James Madison Dukes at Delaware Blue Hens: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM ETBob Carpenter Center · at Delaware

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: James Madison and Delaware
JMU	This season	DEL
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEL 72–72 · win probability DEL 52%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 144.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: JMU has more of the edges

JMU 4, DEL 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

JMUBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: JMU 30.6%, DEL 20.8%. Defensive: JMU 70.5%, DEL 68.9%

JMUSmall

DEL offense vs JMU defense

Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 154th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

JMU has played the 257th-hardest schedule, DEL the 195th. A record against a soft schedule means less

JMUSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: JMU 53.1 and allows 49.0; DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5

DELSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: JMU 35.9, DEL 30.6. Allowed: JMU 40.8, DEL 30.2

DELSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: JMU 17%, DEL 46%. Transfers in: JMU 8, DEL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

DELSmall

Home court

DEL at home. This season: DEL 0-0 at home, JMU 0-0 away

JMUSmall

Three-pointers

JMU hits 35.4% and allows 32.7%; DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 42.5% and 46.2% of their shots

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: JMU plays 67.5 a game (253rd fastest), DEL 65.3 (337th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: JMU 17.3%, DEL 18.3%. Forced: JMU 12.8%, DEL 14.0%

Even

JMU offense vs DEL defense

Offense 181st of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DEL -0.6	—
Total	—	144.1	—
Projected score	—	JMU 71.7 · DEL 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEL -0.2	—
1H total	67.4	—
1H projected score	JMU 33.6 · DEL 33.8	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JMU WWLWL	13-19	41%	6-9	—
DEL LLWWL	15-15	50%	7-7	—

Venue/role: JMU away; DEL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
JMU OUUOO	15-17	47%	17-15
DEL OOOOU	16-14	53%	10-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JMU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
DEL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

James Madison

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	vs MERC	No recent meeting
Nov 18	@ TOW	W81–75WO
Nov 24	vs CHSO	No recent meeting

Delaware

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	vs COLG	W72–68WU
Nov 20	@ CSUN	L66–88LO
Nov 22	@ UCLA	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

JMU 0–2 DELDEL leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · DEL has won the last 2 meetings · JMU 0-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 14, 2021-22	JMU 60 @ DEL 81	DEL -5.5	DEL W
Jan 29, 2021-22	DEL 85 @ JMU 69	JMU -3	DEL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

James Madison

32 games played

Straight up

17-15

53% wins

Against the spread

13-19

41% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

17-1553%

L W L L W W W L W W L L L W L W L L L W W L L W W W W W W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

13-1941%

L L L L W W W L L L L L L W L L L W L W W L L W L W W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1747%

O O O O O U O O U U U O O U U U O U O U U U U U O U U O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@AKR	L 71-85	+8.5	L −5.5	153.5	O 156
Nov 9	vsCOPP	W 84-70	-18.5	L −4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@LONG	L 72-82	-1.5	L −11.5	149.5	O 154
Nov 15	@LIU	L 79-88	+3.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 167
Nov 18	vsTOW	W 81-75	+3.5	W +9.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@FIU	W 80-72	+2.5	W +10.5	155.5	U 152
Nov 25	vsOMA	W 88-77	-1.5	W +9.5	152.5	O 165
Nov 29	@GMU	L 66-82	+12.5	L −3.5	141.5	O 148
Dec 3	vsNCCU	W 67-62	-14.5	L −9.5	143.5	U 129
Dec 6	vsNORF	W 68-67	-10.5	L −9.5	138.5	U 135
Dec 17	@ODU	L 68-77	-2.5	L −11.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 20	@GASO	L 92-96	+2.5	L −1.5	153.5	O 188
Dec 29	@ARK	L 74-103	+23.5	L −5.5	159.5	O 177
Jan 3	@ARST	W 78-74	+10.5	W +14.5	158.5	U 152
Jan 7	vsMRSH	L 64-66	-1.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 10	vsODU	W 70-69	-6.5	L −5.5	147.5	U 139
Jan 15	@APP	L 65-80	+2.5	L −12.5	133.5	O 145
Jan 17	@MRSH	L 72-77	+6.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 149
Jan 22	vsUSA	L 83-90	-4.5	L −11.5	138.5	O 173
Jan 24	vsTXST	W 82-57	-5.5	W +19.5	143.5	U 139
Jan 29	@TROY	W 73-64	+9.5	W +18.5	147.5	U 137
Jan 31	@USM	L 65-73	+1.5	L −6.5	143.5	U 138
Feb 4	vsUL	L 61-64	-9.5	L −12.5	132.5	U 125
Feb 7	vsTOL	W 73-71	+1.5	W +3.5	153.5	U 144
Feb 12	vsGAST	W 81-79	-5.5	L −3.5	144.5	O 160
Feb 14	vsAPP	W 69-58	+1.5	W +12.5	134.5	U 127
Feb 18	@CCU	W 67-65	-1.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 21	@GAST	W 80-65	-2.5	W +12.5	142.5	O 145
Feb 25	vsGASO	W 82-66	-5.5	W +10.5	153.5	U 148
Feb 27	vsCCU	L 68-69	-6.5	L −7.5	141.5	U 137
Mar 4	vsUL	W 87-72	-6.5	W +8.5	134.5	O 159
Mar 5	vsUSM	L 80-86	-2.5	L −8.5	143.5	O 166

