Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
Closing line
KSU -12.5✓ TLSA covered by 11.5
KSU -12.5✓ TLSA covered by 11.5Closing total160.5Over by 6.5
 TLSA | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TLSA 73–86 KSU · ✓ KSU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 34 | 49 | 83 |
| KSU | 39 | 45 | 84 |
1st half: TLSA 34, KSU 39 (KSU by 5). The model had KSU by 8.1 and a total of 74.3 (actual 73).
Team stats
| TLSA | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-66 41% | Field goals | 30-68 44% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Barnstable G | 36 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 6-16 | 4-11 |
| Tylen Riley G | 26 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| David Green F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3-16 | 2-9 |
| Ade Popoola G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Rigsby G | 24 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ian Smikle F | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Romad Dean F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leon Sifferlin, Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson G | 35 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| PJ Haggerty G | 32 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 10-17 | 0-2 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 25 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Dorin Buca C | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Jones G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Taj Manning F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stephen Osei, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Exavier Wilson, Marcus Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKSU -12.5
ModelKSU -13.7
Model edgeKSU +1.2
L TLSA covered
Total
Market160.5
Model158.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
L Over
Projected score
TLSA 72.5 · KSU 86.2
TLSA 83 · KSU 84
Win probability
KSU 88%
1st half
Spread
KSU -8.1
KSU -5.0
Total
74.3
73 points
Projected score
TLSA 33.1 · KSU 41.2
TLSA 34 · KSU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -13.5
1 → TLSA
CloseKSU -12.5
1 pt toward TLSA
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TLSA +600 · KSU -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -13.5 · closed KSU -12.5 · moved 1 toward TLSAmodel KSU -13.5
model KSU -13.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSAlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| KSUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulsa
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
URI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@
ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
over 1under 1avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +13.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
over 3under 0avg +13.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulsa
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oral Roberts88–87
- Wvs Rhode Island82–65
5 days since their last game.
Kansas St
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs California99–96
- Wvs Bellarmine98–71
- Wvs UNC Greensboro93–64
4 days since their last game.