1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. DEL @ WIS
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Delaware Blue Hens at Wisconsin Badgers

Kohl Center · at Wisconsin
#206DELDelaware
@
#41WISWisconsin
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DELThis seasonWIS
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WIS 87–63 · win probability WIS 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WIS has more of the edges

DEL 0, WIS 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WISBig
DEL offense vs WIS defense
Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 40th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DEL has played the 195th-hardest schedule, WIS the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WISBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEL 18.3%, WIS 12.8%. Forced: DEL 14.0%, WIS 14.3%
WISBig
WIS offense vs DEL defense
Offense 44th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings
WISBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEL 20.8%, WIS 29.1%. Defensive: DEL 68.9%, WIS 71.8%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: DEL plays 65.3 a game (337th fastest), WIS 70.0 (119th). Faster games mean more points
WISSmall
Home court
WIS at home. This season: WIS 0-0 at home, DEL 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%; WIS hits 36.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 46.2% and 52.1% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5; WIS 54.5 and allows 51.4
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEL 30.6, WIS 31.5. Allowed: DEL 30.2, WIS 29.9
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEL 46%, WIS 54%. Transfers in: DEL 6, WIS 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WIS -24.0—
Total—149.5—
Projected score—DEL 62.7 · WIS 86.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWIS -14.2—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreDEL 27.9 · WIS 42—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wisconsin has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware 0, Wisconsin 3, even 2
DelawareBetterWisconsin
G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21
WISBig
G E. Elmer TR12.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 68
G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
WISBig
G T. Autry TR10.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 61
G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Carrington8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
F N. Winter13.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 96
F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
WISBig
F A. Rapp9.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 83
DelawareBetterWisconsin
DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3
WISBig
WIS defense40th of 366 · +2.9
DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3
WISBig
WIS offense44th of 366 · +4.5
Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players
WISBig
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
WISBig
Frontcourt+6.7 · 2 players
Bench-2.8 · 5 players
Even
Bench-2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDEL betterWIS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Delaware
Guards
D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR
Forwards
K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew
Centers
S. Solano4 min · TR
Wisconsin
Guards
E. Elmer31 min · TRT. Autry29 min · TRB. Carrington18 minJ. Janicki17 minH. Jones7 minZ. Kinziger6 min
Forwards
N. Winter31 minA. Rapp23 minV. Onuetu18 min · TRW. Garlock7 minI. RiddleNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DELWIS
Scoring
67.9 #316Points per game83.0 #28
1.04 #269Points per possession1.18 #27
65.3 #337Pace (possessions)70.0 #119
Shooting
53.3 #89Effective FG%54.5 #52
36.8 #313-point %36.2 #50
46.2 #443-point attempt rate52.1 #6
30.6 #291Free throw rate31.5 #267
Possessions
18.3 #287Turnover rate12.8 #4
20.8 #362Offensive rebound rate29.1 #232
12.2 #271Assists per game16.0 #48
Defense
74.1 #156Points allowed76.1 #221
1.13 #298Points allowed per possession1.09 #193
51.5 #185Opponent effective FG%51.4 #178
35.1 #255Opponent 3-point %33.5 #152
14.0 #334Turnovers forced14.3 #327
68.9 #206Defensive rebound rate71.8 #74
5.7 #273Steals per game5.6 #287
3.0 #219Blocks per game3.1 #198
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
  • Wvs Sam Houston83–80
  • L@ Kennesaw St82–90
  • L@ Jax State70–80
  • L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

Wisconsin

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point82–83
  • Lvs Michigan65–68
  • Wvs Illinois91–88
  • Wvs Washington85–82
  • W@ Purdue97–93

A week or more of rest.