Delaware Blue Hens at Cal State Northridge Matadors: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 20, 6:00 PM ETPremier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Delaware and CSU Northridge
DEL	This season	CSUN
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CSUN 78–73 · win probability CSUN 67%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 150.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CSUN has more of the edges

DEL 3, CSUN 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

CSUNBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: DEL 20.8%, CSUN 31.9%. Defensive: DEL 68.9%, CSUN 73.4%

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: DEL plays 65.3 a game (337th fastest), CSUN 75.6 (2nd). Faster games mean more points

CSUNSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: DEL 18.3%, CSUN 17.5%. Forced: DEL 14.0%, CSUN 16.5%

DELSmall

Three-pointers

DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%; CSUN hits 32.4% and allows 34.4%. Threes are 46.2% and 33.6% of their shots

CSUNSmall

Home court

CSUN at home. This season: CSUN 0-0 at home, DEL 0-0 away

DELSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: DEL 46%, CSUN 18%. Transfers in: DEL 6, CSUN 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

DELSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5; CSUN 51.3 and allows 51.6

CSUNSmall

CSUN offense vs DEL defense

Offense 140th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings

Even

DEL offense vs CSUN defense

Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 271st, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

DEL has played the 195th-hardest schedule, CSUN the 219th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: DEL 30.6, CSUN 34.2. Allowed: DEL 30.2, CSUN 34.3

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	CSUN -5.0	—
Total	—	150.8	—
Projected score	—	DEL 72.9 · CSUN 77.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CSUN -2.9	—
1H total	70.5	—
1H projected score	DEL 33.8 · CSUN 36.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LLWWL	15-15	50%	7-7	—
CSUN LLLWL	14-18	44%	8-5	—

Venue/role: DEL away; CSUN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL OOOOU	16-14	53%	10-20
CSUN OOUUO	19-13	59%	18-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DEL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
CSUN	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Delaware

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 22	@ UCLA	No recent meeting
Nov 28	@ STBK	W80–76LO
Dec 2	vs BUCK	L70–78LU

CSU Northridge

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 25	@ WEB	No recent meeting
Dec 3	vs CP	W97–96LO
Dec 5	@ CSUB	W86–84LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

DEL 0–1 CSUNCSUN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · DEL 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 13, 2025-26	CSUN 88 @ DEL 66	DEL -1.5	CSUN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Delaware

30 games played

Straight up

10-20

33% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2033%

L L W L W L L W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W W L W L L W L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O U U O U U O O O U U U O O U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138
Nov 25	vsUNCG	W 73-60	+1.5	W +14.5	142.5	U 133
Dec 1	vsIONA	L 66-89	+1.5	L −21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 6	@DSU	L 72-75	-7.5	L −10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 10	@GW	W 70-58	+21.5	W +33.5	152.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsCSUN	L 66-88	-1.5	L −23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 16	vsRID	W 65-57	-8.5	L −0.5	129.5	U 122
Dec 29	vsMOST	L 43-61	+1.5	L −16.5	131.5	U 104
Jan 2	vsJXST	L 64-67	+4.5	W +1.5	126.5	O 131
Jan 4	vsKENN	W 67-52	+8.5	W +23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 8	@SHSU	L 60-72	+11.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 132
Jan 10	@LT	L 68-70	+6.5	W +4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 15	vsUTEP	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	vsNMSU	L 68-97	+4.5	L −24.5	134.5	O 165
Jan 24	@LIB	L 51-67	+15.5	L −0.5	134.5	U 118
Jan 28	@NMSU	W 73-64	+13.5	W +22.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 31	@UTEP	L 55-70	+6.5	L −8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsLIB	L 69-75	+10.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 144
Feb 7	vsMTSU	W 89-88	+5.5	W +6.5	133.5	O 177
Feb 12	@FIU	W 68-66	+8.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	@MOST	W 76-67	+9.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 143
Feb 18	vsWKU	L 87-88	+4.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 175
Feb 21	@MTSU	L 66-78	+10.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 144
Feb 26	@JXST	L 70-80	+7.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 28	@KENN	L 82-90	+11.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsSHSU	W 83-80	+7.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 163
Mar 7	vsLT	L 38-81	+2.5	L −40.5	132.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

