Gentile Arena · at Loyola Chicago
Closing line
CSU -3.5✓ CSU covered by 9.5
CSU -3.5✓ CSU covered by 9.5Closing total151.5Under by 4.5
| CSU | This season | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 0-4 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 81–73 LUC · ✓ CSU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 33 | 47 | 80 |
| LUC | 21 | 46 | 67 |
1st half: CSU 33, LUC 21 (CSU by 12). The model had CSU by 4.8 and a total of 72.1 (actual 54).
Team stats
| CSU | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 21-45 47% |
| 14-30 47% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 32 12 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 31 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Carey Booth F | 25 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 22 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Jojo McIver G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Dortch F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Rashaan Mbemba
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore G | 33 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 31 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Chuck Love III G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 24 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Miles Rubin C | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alexander Richardson C | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniil Glazkov G | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Nic Anderson G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kayde Dotson G | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Dominick Harris G | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Caleb Reese G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Zachary Royster, Brayden Young, Sam Yurasek, Kymany Houinsou, Xavier Amos
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -3.5
ModelCSU -7.6
Model edgeCSU +4.1
W CSU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
L Under
Projected score
CSU 80.8 · LUC 73.2
CSU 80 · LUC 67
Win probability
CSU 75%
1st half
Spread
CSU -4.8
CSU -12.0
Total
72.1
54 points
Projected score
CSU 38.5 · LUC 33.7
CSU 33 · LUC 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -5.5
2 → LUC
CloseCSU -3.5
2 pts toward LUC
Total
Open145.5
▲ 6
Close151.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
CSU -190 · LUC +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -5.5 · closed CSU -3.5 · moved 2 toward LUCmodel CSU -7.5
model CSU -7.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 6 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
| LUClast 4 | 1-3 25% | 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +9.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
over 3under 0avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola Chicago
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −15.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vs
MERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vs
UNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@
WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
over 2under 2avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly93–79
- Wvs Omaha97–74
- Wvs Incarnate Word98–64
4 days since their last game.
Loyola Chicago
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wichita St74–95
- Lvs North Texas62–64
- Lvs Mercyhurst65–73
- Wvs Cleveland St91–88
3 days since their last game.