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AKR

L 71-85

−5.5

COPP

W 84-70

−4.5

LONG

L 72-82

−11.5

LIU

L 79-88

−5.5

TOW

W 81-75

+9.5

FIU

W 80-72

+10.5

OMA

W 88-77

+9.5

GMU

L 66-82

−3.5

NCCU

W 67-62

−9.5

NORF

W 68-67

−9.5

ODU

L 68-77

−11.5

GASO

L 92-96

−1.5

ARK

L 74-103

−5.5

ARST

W 78-74

+14.5

MRSH

L 64-66

−3.5

ODU

W 70-69

−5.5

APP

L 65-80

−12.5

MRSH

L 72-77

+1.5

USA

L 83-90

−11.5

TXST

W 82-57

+19.5

TROY

W 73-64

+18.5

USM

L 65-73

−6.5

L 61-64

−12.5

TOL

W 73-71

+3.5

GAST

W 81-79

−3.5

APP

W 69-58

+12.5

CCU

W 67-65

+0.5

GAST

W 80-65

+12.5

GASO

W 82-66

+10.5

CCU

L 68-69

−7.5

W 87-72

+8.5

USM

L 80-86

−8.5

covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AKR

L 71-85

+2.5

COPP

W 84-70

+12.5

LONG

L 72-82

+4.5

LIU

L 79-88

+19.5

TOW

W 81-75

+15.5

FIU

W 80-72

−3.5

OMA

W 88-77

+12.5

GMU

L 66-82

+6.5

NCCU

W 67-62

−14.5

NORF

W 68-67

−3.5

ODU

L 68-77

−3.5

GASO

L 92-96

+34.5

ARK

L 74-103

+17.5

ARST

W 78-74

−6.5

MRSH

L 64-66

−22.5

ODU

W 70-69

−8.5

APP

L 65-80

+11.5

MRSH

L 72-77

−0.5

USA

L 83-90

+34.5

TXST

W 82-57

−4.5

TROY

W 73-64

−10.5

USM

L 65-73

−5.5

L 61-64

−7.5

TOL

W 73-71

−9.5

GAST

W 81-79

+15.5

APP

W 69-58

−7.5

CCU

W 67-65

−8.5

GAST

W 80-65

+2.5

GASO

W 82-66

−5.5

CCU

L 68-69

−4.5

W 87-72

+24.5

USM

L 80-86

+22.5

over 15under 17avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Delaware

30 games played

Straight up

10-20

33% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2033%

L L W L W L L W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W W L W L L W L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O U U O U U O O O U U U O O U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138
Nov 25	vsUNCG	W 73-60	+1.5	W +14.5	142.5	U 133
Dec 1	vsIONA	L 66-89	+1.5	L −21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 6	@DSU	L 72-75	-7.5	L −10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 10	@GW	W 70-58	+21.5	W +33.5	152.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsCSUN	L 66-88	-1.5	L −23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 16	vsRID	W 65-57	-8.5	L −0.5	129.5	U 122
Dec 29	vsMOST	L 43-61	+1.5	L −16.5	131.5	U 104
Jan 2	vsJXST	L 64-67	+4.5	W +1.5	126.5	O 131
Jan 4	vsKENN	W 67-52	+8.5	W +23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 8	@SHSU	L 60-72	+11.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 132
Jan 10	@LT	L 68-70	+6.5	W +4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 15	vsUTEP	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	vsNMSU	L 68-97	+4.5	L −24.5	134.5	O 165
Jan 24	@LIB	L 51-67	+15.5	L −0.5	134.5	U 118
Jan 28	@NMSU	W 73-64	+13.5	W +22.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 31	@UTEP	L 55-70	+6.5	L −8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsLIB	L 69-75	+10.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 144
Feb 7	vsMTSU	W 89-88	+5.5	W +6.5	133.5	O 177
Feb 12	@FIU	W 68-66	+8.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	@MOST	W 76-67	+9.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 143
Feb 18	vsWKU	L 87-88	+4.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 175
Feb 21	@MTSU	L 66-78	+10.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 144
Feb 26	@JXST	L 70-80	+7.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 28	@KENN	L 82-90	+11.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsSHSU	W 83-80	+7.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 163
Mar 7	vsLT	L 38-81	+2.5	L −40.5	132.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