UNCG

W 73-60

+14.5

IONA

L 66-89

−21.5

DSU

L 72-75

−10.5

W 70-58

+33.5

CSUN

L 66-88

−23.5

RID

W 65-57

−0.5

MOST

L 43-61

−16.5

JXST

L 64-67

+1.5

KENN

W 67-52

+23.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−0.5

L 68-70

+4.5

UTEP

L 69-70

−2.5

NMSU

L 68-97

−24.5

LIB

L 51-67

−0.5

NMSU

W 73-64

+22.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−8.5

LIB

L 69-75

+4.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+6.5

FIU

W 68-66

+10.5

MOST

W 76-67

+18.5

WKU

L 87-88

+3.5

MTSU

L 66-78

−1.5

JXST

L 70-80

−2.5

KENN

L 82-90

+3.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+10.5

L 38-81

−40.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

UNCG

W 73-60

−9.5

IONA

L 66-89

+5.5

DSU

L 72-75

+17.5

W 70-58

−24.5

CSUN

L 66-88

+9.5

RID

W 65-57

−7.5

MOST

L 43-61

−27.5

JXST

L 64-67

+4.5

KENN

W 67-52

−29.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−12.5

L 68-70

+14.5

UTEP

L 69-70

+13.5

NMSU

L 68-97

+30.5

LIB

L 51-67

−16.5

NMSU

W 73-64

−0.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−3.5

LIB

L 69-75

+11.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+43.5

FIU

W 68-66

−13.5

MOST

W 76-67

+7.5

WKU

L 87-88

+35.5

MTSU

L 66-78

+6.5

JXST

L 70-80

+16.5

KENN

L 82-90

+28.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+15.5

L 38-81

−13.5

over 16under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

CSU Northridge

32 games played

Straight up

18-14

56% wins

Against the spread

14-18

44% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-13

59% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1456%

L W L W L L W L W W W L L W W L W L L W W W W W W W L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1844%

L W L W L L W L L W W W L W L L W L L W W L W W W L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

19-1359%

U O O O U U U O O O O O O U O U O O U O U O O U O U U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 6	@UNI	L 57-86	+9.5	L −19.5	153.5	U 143
Nov 9	@UND	W 93-85	-6.5	W +1.5	158.5	O 178
Nov 11	@NDSU	L 68-90	+4.5	L −17.5	156.5	O 158
Nov 16	vsTROY	W 94-85	+4.5	W +13.5	157.5	O 179
Nov 26	vsIDHO	L 64-78	+1.5	L −12.5	159.5	U 142
Nov 28	vsIDST	L 50-82	+1.5	L −30.5	148.5	U 132
Dec 4	vsCSUB	W 87-66	-5.5	W +15.5	155.5	U 153
Dec 6	@UCI	L 71-85	+7.5	L −6.5	152.5	O 156
Dec 10	vsFRES	W 89-87	-3.5	L −1.5	161.5	O 176
Dec 13	@DEL	W 88-66	+1.5	W +23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 22	vsSAC	W 100-88	-8.5	W +3.5	164.5	O 188
Dec 27	@STAN	L 80-88	+15.5	W +7.5	160.5	O 168
Jan 1	@UCD	L 80-89	+3.5	L −5.5	162.5	O 169
Jan 3	vsUCSB	W 74-65	-2.5	W +6.5	156.5	U 139
Jan 8	vsCP	W 95-90	-6.5	L −1.5	175.5	O 185
Jan 10	@CSUF	L 79-86	+1.5	L −5.5	173.5	U 165
Jan 15	@UCSD	W 84-79	+7.5	W +12.5	159.5	O 163
Jan 17	vsLBSU	L 80-87	-7.5	L −14.5	158.5	O 167
Jan 24	@HAW	L 68-89	+10.5	L −10.5	158.5	U 157
Jan 29	vsUCD	W 94-78	-3.5	W +12.5	163.5	O 172
Jan 31	vsUCSD	W 81-64	+1.5	W +18.5	160.5	U 145
Feb 5	@CP	W 97-96	-2.5	L −1.5	177.5	O 193
Feb 7	vsUCR	W 88-74	-10.5	W +3.5	160.5	O 162
Feb 14	vsHAW	W 84-60	+2.5	W +26.5	162.5	U 144
Feb 19	@UCSB	W 85-83	+5.5	W +7.5	156.5	O 168
Feb 21	@LBSU	W 78-76	-2.5	L −0.5	157.5	U 154
Feb 26	vsUCI	L 67-68	-1.5	L −2.5	153.5	U 135
Feb 28	@UCR	L 84-95	-4.5	L −15.5	158.5	O 179
Mar 5	@CSUB	W 86-84	-8.5	L −6.5	163.5	O 170
Mar 7	vsCSUF	L 77-90	-5.5	L −18.5	170.5	U 167
Mar 12	vsUCSD	W 80-70	+1.5	W +11.5	153.5	U 150
Mar 13	vsUCI	L 78-93	+3.5	L −11.5	152.5	O 171

