CURE Insurance Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
JOES -5.5✓ PRIN covered by 3.5
JOES -5.5✓ PRIN covered by 3.5Closing total146.5Under by 28.5
| JOES | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 2-6 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 78–73 PRIN · ✓ JOES (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| PRIN | 25 | 33 | 58 |
1st half: JOES 30, PRIN 25 (JOES by 5). The model had JOES by 3.1 and a total of 70.7 (actual 55).
Team stats
| JOES | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 3-7 43% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce Jones G | 34 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-7 |
| Derek Simpson G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Austin Williford G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Smith C | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kevin Kearney, Billy Rayer, Mekai Johnson, Will Lange, Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Al Amadou
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hicke G | 36 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-6 |
| Jack Stanton G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Landon Clark G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Jacob Huggins F | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Cash McSweeney F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jake Sussberg G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Hammond F | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Peyton Seals G | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dalen Davis, CJ Happy, Zio Kim, Cooper Mueller, Ryan Mandes, Will Kutzler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJOES -5.5
ModelJOES -5.0
Model edgePRIN +0.5
W PRIN covered
Total
Market146.5
Model150.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
L Under
Projected score
JOES 77.9 · PRIN 73
JOES 60 · PRIN 58
Win probability
JOES 67%
1st half
Spread
JOES -3.1
JOES -5.0
Total
70.7
55 points
Projected score
JOES 36.9 · PRIN 33.8
JOES 30 · PRIN 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJOES -3.5
2 → JOES
CloseJOES -5.5
2 pts toward JOES
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
JOES -230 · PRIN +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JOES -3.5 · closed JOES -5.5 · moved 2 toward JOESmodel JOES -5
model JOES -5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOESlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% |
| PRINlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JOES 1–1 PRINSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · JOES 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | PRIN 77 @ JOES 69 | JOES -5.5 | PRIN W |
| Dec 10, 2023-24 | PRIN 70 @ JOES 74 | JOES -1.5 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −8.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vs
DREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@
VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@
PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@
UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
over 3under 2avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AKR | L 69-104 | +13.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUCK | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | @ KU | L 57-76 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | @ IONA | L 69-89 | +2.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | vs NE | W 70-57 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 64-88 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TEM | L 75-79 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVM | L 74-79 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+12.5
over 5under 3avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNLV85–99
- L@ Penn74–83
- L@ Virginia Tech59–94
- Wvs Drexel76–65
- Wvs Lafayette85–76
A week or more of rest.
Princeton
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Vermont74–79
- Lvs Temple75–79
- Lvs Bradley64–88
- Wvs Northeastern70–57
- L@ Iona69–89
4 days since their last game.