSU -20.5 · moved 1 toward MSUmodel MSU -19
model MSU -19
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -20.5 | MSU -18.8 | RUTG +1.7 | W RUTG covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 143.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | RUTG 62.1 · MSU 80.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -11.1 | MSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 67.0 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | RUTG 28 · MSU 39 | RUTG 30 · MSU 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
RUTG 2–4 MSUMSU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · MSU has won the last 3 meetings · RUTG 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025-26 | MSU 88 @ RUTG 79 | RUTG +14.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MSU 81 @ RUTG 74 | RUTG +8.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | RUTG 55 @ MSU 73 | MSU -10.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MSU 55 @ RUTG 61 | RUTG -4.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | RUTG 57 @ MSU 70 | MSU -2.5 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
29 games played
Straight up
12-17
41% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs IU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsMSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ USC | L 75-78 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | @ UCLA | L 66-98 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs NEB | L 68-80 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 15 | vs MD | W 68-57 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @ PSU | W 85-72 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @ MINN | L 61-80 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs WASH | L 72-79 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 1 | @MD | W 69-65 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+8.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
−18.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+0.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
+8.5
18
@PSU
PSUW 85-72
+17.5
21
@MINN
MINNL 61-80
−10.5
24
vsWASH
WASHL 72-79
−2.5
1
@MD
MDW 69-65
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+6.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
+21.5
7
vsNEB
NEBL 68-80
+2.5
15
vsMD
MDW 68-57
−19.5
18
@PSU
PSUW 85-72
+8.5
21
@MINN
MINNL 61-80
+4.5
24
vsWASH
WASHL 72-79
+11.5
1
@MD
MDW 69-65
−9.5
over 17under 12avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
29 games played
Straight up
24-5
83% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vsIOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vsUSC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vsNU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vsIU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vsMD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vsMICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | vsUCLA | W 82-59 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | vsOSU | W 66-60 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | @PUR | W 76-74 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @IU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+14.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−4.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+7.5
1
@IU
IUW 77-64
+10.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+1.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−20.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+6.5
1
@IU
IUW 77-64
−3.5
over 12under 17avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
12-17 overall · 5-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maryland69–65
- Lvs Washington72–79
- L@ Minnesota61–80
- W@ Penn State85–72
- Wvs Maryland68–57
4 days since their last game.
Michigan St
24-5 overall · 14-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana77–64
- W@ Purdue76–74
- Wvs Ohio State66–60
- Wvs UCLA82–59
- L@ Wisconsin71–92
4 days since their last game.