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNI

L 57-86

−19.5

UND

W 93-85

+1.5

NDSU

L 68-90

−17.5

TROY

W 94-85

+13.5

IDHO

L 64-78

−12.5

IDST

L 50-82

−30.5

CSUB

W 87-66

+15.5

UCI

L 71-85

−6.5

FRES

W 89-87

−1.5

DEL

W 88-66

+23.5

SAC

W 100-88

+3.5

STAN

L 80-88

+7.5

UCD

L 80-89

−5.5

UCSB

W 74-65

+6.5

W 95-90

−1.5

CSUF

L 79-86

−5.5

UCSD

W 84-79

+12.5

LBSU

L 80-87

−14.5

HAW

L 68-89

−10.5

UCD

W 94-78

+12.5

UCSD

W 81-64

+18.5

W 97-96

−1.5

UCR

W 88-74

+3.5

HAW

W 84-60

+26.5

UCSB

W 85-83

+7.5

LBSU

W 78-76

−0.5

UCI

L 67-68

−2.5

UCR

L 84-95

−15.5

CSUB

W 86-84

−6.5

CSUF

L 77-90

−18.5

UCSD

W 80-70

+11.5

UCI

L 78-93

−11.5

covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNI

L 57-86

−10.5

UND

W 93-85

+19.5

NDSU

L 68-90

+1.5

TROY

W 94-85

+21.5

IDHO

L 64-78

−17.5

IDST

L 50-82

−16.5

CSUB

W 87-66

−2.5

UCI

L 71-85

+3.5

FRES

W 89-87

+14.5

DEL

W 88-66

+9.5

SAC

W 100-88

+23.5

STAN

L 80-88

+7.5

UCD

L 80-89

+6.5

UCSB

W 74-65

−17.5

W 95-90

+9.5

CSUF

L 79-86

−8.5

UCSD

W 84-79

+3.5

LBSU

L 80-87

+8.5

HAW

L 68-89

−1.5

UCD

W 94-78

+8.5

UCSD

W 81-64

−15.5

W 97-96

+15.5

UCR

W 88-74

+1.5

HAW

W 84-60

−18.5

UCSB

W 85-83

+11.5

LBSU

W 78-76

−3.5

UCI

L 67-68

−18.5

UCR

L 84-95

+20.5

CSUB

W 86-84

+6.5

CSUF

L 77-90

−3.5

UCSD

W 80-70

−3.5

UCI

L 78-93

+18.5

over 19under 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

CSU Northridge has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware 1, CSU Northridge 2, even 2