UNCG

W 73-60

+14.5

IONA

L 66-89

−21.5

DSU

L 72-75

−10.5

W 70-58

+33.5

CSUN

L 66-88

−23.5

RID

W 65-57

−0.5

MOST

L 43-61

−16.5

JXST

L 64-67

+1.5

KENN

W 67-52

+23.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−0.5

L 68-70

+4.5

UTEP

L 69-70

−2.5

NMSU

L 68-97

−24.5

LIB

L 51-67

−0.5

NMSU

W 73-64

+22.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−8.5

LIB

L 69-75

+4.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+6.5

FIU

W 68-66

+10.5

MOST

W 76-67

+18.5

WKU

L 87-88

+3.5

MTSU

L 66-78

−1.5

JXST

L 70-80

−2.5

KENN

L 82-90

+3.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+10.5

L 38-81

−40.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

UNCG

W 73-60

−9.5

IONA

L 66-89

+5.5

DSU

L 72-75

+17.5

W 70-58

−24.5

CSUN

L 66-88

+9.5

RID

W 65-57

−7.5

MOST

L 43-61

−27.5

JXST

L 64-67

+4.5

KENN

W 67-52

−29.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−12.5

L 68-70

+14.5

UTEP

L 69-70

+13.5

NMSU

L 68-97

+30.5

LIB

L 51-67

−16.5

NMSU

W 73-64

−0.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−3.5

LIB

L 69-75

+11.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+43.5

FIU

W 68-66

−13.5

MOST

W 76-67

+7.5

WKU

L 87-88

+35.5

MTSU

L 66-78

+6.5

JXST

L 70-80

+16.5

KENN

L 82-90

+28.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+15.5

L 38-81

−13.5

over 16under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

James Madison has the better starters

Position by position: James Madison 2, Delaware 1, even 2

James MadisonBetterDelaware

G G. Lattimore TR15.5 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 48

JMUSmall

G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21

G A. Myers TR11.1 pts · 4.9 reb · 1 ast Score 73

JMUBig

G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

G C. Reilly TR3 pts · 1 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

No call

G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

F J. Hogarth TR10.2 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 61

No call

G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

F P. Fowler6.3 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 25

DELSmall

F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44

James MadisonBetterDelaware

JMU offense181st of 366 · -5.7

Even

DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3

JMU defense154th of 366 · -3.4

JMUSmall

DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3

Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players

JMUBig

Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-1.3 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Bench-3.8 · 5 players

DELSmall

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestJMU betterDEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

James Madison

Guards

G. Lattimore37 min · TRA. Myers29 min · TRC. Reilly23 min · TRK. Windham13 min · TRP. Jones11 minB. Lee5 min · TR

Forwards

J. Hogarth25 min · TRP. Fowler23 minG. Sundra18 min · TRM. Curtis16 min · TRJ. BrownNewA. EvansNew

Delaware

Guards

D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR

Forwards

K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew

Centers

S. Solano4 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

JMU74.7 #172

DEL67.9 #316

Points per possession

JMU1.10 #128

DEL1.04 #269

Pace (possessions)

JMU67.5 #253

DEL65.3 #337

Shooting

Effective FG%

JMU53.1 #97

DEL53.3 #89

3-point %

JMU35.4 #94

DEL36.8 #31

3-point attempt rate

JMU42.5 #128

DEL46.2 #44

Free throw rate

JMU35.9 #153

DEL30.6 #291

Possessions

Turnover rate

JMU17.3 #225

DEL18.3 #287

Offensive rebound rate

JMU30.6 #175

DEL20.8 #362

Assists per game

JMU12.5 #252

DEL12.2 #271

Defense

Points allowed

JMU74.4 #170

DEL74.1 #156

Points allowed per possession

JMU1.10 #226

DEL1.13 #298

Opponent effective FG%

JMU49.0 #66

DEL51.5 #185

Opponent 3-point %

JMU32.7 #101

DEL35.1 #255

Turnovers forced

JMU12.8 #359

DEL14.0 #334

Defensive rebound rate

JMU70.5 #134

DEL68.9 #206

Steals per game

JMU5.1 #327

DEL5.7 #273

Blocks per game

JMU4.1 #68

DEL3.0 #219

JMU		DEL
Scoring
74.7 #172	Points per game	67.9 #316
1.10 #128	Points per possession	1.04 #269
67.5 #253	Pace (possessions)	65.3 #337
Shooting
53.1 #97	Effective FG%	53.3 #89
35.4 #94	3-point %	36.8 #31
42.5 #128	3-point attempt rate	46.2 #44
35.9 #153	Free throw rate	30.6 #291
Possessions
17.3 #225	Turnover rate	18.3 #287
30.6 #175	Offensive rebound rate	20.8 #362
12.5 #252	Assists per game	12.2 #271
Defense
74.4 #170	Points allowed	74.1 #156
1.10 #226	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #298
49.0 #66	Opponent effective FG%	51.5 #185
32.7 #101	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #255
12.8 #359	Turnovers forced	14.0 #334
70.5 #134	Defensive rebound rate	68.9 #206
5.1 #327	Steals per game	5.7 #273
4.1 #68	Blocks per game	3.0 #219

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

James Madison

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Southern Miss80–86
Wvs Louisiana87–72
Lvs Coastal68–69
Wvs GA Southern82–66
W@ Georgia St80–65

A week or more of rest.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
Wvs Sam Houston83–80
L@ Kennesaw St82–90
L@ Jax State70–80
L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

James Madison Dukes at Delaware Blue Hens

What could decide it: JMU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

James Madison

Delaware

James Madison has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

James Madison

Delaware