DelawareBetterCSU Northridge

G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21

CSUNBig

G J. Davis16.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 7.5 ast Score 71

G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

CSUNSmall

G C. Smith TR7.1 pts · 7.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 36

G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

No call

G M. Ballew TR8.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19

G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

No call

G B. Hicks TR8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 49

F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44

DELSmall

G K. Ekissi TR4.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 29

DelawareBetterCSU Northridge

DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3

Even

CSUN defense271st of 366 · -6.8

DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3

Even

CSUN offense140th of 366 · -4.2

Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players

CSUNBig

Backcourt-4.7 · 5 players

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

Even

Bench-2.4 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestDEL betterCSUN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Delaware

Guards

D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR

Forwards

K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew

Centers

S. Solano4 min · TR

CSU Northridge

Guards

J. Davis34 minC. Smith30 min · TRM. Ballew23 min · TRB. Hicks22 min · TRK. Ekissi17 min · TRG. Gazarian2 min

Forwards

J. Martin7 min · TRB. OmotNew

Centers

E. Stephen15 min · TRL. Niang8 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

DEL67.9 #316

CSUN80.6 #54

Points per possession

DEL1.04 #269

CSUN1.06 #219

Pace (possessions)

DEL65.3 #337

CSUN75.6 #2

Shooting

Effective FG%

DEL53.3 #89

CSUN51.3 #183

3-point %

DEL36.8 #31

CSUN32.4 #260

3-point attempt rate

DEL46.2 #44

CSUN33.6 #308

Free throw rate

DEL30.6 #291

CSUN34.2 #200

Possessions

Turnover rate

DEL18.3 #287

CSUN17.5 #237

Offensive rebound rate

DEL20.8 #362

CSUN31.9 #130

Assists per game

DEL12.2 #271

CSUN16.7 #31

Defense

Points allowed

DEL74.1 #156

CSUN81.3 #336

Points allowed per possession

DEL1.13 #298

CSUN1.08 #153

Opponent effective FG%

DEL51.5 #185

CSUN51.6 #191

Opponent 3-point %

DEL35.1 #255

CSUN34.4 #210

Turnovers forced

DEL14.0 #334

CSUN16.5 #187

Defensive rebound rate

DEL68.9 #206

CSUN73.4 #26

Steals per game

DEL5.7 #273

CSUN6.6 #166

Blocks per game

DEL3.0 #219

CSUN2.8 #259

DEL		CSUN
Scoring
67.9 #316	Points per game	80.6 #54
1.04 #269	Points per possession	1.06 #219
65.3 #337	Pace (possessions)	75.6 #2
Shooting
53.3 #89	Effective FG%	51.3 #183
36.8 #31	3-point %	32.4 #260
46.2 #44	3-point attempt rate	33.6 #308
30.6 #291	Free throw rate	34.2 #200
Possessions
18.3 #287	Turnover rate	17.5 #237
20.8 #362	Offensive rebound rate	31.9 #130
12.2 #271	Assists per game	16.7 #31
Defense
74.1 #156	Points allowed	81.3 #336
1.13 #298	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #153
51.5 #185	Opponent effective FG%	51.6 #191
35.1 #255	Opponent 3-point %	34.4 #210
14.0 #334	Turnovers forced	16.5 #187
68.9 #206	Defensive rebound rate	73.4 #26
5.7 #273	Steals per game	6.6 #166
3.0 #219	Blocks per game	2.8 #259

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
Wvs Sam Houston83–80
L@ Kennesaw St82–90
L@ Jax State70–80
L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

CSU Northridge

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UC Irvine78–93
Wvs UC San Diego80–70
Lvs Fullerton77–90
W@ Bakersfield86–84
L@ UC Riverside84–95

A week or more of rest.

Delaware Blue Hens at Cal State Northridge Matadors

What could decide it: CSUN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Delaware

CSU Northridge

CSU Northridge has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Delaware

CSU Northridge